Smart-money consensus

Markets where multiple tracked traders hold the same outcome — strongest agreement first.

What you’re seeing: sorted strongest agreement first (most agreeing tracked traders). Basis = observed tracked-trader cohort positioning across the full tracked history — open markets show current agreement, resolved show the outcome. Not a rolling time window, not full-market depth. NFA.

Consensus is informational only, not a signal to follow. edgewatch’s own analysis of resolved tracked-trader positions found no reliable relationship between how crowded a position is and how it resolved — treat crowded positions with the same scrutiny as any other market. Do your own research.