Smart-money consensus
Markets where multiple tracked traders hold the same outcome — strongest agreement first.
What you’re seeing: sorted strongest agreement first (most agreeing tracked traders). Basis = observed tracked-trader cohort positioning across the full tracked history — open markets show current agreement, resolved show the outcome. Not a rolling time window, not full-market depth. NFA.
Bar keyLength = committed cohort size vs the board’s largest.open 11consensus won 34consensus lost 5