Yes on Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 76-77°F on September 18?
— 30 @ 0.980
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0X
0x3970ce
All-time PnL
$81.79
Win rate
100.0%
100 of 100
Total trades
100
Avg PnL / trade
$1.60
30d PnL
$81.79
30d trades
100
30d wins
51
51.0%
30d volume
$4.76k
Category edge
Weather
100.0%
+21.8pp
n=80
vs cohort baseline per category · observed record only · not financial advice
Signal hit rate
100.0% (80 wins / 0 misses)Cumulative PnL · 2-day series
$82.53
$0.00
Trading pattern
Weather Specialistbuy-heavysmall-sizefavorite-backercategory-focusedBuy-leaning · Weather 100%
Why Weather Specialisthigh confidence · 100 trades
Category focus: Weather 100% of categorized trades — ≥60% concentrated in one category → a Weather specialist.
Directional bias: +0.80 (buy-heavy) — Mostly buys outcomes — leans into positions rather than fading them.
Entry pricing: avg 0.89 — Enters at favorite prices (>0.70) — backs likely outcomes.
Typical position size: median $39 — Small typical stake (<$500).
Sizing consistency: CV 0.84 (moderate) — Stakes vary moderately across trades.
Observed behaviour — descriptive, not predictive. NFA.
Entry price
0–10¢90–100¢
avg 89¢ · 100 trades
Position sizing
<$100$10k+
median $39.13 · p90 $104.94
Activity · UTC
00h12h23h
peak Fri 07:00 · 100 trades
Descriptive analytics of this trader’s observed public activity — not a prediction or recommendation. Not financial advice.
Recent trades
EXPORT
Yes on Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 76-77°F on September 18?
— 150 @ 0.990
Yes on Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 80-81°F on September 18?
— 150 @ 0.990
No on Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 25°C or higher on September 18?
— 31 @ 0.985
Yes on Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 24°C on September 18?
— 30 @ 0.990
Yes on Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 24°C on September 18?
— 119 @ 0.990
Yes on Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 21°C on September 18?
— 10 @ 0.990
No on Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 72-73°F on September 18?
— 20.1519 @ 0.933
Yes on Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 70-71°F on September 18?
— 47 @ 0.960
No on Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 72-73°F on September 18?
— 103 @ 0.957
Yes on Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 33°C on September 18?
— 42.93 @ 0.990
Yes on Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 24°C on September 18?
— 20 @ 0.990
No on Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 26°C or higher on September 18?
— 42 @ 0.990
No on Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 90-91°F on September 18?
— 30 @ 0.990
Yes on Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 88-89°F on September 18?
— 104 @ 0.990
No on Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 90-91°F on September 18?
— 46 @ 0.990
Yes on Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 86-87°F on September 18?
— 5 @ 0.030
Yes on Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 28°C on September 18?
— +$1.46 · 73 @ 0.980
No on Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 29°C on September 18?
— +$1.82 · 76 @ 0.976
No on Will the highest temperature in Paris be 23°C on September 18?
— +$0.00 · 0.18 @ 0.990
Yes on Will the highest temperature in Munich be 21°C on September 18?
— 85 @ 0.990
No on Will the highest temperature in Munich be 22°C on September 18?
— +$0.20 · 20 @ 0.990
Yes on Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 21°C on September 18?
— +$0.10 · 10 @ 0.990
No on Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 17°C on September 18?
— +$0.10 · 10 @ 0.990
Yes on Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 21°C on September 18?
— +$0.30 · 30 @ 0.990
No on Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 22°C on September 18?
— +$1.00 · 100 @ 0.990
Yes on Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 21°C on September 18?
— +$0.50 · 50 @ 0.990
Yes on Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 16°C on September 18?
— +$1.60 · 20 @ 0.920
No on Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 17°C on September 18?
— +$1.74 · 20.743816 @ 0.916
No on Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 17°C on September 18?
— +$8.60 · 79 @ 0.891
Yes on Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 38°C on September 18?
— +$0.01 · 1.41 @ 0.990
Yes on Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 31°C on September 18?
— +$0.35 · 35 @ 0.990
No on Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 32°C on September 18?
— +$1.23 · 115 @ 0.989
Yes on Will the highest temperature in London be 22°C on September 18?
— 5 @ 0.051
Yes on Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 20°C on September 18?
— +$0.10 · 5 @ 0.020
Yes on Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on September 18?
— +$0.18 · 20 @ 0.991
Yes on Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 28°C on September 18?
— +$0.15 · 15 @ 0.990
Yes on Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 28°C on September 18?
— +$0.08 · 8 @ 0.990
Yes on Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 32°C on September 18?
— +$0.30 · 30 @ 0.990
Yes on Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 32°C on September 18?
— +$1.11 · 111 @ 0.990
No on Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 33°C on September 18?
— +$0.39 · 39 @ 0.990
Yes on Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 29°C on September 18?
— +$0.25 · 25.34 @ 0.990
Yes on Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 25°C on September 18?
— +$1.33 · 133 @ 0.990
Yes on Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 29°C on September 18?
— +$1.50 · 150 @ 0.990
No on Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 29°C on September 18?
— +$3.50 · 105 @ 0.967
Yes on Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 28°C on September 18?
— +$1.35 · 45 @ 0.970
Yes on Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 28°C on September 18?
— +$0.30 · 15 @ 0.980
No on Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 29°C on September 18?
— +$2.16 · 72 @ 0.970
Yes on Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 28°C on September 18?
— +$2.34 · 78 @ 0.970
Yes on Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 30°C on September 18?
— +$0.15 · 5 @ 0.029
Integrity indicators
No anomalies detected for this trader.
Anomaly indicators reflect statistical patterns only. May have innocent explanations.