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HomeRunHazard

0x5268…135dpolymarket ↗last active 9m ago
All-time PnL
-$592.54
Win rate
42.9%
43 of 100
Total trades
100
Avg PnL / trade
-$84.65
30d PnL
-$592.54
30d trades
100
30d wins
3
3.0%
30d volume
$34.6k
Category edge
Sports
42.3%
-5.3pp
n=26

vs cohort baseline per category · observed record only · not financial advice

Signal hit rate
42.3% (11 wins / 15 misses)
Cumulative PnL · 1-day series
Not enough data to chart yet.
Trading pattern
Sports Specialistbuy-heavysmall-sizecategory-focusedBuy-leaning · Sports 100%
Why Sports Specialisthigh confidence · 100 trades
Category focus: Sports 100% of categorized trades≥60% concentrated in one category → a Sports specialist.
Directional bias: +1.00 (buy-heavy)Mostly buys outcomes — leans into positions rather than fading them.
Entry pricing: avg 0.49Enters around mid-priced outcomes — no strong odds tilt.
Typical position size: median $77Small typical stake (<$500).
Sizing consistency: CV 2.15 (varied)Stakes vary widely — opportunistic or conviction-weighted sizing.

Observed behaviour — descriptive, not predictive. NFA.

Entry price
0–10¢90–100¢
avg 49¢ · 100 trades
Position sizing
<$100$10k+
median $76.62 · p90 $771.20
Activity · UTC
SunMonTueWedThuFriSat
00h12h23h
peak Fri 21:00 · 100 trades

Descriptive analytics of this trader’s observed public activity — not a prediction or recommendation. Not financial advice.

Recent trades

EXPORT
BUY·9m ago·0x5268…135dwhy? →
Michael Zheng on Tiburon: Michael Zheng vs Mitchell Krueger
2009.6 @ 0.790
BUY·10m ago·0x5268…135dwhy? →
Mary Stoiana on Sao Paulo Open: Mary Stoiana vs Paula Badosa
837.2 @ 0.150
BUY·10m ago·0x5268…135dwhy? →
Over on Stoiana vs. Badosa: Match O/U 21.5
117.97 @ 0.456
BUY·11m ago·0x5268…135dwhy? →
Michael Zheng on Tiburon: Michael Zheng vs Mitchell Krueger
42.95 @ 0.730
BUY·11m ago·0x5268…135dwhy? →
Montana on Spread: Oregon State (-16.5)
262 @ 0.520
BUY·11m ago·0x5268…135dwhy? →
Under on Montana vs. Oregon State: O/U 52.5
5 @ 0.460
BUY·12m ago·0x5268…135dwhy? →
Montana on Spread: Oregon State (-16.5)
180 @ 0.510
BUY·12m ago·0x5268…135dwhy? →
Mary Stoiana on Sao Paulo Open: Mary Stoiana vs Paula Badosa
383.95 @ 0.130
BUY·17m ago·0x5268…135dwhy? →
Michael Zheng on Tiburon: Michael Zheng vs Mitchell Krueger
15.7 @ 0.830
BUY·18m ago·0x5268…135dwhy? →
Michael Zheng on Tiburon: Michael Zheng vs Mitchell Krueger
29 @ 0.810
BUY·19m ago·0x5268…135dwhy? →
Mary Stoiana on Sao Paulo Open: Mary Stoiana vs Paula Badosa
79.8 @ 0.170
BUY·20m ago·0x5268…135dwhy? →
Arizona Diamondbacks on Spread: New York Yankees (-1.5)
55 @ 0.610
BUY·20m ago·0x5268…135dwhy? →
Arizona Diamondbacks on Spread: New York Yankees (-2.5)
94.73 @ 0.710
BUY·20m ago·0x5268…135dwhy? →
Under on New York Yankees vs. Arizona Diamondbacks: O/U 8.5
271.78 @ 0.550
BUY·20m ago·0x5268…135dwhy? →
Under on New York Yankees vs. Arizona Diamondbacks: O/U 7.5
819.79 @ 0.470
BUY·22m ago·0x5268…135dwhy? →
Mary Stoiana on Sao Paulo Open: Mary Stoiana vs Paula Badosa
260.11 @ 0.150
BUY·23m ago·0x5268…135dwhy? →
Mary Stoiana on Sao Paulo Open: Mary Stoiana vs Paula Badosa
245.1 @ 0.150
BUY·23m ago·0x5268…135dwhy? →
Paula Badosa on Sao Paulo Open: Mary Stoiana vs Paula Badosa
2182.41 @ 0.860
BUY·24m ago·0x5268…135dwhy? →
Boise State on Spread: Boise State (-24.5)
566 @ 0.500
BUY·24m ago·0x5268…135dwhy? →
Michael Zheng on Tiburon: Michael Zheng vs Mitchell Krueger
3721.79 @ 0.780
BUY·25m ago·0x5268…135dwhy? →
Paula Badosa on Sao Paulo Open: Mary Stoiana vs Paula Badosa
10 @ 0.840
BUY·27m ago·0x5268…135dwhy? →
Paula Badosa on Sao Paulo Open: Mary Stoiana vs Paula Badosa
2114.84 @ 0.820
BUY·28m ago·0x5268…135dwhy? →
Under on Detroit Tigers vs. Chicago White Sox: O/U 9.5
84.29 @ 0.620
BUY·31m ago·0x5268…135dwhy? →
Nebraska on Spread: Nebraska (-24.5)
185 @ 0.520
BUY·31m ago·0x5268…135dwhy? →
Over on SMU vs. Louisville: O/U 56.5
4529.63 @ 0.540
BUY·31m ago·0x5268…135dwhy? →
Michael Zheng on Tiburon: Michael Zheng vs Mitchell Krueger
131.21 @ 0.800
BUY·32m ago·0x5268…135dwhy? →
Paula Badosa on Sao Paulo Open: Mary Stoiana vs Paula Badosa
5 @ 0.810
BUY·34m ago·0x5268…135dwhy? →
Michael Zheng on Tiburon: Michael Zheng vs Mitchell Krueger
91.84 @ 0.750
BUY·36m ago·0x5268…135dwhy? →
Houston on Spread: Texas Tech (-7.5)
3993.77 @ 0.490
BUY·37m ago·0x5268…135dwhy? →
Under on Stoiana vs. Badosa: Match O/U 21.5
5 @ 0.490
BUY·38m ago·0x5268…135dwhy? →
Mitchell Krueger on Tiburon: Michael Zheng vs Mitchell Krueger
106.32 @ 0.210
BUY·39m ago·0x5268…135dwhy? →
Indiana Fever on Spread: Indiana Fever (-14.5)
89 @ 0.540
BUY·39m ago·0x5268…135dwhy? →
Over on Zheng vs. Krueger: Match O/U 21.5
5 @ 0.540
BUY·39m ago·0x5268…135dwhy? →
Mary Stoiana on Sao Paulo Open: Mary Stoiana vs Paula Badosa
9.6 @ 0.330
BUY·40m ago·0x5268…135dwhy? →
Mitchell Krueger on Tiburon: Michael Zheng vs Mitchell Krueger
135.06 @ 0.100
BUY·43m ago·0x5268…135dwhy? →
Michael Zheng on Tiburon: Michael Zheng vs Mitchell Krueger
266.73 @ 0.920
BUY·44m ago·0x5268…135dwhy? →
Under on Detroit Tigers vs. Chicago White Sox: O/U 8.5
429.71 @ 0.510
BUY·44m ago·0x5268…135dwhy? →
Under on Detroit Tigers vs. Chicago White Sox: O/U 7.5
68.4 @ 0.430
BUY·48m ago·0x5268…135dwhy? →
Mary Stoiana on Sao Paulo Open: Mary Stoiana vs Paula Badosa
51.79 @ 0.290
BUY·50m ago·0x5268…135dwhy? →
Michael Zheng on Tiburon: Michael Zheng vs Mitchell Krueger
417.64 @ 0.840
BUY·52m ago·0x5268…135dwhy? →
Mitchell Krueger on Tiburon: Michael Zheng vs Mitchell Krueger
262.43 @ 0.160
BUY·1h ago·0x5268…135dwhy? →
Mitchell Krueger on Tiburon: Michael Zheng vs Mitchell Krueger
110 @ 0.140
BUY·1h ago·0x5268…135dwhy? →
Under on Washington Nationals vs. St. Louis Cardinals: O/U 9.5
200.85 @ 0.670
BUY·1h ago·0x5268…135dwhy? →
New York Mets on Spread: New York Mets (-2.5)
89.27 @ 0.250
BUY·1h ago·0x5268…135dwhy? →
New York Mets on Spread: Philadelphia Phillies (-1.5)
74.09 @ 0.640
BUY·1h ago·0x5268…135dwhy? →
Under on Milwaukee Brewers vs. Baltimore Orioles: O/U 9.5
264.21 @ 0.620
BUY·1h ago·0x5268…135dwhy? →
Over on Indiana Fever vs. Toronto Tempo: O/U 188.5
57.01 @ 0.450
BUY·1h ago·0x5268…135dwhy? →
Darwin Blanch on Tiburon: Darwin Blanch vs Bryce Nakashima
+$2.92 · 17.18 @ 0.830
BUY·1h ago·0x5268…135dwhy? →
Toledo on Spread: Toledo (-6.5)
3921.28 @ 0.470
BUY·1h ago·0x5268…135dwhy? →
Bryce Nakashima on Tiburon: Darwin Blanch vs Bryce Nakashima
-$1.25 · 6.25 @ 0.200
Integrity indicators

No anomalies detected for this trader.

Anomaly indicators reflect statistical patterns only. May have innocent explanations.