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letmeseewhatspringislike

0x3878…b416polymarket ↗last active 15m ago
All-time PnL
$78.48
Win rate
68.8%
69 of 100
Total trades
100
Avg PnL / trade
$0.35
30d PnL
$11.30
30d trades
100
30d wins
22
22.0%
30d volume
$7.59k
Category edge
Crypto
42.3%
-27.5pp
n=97

vs cohort baseline per category · observed record only · not financial advice

Signal hit rate
42.3% (41 wins / 56 misses)
⚠ Possible wash trade
opposite positions detected on 25 markets — verify independently
Cumulative PnL · 1-day series
Not enough data to chart yet.
Trading pattern
Crypto Specialisttwo-sidedsmall-sizefavorite-backercategory-focusedBalanced · Crypto 100%
Why Crypto Specialisthigh confidence · 100 trades
Category focus: Crypto 100% of categorized trades≥60% concentrated in one category → a Crypto specialist.
Directional bias: -0.08 (two-sided)Trades both sides fairly evenly — no strong directional lean.
Entry pricing: avg 0.73Enters at favorite prices (>0.70) — backs likely outcomes.
Typical position size: median $97Small typical stake (<$500).
Sizing consistency: CV 0.54 (moderate)Stakes vary moderately across trades.

Observed behaviour — descriptive, not predictive. NFA.

Entry price
0–10¢90–100¢
avg 73¢ · 100 trades
Position sizing
<$100$10k+
median $97.40 · p90 $119.18
Activity · UTC
SunMonTueWedThuFriSat
00h12h23h
peak Fri 20:00 · 100 trades

Descriptive analytics of this trader’s observed public activity — not a prediction or recommendation. Not financial advice.

Recent trades

EXPORT
BUY·15m ago·0x3878…b416why? →
Down on Ethereum Up or Down - September 18, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET
398.747038 @ 0.251
SELL·18m ago·0x3878…b416why? →
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 18, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET
-$2.44 · 121.95 @ 0.980
BUY·19m ago·0x3878…b416why? →
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 18, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET
+$21.95 · 121.95122 @ 0.820
SELL·21m ago·0x3878…b416why? →
Down on Ethereum Up or Down - September 18, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET
194.07 @ 0.861
BUY·21m ago·0x3878…b416why? →
Down on Ethereum Up or Down - September 18, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET
194.078462 @ 0.515
SELL·22m ago·0x3878…b416why? →
Down on Ethereum Up or Down - September 18, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET
-$1.96 · 196.1 @ 0.990
BUY·23m ago·0x3878…b416why? →
Down on Ethereum Up or Down - September 18, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET
+$3.36 · 28 @ 0.880
BUY·23m ago·0x3878…b416why? →
Down on Ethereum Up or Down - September 18, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET
+$12.25 · 42.25352 @ 0.710
BUY·24m ago·0x3878…b416why? →
Down on Ethereum Up or Down - September 18, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET
+$25.85 · 125.85 @ 0.795
SELL·24m ago·0x3878…b416why? →
Up on Ethereum Up or Down - September 18, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET
+$28.20 · 120 @ 0.235
BUY·25m ago·0x3878…b416why? →
Up on Ethereum Up or Down - September 18, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET
-$30.00 · 40.224932 @ 0.746
BUY·25m ago·0x3878…b416why? →
Up on Ethereum Up or Down - September 18, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET
-$40.00 · 47.05882 @ 0.850
BUY·27m ago·0x3878…b416why? →
Up on Ethereum Up or Down - September 18, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET
-$31.24 · 41.65 @ 0.750
SELL·27m ago·0x3878…b416why? →
Down on Ethereum Up or Down - September 18, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET
-$2.37 · 74.18 @ 0.968
SELL·27m ago·0x3878…b416why? →
Down on Ethereum Up or Down - September 18, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET
-$2.97 · 74.18 @ 0.960
SELL·28m ago·0x3878…b416why? →
Down on Ethereum Up or Down - September 18, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET
-$9.41 · 49.45 @ 0.810
BUY·29m ago·0x3878…b416why? →
Down on Ethereum Up or Down - September 18, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET
+$23.49 · 63.492064 @ 0.630
BUY·30m ago·0x3878…b416why? →
Down on Ethereum Up or Down - September 18, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET
+$34.32 · 134.31947 @ 0.744
SELL·32m ago·0x3878…b416why? →
Up on Ethereum Up or Down - September 18, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET
+$115.64 · 157.55 @ 0.734
BUY·32m ago·0x3878…b416why? →
Up on Ethereum Up or Down - September 18, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET
-$100.00 · 157.556 @ 0.635
SELL·35m ago·0x3878…b416why? →
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 18, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET
-$12.82 · 128.2 @ 0.900
SELL·35m ago·0x3878…b416why? →
Down on Ethereum Up or Down - September 18, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET
-$15.66 · 120.48 @ 0.870
BUY·36m ago·0x3878…b416why? →
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 18, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET
+$28.21 · 128.205127 @ 0.780
BUY·37m ago·0x3878…b416why? →
Down on Ethereum Up or Down - September 18, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET
+$20.48 · 120.481923 @ 0.830
SELL·39m ago·0x3878…b416why? →
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 18, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET
+$29.02 · 193.46 @ 0.150
BUY·42m ago·0x3878…b416why? →
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 18, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET
-$100.00 · 193.461539 @ 0.517
SELL·42m ago·0x3878…b416why? →
Down on Ethereum Up or Down - September 18, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET
-$0.66 · 66.2 @ 0.990
SELL·43m ago·0x3878…b416why? →
Down on Ethereum Up or Down - September 18, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET
-$1.99 · 66.2 @ 0.970
SELL·43m ago·0x3878…b416why? →
Down on Ethereum Up or Down - September 18, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET
-$2.89 · 44.13 @ 0.935
SELL·43m ago·0x3878…b416why? →
Down on Ethereum Up or Down - September 18, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET
-$6.96 · 58.84 @ 0.882
BUY·46m ago·0x3878…b416why? →
Down on Ethereum Up or Down - September 18, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET
+$20.00 · 50 @ 0.600
BUY·46m ago·0x3878…b416why? →
Down on Ethereum Up or Down - September 18, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET
+$12.79 · 42.788731 @ 0.701
BUY·47m ago·0x3878…b416why? →
Down on Ethereum Up or Down - September 18, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET
+$42.59 · 142.587041 @ 0.701
SELL·49m ago·0x3878…b416why? →
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 18, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET
-$16.90 · 140.84 @ 0.880
BUY·50m ago·0x3878…b416why? →
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 18, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET
+$40.85 · 140.845071 @ 0.710
SELL·53m ago·0x3878…b416why? →
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 18, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET
-$6.58 · 131.57 @ 0.950
SELL·53m ago·0x3878…b416why? →
Down on Ethereum Up or Down - September 18, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET
-$14.15 · 133.33 @ 0.894
BUY·55m ago·0x3878…b416why? →
Down on Ethereum Up or Down - September 18, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET
+$33.33 · 133.333332 @ 0.750
BUY·56m ago·0x3878…b416why? →
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 18, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET
+$31.58 · 131.578945 @ 0.760
SELL·56m ago·0x3878…b416why? →
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 18, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET
+$57.14 · 238.09 @ 0.240
BUY·57m ago·0x3878…b416why? →
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 18, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET
-$100.00 · 238.095239 @ 0.420
SELL·57m ago·0x3878…b416why? →
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 18, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET
-$156.61 · 227.27 @ 0.311
BUY·59m ago·0x3878…b416why? →
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 18, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET
+$127.27 · 227.272728 @ 0.440
SELL·1h ago·0x3878…b416why? →
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 18, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET
+$21.75 · 24.44 @ 0.890
SELL·1h ago·0x3878…b416why? →
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 18, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET
+$15.64 · 16.29 @ 0.960
SELL·1h ago·0x3878…b416why? →
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 18, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET
+$60.61 · 65.17 @ 0.930
SELL·1h ago·0x3878…b416why? →
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 18, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET
+$39.53 · 43.44 @ 0.910
SELL·1h ago·0x3878…b416why? →
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 18, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET
+$50.97 · 57.92 @ 0.880
BUY·1h ago·0x3878…b416why? →
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 18, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET
-$50.00 · 70.422534 @ 0.710
BUY·1h ago·0x3878…b416why? →
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 18, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET
-$100.00 · 161.290323 @ 0.620
Integrity indicators

No anomalies detected for this trader.

Anomaly indicators reflect statistical patterns only. May have innocent explanations.