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Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?
ResolvedOutcome: Yes
Post-mortem
Smart money called it unanimously
1 of 1 tracked trader on Yes
Cohort P&L on this market
$233.24
Outcomes
Yes
46¢
How they were positioned (1)
net lean100% YES leanYES notional$428NO notional$0traders1