Yes on Will Bad Bunny be the top artist for 2026?
— 248.03 @ 0.870
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JS
jsmp1
All-time PnL
-$1.18k
Win rate
48.8%
49 of 100
Total trades
100
Avg PnL / trade
-$28.70
30d PnL
-$88.93
30d trades
17
30d wins
2
11.8%
30d volume
$10.1k
Category edge
Sports
20.0%
-33.0pp
n=10
World
33.3%
-17.6pp
n=33
Politics
60.0%
+16.3pp
n=15
Economy
80.0%
-1.0pp
n=5
vs cohort baseline per category · observed record only · not financial advice
Signal hit rate
42.6% (29 wins / 39 misses)⚠ Possible wash trade
opposite positions detected on 11 markets — verify independentlyCumulative PnL · 34-day series
$1.48k
-$1.65k
Trading pattern
World-Leaningbuy-heavysmall-sizeBuy-leaning · World 42%
Why World-Leaninghigh confidence · 100 trades
Category focus: World 42% of categorized trades — a lean toward World without full specialization.
Directional bias: +0.68 (buy-heavy) — Mostly buys outcomes — leans into positions rather than fading them.
Entry pricing: avg 0.53 — Enters around mid-priced outcomes — no strong odds tilt.
Typical position size: median $190 — Small typical stake (<$500).
Sizing consistency: CV 1.21 (varied) — Stakes vary widely — opportunistic or conviction-weighted sizing.
Observed behaviour — descriptive, not predictive. NFA.
Entry price
0–10¢90–100¢
avg 53¢ · 100 trades
Position sizing
<$100$10k+
median $189.70 · p90 $974.00
Activity · UTC
00h12h23h
peak Sat 17:00 · 100 trades
Descriptive analytics of this trader’s observed public activity — not a prediction or recommendation. Not financial advice.
Recent trades
EXPORT
Yes on Will Bad Bunny be the top artist for 2026?
— 921.02 @ 0.860
No on Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?
— 2503.52 @ 0.966
Yes on Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?
— 26.43 @ 0.083
Yes on Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
— 700 @ 0.810
Yes on Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?
— -$240.00 · 1999.99 @ 0.880
No on OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI before 2027?
— 337 @ 0.780
Yes on Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?
— +$60.00 · 500 @ 0.880
Yes on Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?
— +$60.00 · 500 @ 0.880
No on NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?
— 1499.99 @ 0.741
Yes on Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?
— +$190.00 · 999.99 @ 0.810
Yes on Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?
— 500 @ 0.830
Yes on Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?
— 600 @ 0.810
Yes on Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?
— 799.99 @ 0.170
Yes on Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?
— 700 @ 0.160
Yes on Will AfD win an absolute majority of seats in Sachsen-Anhalt?
— -$26.00 · 100 @ 0.260
Yes on Will AfD win an absolute majority of seats in Sachsen-Anhalt?
— -$83.37 · 438.78 @ 0.190
Yes on Will AfD win an absolute majority of seats in Sachsen-Anhalt?
— -$54.85 · 176.92 @ 0.310
No on NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?
— 500 @ 0.730
Yes on Israel closes its airspace by July 31?
— -$72.00 · 300 @ 0.240
No on Iran full airspace closure by July 31?
— +$48.00 · 200 @ 0.760
Yes on Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?
— 1811.55 @ 0.560
No on Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?
— +$52.00 · 400 @ 0.870
No on US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 31?
— -$192.00 · 400 @ 0.480
No on US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 31?
— -$192.00 · 400 @ 0.480
Yes on Lionel Messi: 1+ shots
— +$14.01 · 200 @ 0.930
No on Tyler Robinson convicted of homicide?
— 1222.15 @ 0.550
Yes on Tyler Robinson convicted of homicide?
— 400 @ 0.460
Yes on Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?
— +$54.00 · 600 @ 0.910
Yes on Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?
— -$40.00 · 400 @ 0.100
Yes on President Trump to Attend World Cup Final?
— +$6.00 · 100 @ 0.940
Yes on Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?
— -$120.00 · 500 @ 0.240
No on Will Count Binface win the Clacton by-election?
— +$15.99 · 199.93 @ 0.920
Yes on Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
— -$300.00 · 10000 @ 0.030
No on Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by September 30, 2026?
— 200 @ 0.819
Yes on Nigel Farage out as Reform UK leader by December 31, 2026?
— 362.15 @ 0.250
Yes on Nigel Farage out as Reform UK leader by December 31, 2026?
— 2000 @ 0.257
Yes on Nigel Farage out as Reform UK leader by December 31, 2026?
— 1000 @ 0.250
Yes on Will Graham Platner drop out before the Midterms?
— +$144.00 · 1800 @ 0.920
Yes on Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
— -$39.00 · 600 @ 0.065
Yes on Will Jonas Vingegaard win the 2026 Tour De France?
— -$16.30 · 100 @ 0.163
Yes on Will Jonas Vingegaard win the 2026 Tour De France?
— -$16.30 · 100 @ 0.163
Yes on Will Jonas Vingegaard win the 2026 Tour De France?
— -$16.90 · 100 @ 0.169
No on US strike on Cuba by December 31?
— 100 @ 0.600
Yes on Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?
— +$480.00 · 1999.99 @ 0.240
No on US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026?
— 600 @ 0.530
Yes on Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 7?
— -$7.00 · 1000 @ 0.007
Yes on Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?
— -$145.23 · 1815.4 @ 0.080
No on Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by September 30, 2026?
— 200 @ 0.800
No on US strike on Cuba by December 31?
— 500 @ 0.590
Integrity indicators
No anomalies detected for this trader.
Anomaly indicators reflect statistical patterns only. May have innocent explanations.