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Will China invade Taiwan in 2024?
ResolvedOutcome: No
Post-mortem
Smart money was split
1 of 2 tracked traders on No · 1 on another outcome
Cohort P&L on this market
-$0.20
Outcomes
No
96¢
How they were positioned (2)
net leanNeutralYES notional$100NO notional$100traders1