Yes on Will Xi Jinping visit US by September 24?
— 200 @ 0.935
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WE
werffdsfa
All-time PnL
$4.76k
Win rate
80.0%
20 of 25
Total trades
25
Avg PnL / trade
$475.96
30d PnL
$0.00
30d trades
7
30d wins
0
0.0%
30d volume
$3.63k
Category edge
Politics
71.4%
+16.9pp
n=7
World
80.0%
-8.9pp
n=5
vs cohort baseline per category · observed record only · not financial advice
Signal hit rate
75.0% (12 wins / 4 misses)⚠ Possible wash trade
opposite positions detected on 5 markets — verify independentlyCumulative PnL · 11-day series
$4.90k
$0.00
Trading pattern
World-Leaningbuy-heavysmall-sizefavorite-backerBuy-leaning · World 36%
Why World-Leaningmedium confidence · 25 trades
Category focus: World 36% of categorized trades — a lean toward World without full specialization.
Directional bias: +0.60 (buy-heavy) — Mostly buys outcomes — leans into positions rather than fading them.
Entry pricing: avg 0.80 — Enters at favorite prices (>0.70) — backs likely outcomes.
Typical position size: median $100 — Small typical stake (<$500).
Sizing consistency: CV 1.78 (varied) — Stakes vary widely — opportunistic or conviction-weighted sizing.
⚠ Based on 25 trades — a moderate sample.
Observed behaviour — descriptive, not predictive. NFA.
Entry price
0–10¢90–100¢
avg 80¢ · 25 trades
Position sizing
<$100$10k+
median $100.00 · p90 $1.05k
Activity · UTC
00h12h23h
peak Sun 11:00 · 25 trades
Descriptive analytics of this trader’s observed public activity — not a prediction or recommendation. Not financial advice.
Recent trades
EXPORT
Yes on Will Xi Jinping visit US by September 30?
— 77 @ 0.961
No on Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 in September?
— 499.66 @ 0.963
No on Will Solana reach $170 in September?
— 1000 @ 0.990
No on Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 in September?
— 1089 @ 0.962
No on Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 in September?
— 581.1 @ 0.961
No on Will Ethereum reach $3,200 in September?
— 300 @ 0.961
No on Xi Jinping out before 2027?
— 64.56 @ 0.909
No on Xi Jinping out before 2027?
— 64.57 @ 0.917
No on Will Trump meet with Kim Jong Un in January 2026?
— +$0.18 · 59.21 @ 0.997
Yes on Will Trump meet with Xi Jinping by October 31?
— +$4.25 · 25 @ 0.830
Down on Ethereum Up or Down - August 21, 4AM ET
— +$0.55 · 54.6767 @ 0.990
Yes on Will Trump meet with Vladimir Putin in 2025?
— +$1.72 · 66.129362 @ 0.974
Yes on Will Donald Trump visit China in 2025?
— +$64.42 · 121.73 @ 0.529
Yes on Will Donald Trump visit China in 2025?
— -$53.49 · 121.733332 @ 0.439
No on Will Ethereum reach $3100 in July?
— +$53.48 · 267.42 @ 0.200
No on Will Ethereum reach $3100 in July?
— -$211.26 · 267.42 @ 0.790
No on Ethereum all time high by June 30?
— +$1.06 · 211.26 @ 0.995
No on Will China invade Taiwan in 2024?
— -$4.20 · 100 @ 0.958
Yes on Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
— -$98.08 · 199.35 @ 0.508
Yes on Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
— +$97.88 · 199.35 @ 0.509
No on Will China invade Taiwan in 2024?
— +$4.00 · 100 @ 0.960
Vance on Who will win the VP debate according to polls?
— +$21.95 · 121.951216 @ 0.820
Yes on Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
— +$1.61k · 3260.869564 @ 0.506
Yes on Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
— +$3.27k · 6585.317459 @ 0.504
Integrity indicators
No anomalies detected for this trader.
Anomaly indicators reflect statistical patterns only. May have innocent explanations.