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Will OpenAI’s Astra model debut on the Arena Leaderboard at a score of at least 1480?
ResolvedOutcome: Yes
Post-mortem
Smart money was split
1 of 2 tracked traders on Yes · 1 on another outcome
Cohort P&L on this market
$952.66
Outcomes
Yes
61¢
How they were positioned (2)
net lean45% NO leanYES notional$948NO notional$2.5ktraders1