No on Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-09-19?
— 330.61111 @ 0.720
← leaderboard
DO
DOMOTO39
All-time PnL
-$2.10k
Win rate
67.6%
68 of 100
Total trades
100
Avg PnL / trade
-$54.32
30d PnL
-$2.01k
30d trades
100
30d wins
25
25.0%
30d volume
$35.7k
Category edge
Crypto
100.0%
+58.6pp
n=11
World
50.0%
+16.7pp
n=6
Sports
61.5%
+10.8pp
n=39
Science & Tech
72.7%
-5.8pp
n=22
vs cohort baseline per category · observed record only · not financial advice
Signal hit rate
70.0% (56 wins / 24 misses)⚠ Possible wash trade
opposite positions detected on 17 markets — verify independentlyCumulative PnL · 10-day series
$1.63k
-$1.09k
Trading pattern
Sports-Leaningtwo-sidedsmall-sizefavorite-backerBuy-leaning · Sports 44%
Why Sports-Leaninghigh confidence · 100 trades
Category focus: Sports 44% of categorized trades — a lean toward Sports without full specialization.
Directional bias: +0.42 (two-sided) — Trades both sides fairly evenly — no strong directional lean.
Entry pricing: avg 0.78 — Enters at favorite prices (>0.70) — backs likely outcomes.
Typical position size: median $160 — Small typical stake (<$500).
Sizing consistency: CV 1.55 (varied) — Stakes vary widely — opportunistic or conviction-weighted sizing.
Observed behaviour — descriptive, not predictive. NFA.
Entry price
0–10¢90–100¢
avg 78¢ · 100 trades
Position sizing
<$100$10k+
median $159.82 · p90 $955.63
Activity · UTC
00h12h23h
peak Tue 18:00 · 100 trades
Descriptive analytics of this trader’s observed public activity — not a prediction or recommendation. Not financial advice.
Recent trades
EXPORT
Yes on Will Newcastle United FC win on 2026-09-19?
— 263.84 @ 0.920
Yes on Will Newcastle United FC win on 2026-09-19?
— 263.847825 @ 0.920
Yes on Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-09-19?
— +$2.68 · 243.680486 @ 0.989
No on Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-09-19?
— +$252.19 · 1991.84 @ 0.127
No on Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-09-19?
— -$20.91 · 27.155843 @ 0.770
Yes on Will Linke win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?
— 1607.23 @ 0.628
Yes on Will Linke win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?
— 558.56 @ 0.640
Yes on Will Linke win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?
— 11.060605 @ 0.660
Yes on Will Linke win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?
— 5.373133 @ 0.670
Yes on Will Linke win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?
— 2452.283581 @ 0.670
No on Will New England Revolution win on 2026-09-13?
— +$19.96 · 113.78 @ 0.175
No on Will New England Revolution win on 2026-09-13?
— -$86.48 · 113.78947 @ 0.760
Yes on Will Sweden Democrats (SD) win between 16% and 18% of all valid votes?
— 93.5 @ 0.940
Yes on Will Sweden Democrats (SD) win between 16% and 18% of all valid votes?
— 93.505818 @ 0.987
Yes on Will Katharina Pötter win the next Osnabrück mayoral election?
— 102.74 @ 0.902
No on Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-09-13?
— -$7.69 · 11.308821 @ 0.680
No on Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-09-13?
— -$425.21 · 644.26 @ 0.660
No on Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-09-13?
— -$512.00 · 800 @ 0.640
No on Will Real Sociedad de Fútbol win on 2026-09-13?
— +$8.87 · 34.121619 @ 0.740
No on Will Real Sociedad de Fútbol win on 2026-09-13?
— +$378.00 · 1400 @ 0.730
No on Will Getafe CF win on 2026-09-13?
— +$1.53 · 4.25 @ 0.640
No on Will Getafe CF win on 2026-09-13?
— +$453.36 · 1259.34375 @ 0.640
FC Barcelona on Spread: FC Barcelona (-1.5)
— +$8.18 · 24.045455 @ 0.660
FC Barcelona on Spread: FC Barcelona (-1.5)
— +$272.00 · 800 @ 0.660
No on Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by September 13, 2026?
— -$1.61 · 33.48 @ 0.952
No on Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by September 13, 2026?
— -$17.55 · 526.78 @ 0.967
No on Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by September 13, 2026?
— -$0.20 · 6.53 @ 0.970
Yes on Will Gimcheon Sangmu FC win on 2026-09-13?
— -$63.00 · 71.590908 @ 0.880
Yes on Will Arsenal win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?
— 100 @ 0.140
Under on Sunderland AFC vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 1.5
— -$1.99k · 3418.805424 @ 0.582
No on Will OpenAI’s Astra model debut on the Arena Leaderboard at a score of at least 1520?
— +$0.10 · 34.7 @ 0.997
No on Will OpenAI’s Astra model debut on the Arena Leaderboard at a score of at least 1500?
— +$0.08 · 20 @ 0.996
No on Will OpenAI’s Astra model debut on the Arena Leaderboard at a score of at least 1490?
— +$4.96 · 210.95 @ 0.976
No on Will OpenAI’s Astra model debut on the Arena Leaderboard at a score of at least 1490?
— +$1.10 · 43.0951 @ 0.975
No on Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by September 13, 2026?
— +$2.13 · 291 @ 0.993
No on Will $LAPTOP dip to $0.05 by September 30, 2026?
— 228 @ 0.800
No on Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by September 13, 2026?
— +$3.45 · 138.99 @ 0.975
No on Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by September 13, 2026?
— +$0.14 · 5.54356 @ 0.974
No on Will SK Slavia Praha win on 2026-09-10?
— +$14.35 · 179.347825 @ 0.920
Sabah FK on Spread: Manchester United FC (-3.5)
— -$1.87 · 2.833332 @ 0.660
Sabah FK on Spread: Manchester United FC (-3.5)
— -$511.06 · 774.71212 @ 0.660
Yes on Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-09-10?
— -$51.82 · 575.79 @ 0.910
Yes on Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-09-10?
— +$40.31 · 575.795685 @ 0.930
No on Will Fenerbahçe SK win on 2026-09-10?
— +$28.00 · 400 @ 0.930
Yes on LAPTOP FDV above $100M one day after launch?
— +$18.53 · 559.7 @ 0.967
No on LAPTOP FDV above $3B one day after launch?
— +$20.10 · 957 @ 0.979
No on Will Leeds United FC win on 2026-09-09?
— +$34.97 · 1000 @ 0.965
No on Will the first announced price of the foldable iPhone be at least $2,000?
— +$3.35 · 16.348125 @ 0.795
No on Will the first announced price of the foldable iPhone be at least $2,000?
— +$376.27 · 3276.271166 @ 0.885
Integrity indicators
No anomalies detected for this trader.
Anomaly indicators reflect statistical patterns only. May have innocent explanations.