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US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 22, 2026?
ResolvedOutcome: No
Post-mortem
Smart money called it unanimously
1 of 1 tracked trader on No
Cohort P&L on this market
$1.70
Outcomes
No
97¢
How they were positioned (1)
net lean100% YES leanYES notional$62NO notional$0traders1