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Will OpenAI’s Astra model debut on the Arena Leaderboard at a score of at least 1520?
ResolvedOutcome: No
Post-mortem
Smart money was split
1 of 2 tracked traders on No · 1 on another outcome
Cohort P&L on this market
-$86.30
Outcomes
No
100¢
How they were positioned (2)
net lean93% NO leanYES notional$35NO notional$908traders1