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Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz by June 30?
Outcomes
No
97¢
Yes
29¢
Yes price over time
39¢
4¢
2026-05-27CLOB mid · not financial advice2026-06-18
Tiebreaker · cohort is split
YES camp: 44% hit rate · Weather · 2 traders
NO camp: 56% hit rate · World · 3 traders
Based on each camp's full resolved-trade record. Not financial advice.
Tracked-trader positions (8)
See full smart-money consensus →net lean99% YES leanYES notional$172.6kNO notional$805traders5