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Smart-money consensus

Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?

cohort holds Yes·3 traders·$63.6k committed·avg entry 11¢·formed within 7231m
Still actionable?
0.00trader 0.106 · mkt 0.074 · drift 3.2%1.00
cohort entry 11¢ current

current price is near the cohort’s avg entry — the setup still looks comparable to theirs. Not financial advice.

Per-trader positions

the agreeing cohort, largest position first · entry = their size-weighted avg on this outcome

8811120xd426…334aSELLentry 11¢$41.1k
PatrocIus0xdf17…97d1BUYentry $9.78k
SoftFlame050xcd0d…7ec8SELLentry $5.47k
SoftFlame050xcd0d…7ec8BUYentry 16¢$3.47k
PatrocIus0xdf17…97d1SELLentry 10¢$3.29k
8811120xd426…334aBUYentry 12¢$411.27
How this is computed. A consensus is when multiple tracked traders independently hold the same outcome on a market. We show the agreeing cohort’s per-trader entries from observed public positions — not full-market depth, and not a recommendation. On the board, the bar length is this market’s committed cohort size vs the largest on the board; its color is open / resolved-won / resolved-lost. Information only — not financial advice.