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Smart-money consensus

Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 34°C on July 27?

cohort holds Yes·4 traders·$617.59 committed·avg entry 93¢·formed within 232m
Still actionable?
0.00trader 0.928 · mkt 0.999 · drift 7.1%1.00
cohort entry 93¢ current 100¢

current price is 7.1pp above the cohort’s avg entry — entering now costs more than they paid. Not financial advice.

Per-trader positions

the agreeing cohort, largest position first · entry = their size-weighted avg on this outcome

2475250x7138…8c89BUYentry 100¢$292.64
suntori0xe907…cff6SELLentry 100¢$88.70
light20260x85d2…7479BUYentry 71¢$81.08
Zhtest10xaa81…5961BUYentry 73¢$77.59
Zhtest10xaa81…5961SELLentry 100¢$77.58
How this is computed. A consensus is when multiple tracked traders independently hold the same outcome on a market. We show the agreeing cohort’s per-trader entries from observed public positions — not full-market depth, and not a recommendation. On the board, the bar length is this market’s committed cohort size vs the largest on the board; its color is open / resolved-won / resolved-lost. Information only — not financial advice.