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24

247525

0x7138…8c89polymarket ↗last active 14m ago
All-time PnL
$134.35
Win rate
98.7%
99 of 100
Total trades
100
Avg PnL / trade
$1.77
30d PnL
$134.35
30d trades
100
30d wins
75
75.0%
30d volume
$64.2k
Category edge
Sports
98.8%
+45.5pp
n=82

vs cohort baseline per category · observed record only · not financial advice

Signal hit rate
98.9% (92 wins / 1 misses)
Cumulative PnL · 14-day series
$229.05
$0.00
Trading pattern
Sports Specialistbuy-heavysmall-sizefavorite-backercategory-focusedBuy-leaning · Sports 82%
Why Sports Specialisthigh confidence · 100 trades
Category focus: Sports 82% of categorized trades≥60% concentrated in one category → a Sports specialist.
Directional bias: +0.94 (buy-heavy)Mostly buys outcomes — leans into positions rather than fading them.
Entry pricing: avg 0.96Enters at favorite prices (>0.70) — backs likely outcomes.
Typical position size: median $58Small typical stake (<$500).
Sizing consistency: CV 2.62 (varied)Stakes vary widely — opportunistic or conviction-weighted sizing.

Observed behaviour — descriptive, not predictive. NFA.

Entry price
0–10¢90–100¢
avg 96¢ · 100 trades
Position sizing
<$100$10k+
median $58.48 · p90 $1.24k
Activity · UTC
SunMonTueWedThuFriSat
00h12h23h
peak Tue 18:00 · 100 trades

Descriptive analytics of this trader’s observed public activity — not a prediction or recommendation. Not financial advice.

Recent trades

EXPORT
BUY·14m ago·0x7138…8c89why? →
No on Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 39°C on July 28?
45.3 @ 0.998
BUY·14m ago·0x7138…8c89why? →
No on Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 40°C or higher on July 28?
352.77 @ 0.999
BUY·15m ago·0x7138…8c89why? →
Yes on Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 34°C on July 27?
292.64 @ 0.999
BUY·8h agoageing·0x7138…8c89why? →
Yes on Will Corey Heim win the 2026 NASCAR Cup Series Brickyard 400 presented by PPG?
+$0.08 · 76.39 @ 0.999
BUY·10h agoageing·0x7138…8c89why? →
No on Iran successfully targets shipping on July 23?
+$5.15 · 5076 @ 0.999
BUY·16h agoageing·0x7138…8c89why? →
Fluxo W7M on LoL: Fluxo W7M vs Leviatan Esports (BO3) - CBLOL Regular Season
+$1.05 · 1054.38 @ 0.999
BUY·22h agoageing·0x7138…8c89why? →
CTBC Flying Oyster on Game Handicap: DCG (-1.5) vs CTBC Flying Oyster (+1.5)
+$0.32 · 320 @ 0.999
BUY·1d agostale·0x7138…8c89why? →
No on Los Cabos Open, Qualification: Completed Match: Borna Gojo vs Aidan Mayo
+$0.01 · 10 @ 0.999
BUY·1d agostale·0x7138…8c89why? →
No on Megaquake by July 31?
77.31 @ 0.983
BUY·1d agostale·0x7138…8c89why? →
No on Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on July 25, 2026?
+$1.12 · 1117.53 @ 0.999
BUY·1d agostale·0x7138…8c89why? →
No on Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 31°C on July 26?
+$0.26 · 36 @ 0.993
BUY·1d agostale·0x7138…8c89why? →
No on Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 32°C on July 26?
+$0.15 · 146.39 @ 0.999
BUY·1d agostale·0x7138…8c89why? →
No on Moscow air traffic suspended by July 25?
+$0.39 · 393.35 @ 0.999
BUY·2d agostale·0x7138…8c89why? →
No on Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 15°C on July 25?
+$0.01 · 5 @ 0.998
BUY·3d agostale·0x7138…8c89why? →
OHiggins FC on Spread: CA Boca Juniors (-2.5)
-$102.85 · 102.95 @ 0.999
BUY·3d agostale·0x7138…8c89why? →
No on Will O'Higgins FC win on 2026-07-23?
+$0.01 · 14 @ 0.999
BUY·3d agostale·0x7138…8c89why? →
No on Will O'Higgins FC win on 2026-07-23?
+$0.77 · 766.43 @ 0.999
BUY·3d agostale·0x7138…8c89why? →
Yes on Will anyone say "Evict" during Big Brother E8?
+$0.14 · 139.89 @ 0.999
BUY·5d agostale·0x7138…8c89why? →
No on Taiwanese Premier Cho Jung-tai out by December 31, 2026?
10 @ 0.880
BUY·6d agostale·0x7138…8c89why? →
Grêmio Esports on Counter-Strike: Grêmio Esports vs METANOIA WOLVES (BO3) - CCT South America Series 4 Group Stage
+$0.02 · 15 @ 0.999
BUY·6d agostale·0x7138…8c89why? →
Grêmio Esports on Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Grêmio Esports (-3.5) vs METANOIA WOLVES (+3.5)
+$0.03 · 25 @ 0.999
BUY·6d agostale·0x7138…8c89why? →
Grêmio Esports on Map Handicap: MW (-1.5) vs Grêmio Esports (+1.5)
+$0.02 · 15 @ 0.999
BUY·6d agostale·0x7138…8c89why? →
PuckChamp on Game Handicap: LYNX (-1.5) vs PuckChamp (+1.5)
+$0.02 · 20 @ 0.999
BUY·7d agostale·0x7138…8c89why? →
No on Will the announcers say "Trump" during the Argentina vs Spain FIFA World Cup Match?
+$0.08 · 68.52 @ 0.999
BUY·7d agostale·0x7138…8c89why? →
No on Will the announcers say "Trump" during the Argentina vs Spain FIFA World Cup Match?
+$0.33 · 166.67 @ 0.998
SELL·7d agostale·0x7138…8c89why? →
Yes on Exact Score: Any Other Score?
+$0.02 · 15.61 @ 0.001
BUY·7d agostale·0x7138…8c89why? →
Under on Spain vs. Argentina: Spain O/U 2.5
+$1.20 · 30 @ 0.960
BUY·8d agostale·0x7138…8c89why? →
Over on Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 1?
+$6.56 · 6564.45 @ 0.999
BUY·8d agostale·0x7138…8c89why? →
Over on Total Kills Over/Under 33.5 in Game 1?
+$0.02 · 20 @ 0.999
BUY·8d agostale·0x7138…8c89why? →
No on Exact Score: Daejeon Hana Citizen FC 1 - 2 Ulsan HD FC?
+$0.03 · 34 @ 0.999
BUY·8d agostale·0x7138…8c89why? →
No on Exact Score: Daejeon Hana Citizen FC 1 - 1 Ulsan HD FC?
+$1.00 · 50 @ 0.980
BUY·8d agostale·0x7138…8c89why? →
No on Exact Score: Daejeon Hana Citizen FC 1 - 1 Ulsan HD FC?
+$0.15 · 5 @ 0.970
BUY·8d agostale·0x7138…8c89why? →
No on Exact Score: Daejeon Hana Citizen FC 1 - 1 Ulsan HD FC?
+$5.03 · 166.66 @ 0.970
BUY·8d agostale·0x7138…8c89why? →
No on Exact Score: Daejeon Hana Citizen FC 1 - 1 Ulsan HD FC?
+$1.43 · 64.28 @ 0.978
BUY·8d agostale·0x7138…8c89why? →
No on Exact Score: Daejeon Hana Citizen FC 1 - 1 Ulsan HD FC?
+$7.18 · 179.55 @ 0.960
BUY·8d agostale·0x7138…8c89why? →
No on Exact Score: Daejeon Hana Citizen FC 1 - 1 Ulsan HD FC?
+$4.33 · 216.65 @ 0.980
BUY·8d agostale·0x7138…8c89why? →
No on Exact Score: Daejeon Hana Citizen FC 1 - 1 Ulsan HD FC?
+$4.24 · 116.66 @ 0.964
BUY·9d agostale·0x7138…8c89why? →
No on Exact Score: Nashville SC 0 - 3 Atlanta United FC?
+$0.01 · 14 @ 0.999
BUY·9d agostale·0x7138…8c89why? →
No on Exact Score: Nashville SC 0 - 2 Atlanta United FC?
+$0.11 · 24 @ 0.995
BUY·9d agostale·0x7138…8c89why? →
No on Exact Score: Nashville SC 0 - 1 Atlanta United FC?
+$0.01 · 9.55 @ 0.999
BUY·9d agostale·0x7138…8c89why? →
No on Exact Score: EC Juventude 3 - 1 Cuiabá EC?
+$0.62 · 620.99 @ 0.999
BUY·9d agostale·0x7138…8c89why? →
No on Exact Score: Any Other Score?
+$0.03 · 28 @ 0.999
BUY·10d agostale·0x7138…8c89why? →
Yes on Will AG.AL Qualify to EWC 2026 Playoffs?
+$0.04 · 40 @ 0.999
BUY·11d agostale·0x7138…8c89why? →
Yes on Will Alana Haim attend Taylor Swift's wedding?
+$5.08 · 5084.92 @ 0.999
BUY·11d agostale·0x7138…8c89why? →
Yes on Will Alana Haim attend Taylor Swift's wedding?
+$55.88 · 3084 @ 0.982
BUY·11d agostale·0x7138…8c89why? →
Yes on Will Taiwan Semiconductor (TSM) Q2 revenue (USD) be above $40B?
+$0.60 · 597.88 @ 0.999
BUY·11d agostale·0x7138…8c89why? →
Yes on Will Alana Haim attend Taylor Swift's wedding?
+$30.80 · 1266 @ 0.976
BUY·11d agostale·0x7138…8c89why? →
Yes on Will Alana Haim attend Taylor Swift's wedding?
+$31.00 · 1000 @ 0.969
BUY·11d agostale·0x7138…8c89why? →
No on Will Jordan Bardella be the National Rally’s candidate for the 2027 French Presidential election?
+$7.47 · 6673 @ 0.999
BUY·11d agostale·0x7138…8c89why? →
No on Will Jordan Bardella be the National Rally’s candidate for the 2027 French Presidential election?
+$22.02 · 7339.66 @ 0.997
Integrity indicators

No anomalies detected for this trader.

Anomaly indicators reflect statistical patterns only. May have innocent explanations.