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magicbloom

0xffca…b04cpolymarket ↗last active 27m ago
All-time PnL
-$19.3k
Win rate
41.2%
34 of 83
Total trades
83
Avg PnL / trade
-$566.51
30d PnL
-$13.4k
30d trades
82
30d wins
14
17.1%
30d volume
$107.2k
Category edge
Sports
51.3%
-3.2pp
n=78

vs cohort baseline per category · observed record only · not financial advice

Signal hit rate
51.3% (40 wins / 38 misses)
⚠ Possible wash trade
opposite positions detected on 8 markets — verify independently
Cumulative PnL · 25-day series
$0.00
-$25.6k
Trading pattern
Sports Specialisttwo-sidedsmall-sizecategory-focusedBalanced · Sports 96%
Why Sports Specialisthigh confidence · 83 trades
Category focus: Sports 96% of categorized trades≥60% concentrated in one category → a Sports specialist.
Directional bias: +0.13 (two-sided)Trades both sides fairly evenly — no strong directional lean.
Entry pricing: avg 0.44Enters around mid-priced outcomes — no strong odds tilt.
Typical position size: median $83Small typical stake (<$500).
Sizing consistency: CV 1.66 (varied)Stakes vary widely — opportunistic or conviction-weighted sizing.

Observed behaviour — descriptive, not predictive. NFA.

Entry price
0–10¢90–100¢
avg 44¢ · 83 trades
Position sizing
<$100$10k+
median $83.20 · p90 $5.84k
Activity · UTC
SunMonTueWedThuFriSat
00h12h23h
peak Tue 18:00 · 83 trades

Descriptive analytics of this trader’s observed public activity — not a prediction or recommendation. Not financial advice.

Recent trades

EXPORT
BUY·27m ago·0xffca…b04cwhy? →
Packers on Spread: Packers (-4.5)
18746 @ 0.440
BUY·9h agoageing·0xffca…b04cwhy? →
No on Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
800 @ 0.200
SELL·10h agoageing·0xffca…b04cwhy? →
No on Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
1687.87 @ 0.200
BUY·10h agoageing·0xffca…b04cwhy? →
No on Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
21011.33 @ 0.200
BUY·10h agoageing·0xffca…b04cwhy? →
LSU on Spread: LSU (-3.5)
-$2.15 · 5 @ 0.430
BUY·10h agoageing·0xffca…b04cwhy? →
LSU on Spread: LSU (-3.5)
-$21.50 · 50 @ 0.430
BUY·11h agoageing·0xffca…b04cwhy? →
Gardner-Webb on North Carolina Central vs. Gardner-Webb
+$2.63k · 8750 @ 0.700
BUY·11h agoageing·0xffca…b04cwhy? →
Gardner-Webb on North Carolina Central vs. Gardner-Webb
+$2.82k · 9410 @ 0.700
BUY·11h agoageing·0xffca…b04cwhy? →
Gardner-Webb on North Carolina Central vs. Gardner-Webb
+$1.50 · 5 @ 0.700
BUY·18h agoageing·0xffca…b04cwhy? →
Over on Steelers vs. Patriots: O/U 42.5
1900 @ 0.460
BUY·1d agostale·0xffca…b04cwhy? →
Under on AS Monaco FC vs. Racing Club de Lens: O/U 1.5
-$418.20 · 2460 @ 0.170
BUY·1d agostale·0xffca…b04cwhy? →
Under on AS Monaco FC vs. Racing Club de Lens: O/U 1.5
-$627.30 · 3690 @ 0.170
BUY·2d agostale·0xffca…b04cwhy? →
Kansas City Royals on Kansas City Royals vs. Houston Astros
-$2.21k · 9181.97 @ 0.241
BUY·2d agostale·0xffca…b04cwhy? →
Lions on Lions vs. Bills
-$3.23k · 10430 @ 0.310
SELL·2d agostale·0xffca…b04cwhy? →
Bills on Spread: Bills (-9.5)
-$76.28 · 119.19 @ 0.360
BUY·2d agostale·0xffca…b04cwhy? →
Bills on Spread: Bills (-9.5)
+$64.00 · 100 @ 0.360
SELL·2d agostale·0xffca…b04cwhy? →
Bills on Spread: Bills (-9.5)
-$44.97 · 69.19 @ 0.350
SELL·2d agostale·0xffca…b04cwhy? →
Bills on Spread: Bills (-9.5)
-$32.00 · 50 @ 0.360
BUY·2d agostale·0xffca…b04cwhy? →
Lions on Spread: Bills (-3.5)
-$6.55k · 14880 @ 0.440
BUY·2d agostale·0xffca…b04cwhy? →
Bills on Spread: Bills (-9.5)
+$36.98 · 57.78 @ 0.360
BUY·3d agostale·0xffca…b04cwhy? →
Washington Nationals on Philadelphia Phillies vs. Washington Nationals
-$1.66k · 10370 @ 0.160
SELL·3d agostale·0xffca…b04cwhy? →
Stade Rennais FC 1901 on Spread: Stade Rennais FC 1901 (-1.5)
+$6.91 · 23.04 @ 0.300
BUY·4d agostale·0xffca…b04cwhy? →
Stade Rennais FC 1901 on Spread: Stade Rennais FC 1901 (-1.5)
-$6.68 · 23.04 @ 0.290
SELL·4d agostale·0xffca…b04cwhy? →
Under on Elche CF vs. Real Madrid CF: Real Madrid CF O/U 1.5
+$3.88 · 21.53 @ 0.180
SELL·4d agostale·0xffca…b04cwhy? →
Under on Elche CF vs. Real Madrid CF: O/U 1.5
+$7.97 · 79.7 @ 0.100
BUY·4d agostale·0xffca…b04cwhy? →
Under on Elche CF vs. Real Madrid CF: O/U 1.5
-$31.47 · 314.73 @ 0.100
SELL·4d agostale·0xffca…b04cwhy? →
Over on Elche CF vs. Real Madrid CF: O/U 3.5
-$2.61 · 5.56 @ 0.530
SELL·4d agostale·0xffca…b04cwhy? →
Under on Deportivo Alavés vs. Valencia CF: Valencia CF O/U 0.5
+$23.13 · 53.8 @ 0.430
SELL·4d agostale·0xffca…b04cwhy? →
Over on Elche CF vs. Real Madrid CF: O/U 3.5
-$422.03 · 897.93 @ 0.530
BUY·4d agostale·0xffca…b04cwhy? →
Under on Deportivo Alavés vs. Valencia CF: Valencia CF O/U 0.5
-$23.13 · 53.8 @ 0.430
BUY·5d agostale·0xffca…b04cwhy? →
Chiefs on Spread: Chiefs (-6.5)
+$171.47 · 252.16 @ 0.320
SELL·5d agostale·0xffca…b04cwhy? →
Leeds United FC on Spread: Leeds United FC (-1.5)
-$20.15 · 25.14 @ 0.198
SELL·6d agostale·0xffca…b04cwhy? →
Bears on Spread: Bears (-3.5)
-$3.42 · 5.9 @ 0.420
SELL·6d agostale·0xffca…b04cwhy? →
Bears on Spread: Bears (-3.5)
-$134.40 · 240 @ 0.440
SELL·7d agostale·0xffca…b04cwhy? →
Chicago Cubs on Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Chicago Cubs
+$24.16 · 43.92 @ 0.550
BUY·7d agostale·0xffca…b04cwhy? →
Legacy on Counter-Strike: G2 vs Legacy - Map 2 Winner
+$4.27k · 8720 @ 0.510
BUY·7d agostale·0xffca…b04cwhy? →
Chicago Cubs on Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Chicago Cubs
-$23.72 · 43.92 @ 0.540
SELL·7d agostale·0xffca…b04cwhy? →
No on Will FC Porto win on 2026-09-12?
+$23.80 · 140 @ 0.170
SELL·8d agostale·0xffca…b04cwhy? →
No on Will FC København win on 2026-09-11?
+$177.54 · 710.16 @ 0.250
BUY·8d agostale·0xffca…b04cwhy? →
G2 on Counter-Strike: FURIA vs G2 (BO3) - FISSURE PLAYGROUND Playoffs
+$5.28k · 8000 @ 0.340
SELL·9d agostale·0xffca…b04cwhy? →
Rams on Spread: Rams (-4.5)
+$6.44 · 14 @ 0.460
SELL·9d agostale·0xffca…b04cwhy? →
Over on 49ers vs. Rams: O/U 48.5
+$64.40 · 140 @ 0.460
SELL·10d agostale·0xffca…b04cwhy? →
Under on FC Barcelona vs. Feyenoord Rotterdam: O/U 4.5
+$68.60 · 140 @ 0.490
SELL·10d agostale·0xffca…b04cwhy? →
GamerLegion on Counter-Strike: TYLOO vs GamerLegion (BO3) - FISSURE PLAYGROUND Group B
+$82.25 · 175 @ 0.470
SELL·10d agostale·0xffca…b04cwhy? →
GamerLegion on Counter-Strike: TYLOO vs GamerLegion - Map 1 Winner
+$20.38 · 39.97 @ 0.510
SELL·11d agostale·0xffca…b04cwhy? →
VfB Stuttgart on Spread: VfB Stuttgart (-2.5)
+$12.94 · 34.96 @ 0.370
BUY·11d agostale·0xffca…b04cwhy? →
Real Madrid CF on Spread: Real Madrid CF (-2.5)
-$2.04k · 9724 @ 0.210
SELL·11d agostale·0xffca…b04cwhy? →
GamerLegion on Counter-Strike: TYLOO vs GamerLegion (BO3) - FISSURE PLAYGROUND Group B
+$0.12 · 0.26 @ 0.470
SELL·11d agostale·0xffca…b04cwhy? →
GamerLegion on Counter-Strike: TYLOO vs GamerLegion (BO3) - FISSURE PLAYGROUND Group B
+$48.88 · 104 @ 0.470
BUY·11d agostale·0xffca…b04cwhy? →
GamerLegion on Counter-Strike: TYLOO vs GamerLegion (BO3) - FISSURE PLAYGROUND Group B
-$47.96 · 104.26 @ 0.460
Integrity indicators

No anomalies detected for this trader.

Anomaly indicators reflect statistical patterns only. May have innocent explanations.