Yes on Will New People (NL) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
— 10000 @ 0.167
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BO
bogdanc1
All-time PnL
-$10.91
Win rate
33.3%
33 of 100
Total trades
100
Avg PnL / trade
-$4.36
30d PnL
-$13.08
30d trades
100
30d wins
1
1.0%
30d volume
$13.2k
Signal hit rate
n=1 signal — too few to judge⚠ Possible wash trade
opposite positions detected on 13 markets — verify independentlyCumulative PnL · 1-day series
Not enough data to chart yet.
Trading pattern
World Specialisttwo-sidedsmall-sizelongshot-huntercategory-focusedSell-leaning · World 88%
Why World Specialisthigh confidence · 100 trades
Category focus: World 88% of categorized trades — ≥60% concentrated in one category → a World specialist.
Directional bias: -0.32 (two-sided) — Trades both sides fairly evenly — no strong directional lean.
Entry pricing: avg 0.23 — Enters at long-odds prices (<0.30) — a longshot-hunter pattern.
Typical position size: median $16 — Small typical stake (<$500).
Sizing consistency: CV 3.01 (varied) — Stakes vary widely — opportunistic or conviction-weighted sizing.
Observed behaviour — descriptive, not predictive. NFA.
Entry price
0–10¢90–100¢
avg 23¢ · 100 trades
Position sizing
<$100$10k+
median $15.91 · p90 $266.21
Activity · UTC
00h12h23h
peak Thu 18:00 · 100 trades
Descriptive analytics of this trader’s observed public activity — not a prediction or recommendation. Not financial advice.
Recent trades
EXPORT
Yes on Will the Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
— 614.97 @ 0.011
Yes on Will the Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
— 1500 @ 0.020
Yes on Will the Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF) win fewer than 50 seats in the next Russian State Duma election?
— 50.73 @ 0.770
Yes on Will United Russia win between 310 and 324 seats in the next Russian State Duma election?
— 405.04 @ 0.146
Yes on Will voter turnout be between 47% and 50% in the 2026 Russian parliamentary election?
— 800 @ 0.050
Yes on Will voter turnout be between 53% and 56% in the 2026 Russian parliamentary election?
— 30 @ 0.223
Yes on Will voter turnout be between 53% and 56% in the 2026 Russian parliamentary election?
— 29.9 @ 0.223
Yes on Will voter turnout be 62% or higher in the 2026 Russian parliamentary election?
— 611.27 @ 0.112
Yes on Will voter turnout be 62% or higher in the 2026 Russian parliamentary election?
— 4790.07 @ 0.113
Yes on Will New People (NL) win between 35 and 44 seats in the next Russian State Duma election?
— 60 @ 0.077
Yes on Will New People (NL) win between 35 and 44 seats in the next Russian State Duma election?
— 286.27 @ 0.076
Yes on Will New People (NL) win fewer than 35 seats in the next Russian State Duma election?
— 3594.44 @ 0.792
Yes on Will United Russia win between 280 and 294 seats in the next Russian State Duma election?
— 1497.14 @ 0.025
Yes on Will Yabloko gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
— 25713.45 @ 0.002
No on Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
— 310 @ 0.230
No on Will the Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF) win the second-most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
— 755 @ 0.080
Yes on Will voter turnout be between 47% and 50% in the 2026 Russian parliamentary election?
— 3407.66 @ 0.050
Yes on Ukraine election held by December 31, 2026?
— 10 @ 0.029
Yes on Ukraine election called by December 31, 2026?
— 217.3 @ 0.090
No on Will Yabloko finish second on the party-list vote in Moscow?
— 28 @ 0.970
No on Will Russian Ecological Party “The Greens” finish second on the party-list vote in Moscow?
— 50 @ 0.980
No on Will Russian Party of Pensioners for Social Justice finish second on the party-list vote in Moscow?
— 50 @ 0.980
No on Will Rodina finish second on the party-list vote in Moscow?
— 50 @ 0.980
No on Will Civic Platform (GP) finish second on the party-list vote in Moscow?
— 50 @ 0.980
No on Will Yabloko finish second on the party-list vote in Moscow?
— 25 @ 0.960
No on Will Yabloko finish second on the party-list vote in Moscow?
— 27 @ 0.960
Yes on Will the Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
— 23479.46 @ 0.013
Yes on Will the Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
— 3592.85 @ 0.025
Yes on Will New People (NL) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
— 4508.13 @ 0.205
Yes on Will the Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF) win the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
— 1088.85 @ 0.005
Yes on Will United Russia win fewer than 280 seats in the next Russian State Duma election?
— 130 @ 0.021
Yes on Will Yabloko win at least one seat in the next Russian State Duma election?
— 1038.66 @ 0.076
Yes on Russia Elections: Yabloko Clears Duma Threshold?
— +$0.97 · 485 @ 0.002
Yes on Will the Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
— 184.35 @ 0.022
Yes on Will Yabloko gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
— 1666.66 @ 0.003
Yes on Will New People (NL) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
— 32.03 @ 0.220
Yes on Will New People (NL) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
— 25.57 @ 0.218
Yes on Will New People (NL) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
— 25.57 @ 0.218
Yes on Will New People (NL) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
— 90.89 @ 0.219
Yes on Will New People (NL) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
— 146.32 @ 0.219
Yes on Will New People (NL) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
— 100.98 @ 0.219
Yes on Will the Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
— 61.5 @ 0.020
No on Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
— 1023.89 @ 0.260
Yes on Will Yabloko gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
— 520 @ 0.006
Yes on Will the Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR) win the third-most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
— 82.8 @ 0.550
Yes on Will the Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR) win the second-most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
— 4723.58 @ 0.045
Yes on Will the Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
— 12 @ 0.030
Yes on Will United Russia win fewer than 280 seats in the next Russian State Duma election?
— 10000 @ 0.045
Yes on Will Yabloko win the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
— 1000 @ 0.001
Integrity indicators
No anomalies detected for this trader.
Anomaly indicators reflect statistical patterns only. May have innocent explanations.