No on Will Tarcisio de Freitas win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
— 53.223 @ 0.999
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GD
gdtttdr
All-time PnL
$0.18
Win rate
100.0%
18 of 18
Total trades
18
Avg PnL / trade
$0.03
30d PnL
$0.00
30d trades
3
30d wins
0
0.0%
30d volume
$113.44
Signal hit rate
36.4% (4 wins / 7 misses)⚠ Possible wash trade
opposite positions detected on 4 markets — verify independentlyCumulative PnL · 7-day series
$0.00
-$91.69
Trading pattern
Politics-Leaningtwo-sidedsmall-sizefavorite-backerBalanced · Politics 44%
Why Politics-Leaningmedium confidence · 18 trades
Category focus: Politics 44% of categorized trades — a lean toward Politics without full specialization.
Directional bias: -0.11 (two-sided) — Trades both sides fairly evenly — no strong directional lean.
Entry pricing: avg 0.97 — Enters at favorite prices (>0.70) — backs likely outcomes.
Typical position size: median $31 — Small typical stake (<$500).
Sizing consistency: CV 2.08 (varied) — Stakes vary widely — opportunistic or conviction-weighted sizing.
⚠ Based on 18 trades — a moderate sample.
Observed behaviour — descriptive, not predictive. NFA.
Entry price
0–10¢90–100¢
avg 97¢ · 18 trades
Position sizing
<$100$10k+
median $30.71 · p90 $2.44k
Activity · UTC
00h12h23h
peak Tue 00:00 · 18 trades
Descriptive analytics of this trader’s observed public activity — not a prediction or recommendation. Not financial advice.
Recent trades
EXPORT
No on Will Mohammed bin Salman win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
— 23.11 @ 0.992
No on Will Xavier Bertrand win the 2027 French presidential election?
— 37.42 @ 0.998
No on Will Xavier Bertrand win the 2027 French presidential election?
— 37.4245 @ 0.994
No on Will Mohammed bin Salman win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
— 23.1154 @ 0.995
No on Will Scotland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
— -$0.08 · 28.08 @ 0.997
No on Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
— 32.22 @ 0.992
No on Will Scotland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
— +$0.08 · 28.084 @ 0.997
No on Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
— 32.225571 @ 0.993
No on EdgeX FDV above $5B one day after launch?
— +$0.03 · 27.727 @ 0.999
No on Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in March?
— +$0.03 · 32.032 @ 0.999
No on Bank of Japan decreases interest rates after January 2026 meeting?
— +$0.08 · 25.075224 @ 0.997
Yes on Will Polymarket US go live in 2025?
— -$3.95 · 26 @ 0.848
Yes on Will Polymarket US go live in 2025?
— -$4.69 · 22 @ 0.787
Yes on Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after October 2025 meeting?
— -$1.55 · 31 @ 0.950
Yes on Will Donald Trump be inaugurated?
— -$27.17 · 2470 @ 0.989
Yes on Will Donald Trump be inaugurated?
— -$27.06 · 2460 @ 0.989
Yes on Will Donald Trump be inaugurated?
— -$27.27 · 2479 @ 0.989
Integrity indicators
No anomalies detected for this trader.
Anomaly indicators reflect statistical patterns only. May have innocent explanations.