No on Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?
— 12336.75 @ 0.786
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XA
XAE12Archangel
All-time PnL
-$5.47k
Win rate
55.2%
55 of 100
Total trades
100
Avg PnL / trade
-$188.77
30d PnL
-$5.47k
30d trades
100
30d wins
16
16.0%
30d volume
$130.6k
Category edge
Economy
55.2%
+7.8pp
n=29
vs cohort baseline per category · observed record only · not financial advice
Signal hit rate
55.2% (16 wins / 13 misses)⚠ Possible wash trade
opposite positions detected on 6 markets — verify independentlyCumulative PnL · 3-day series
$5.60
-$5.47k
Trading pattern
Economy Specialisttwo-sidedsmall-sizecategory-focusedBalanced · Economy 82%
Why Economy Specialisthigh confidence · 100 trades
Category focus: Economy 82% of categorized trades — ≥60% concentrated in one category → a Economy specialist.
Directional bias: -0.04 (two-sided) — Trades both sides fairly evenly — no strong directional lean.
Entry pricing: avg 0.50 — Enters around mid-priced outcomes — no strong odds tilt.
Typical position size: median $300 — Small typical stake (<$500).
Sizing consistency: CV 2.22 (varied) — Stakes vary widely — opportunistic or conviction-weighted sizing.
Observed behaviour — descriptive, not predictive. NFA.
Entry price
0–10¢90–100¢
avg 50¢ · 100 trades
Position sizing
<$100$10k+
median $300.00 · p90 $2.34k
Activity · UTC
00h12h23h
peak Thu 12:00 · 100 trades
Descriptive analytics of this trader’s observed public activity — not a prediction or recommendation. Not financial advice.
Recent trades
EXPORT
Yes on Will Google (GOOGL) close above $330 end of June?
— 671.3 @ 0.660
Yes on Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?
— 810 @ 0.760
No on Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?
— 2088.98 @ 0.775
No on Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.0% before 2027?
— 20 @ 0.860
No on Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 4.8% before 2027?
— 125 @ 0.713
No on Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?
— 1368.19 @ 0.775
No on Fed rate hike in 2026?
— 3362.21 @ 0.460
No on Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by June 30?
— 197.9 @ 0.997
No on Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?
— 17229.71 @ 0.771
No on Fed rate hike in 2026?
— 1000 @ 0.450
No on Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?
— 2949.5 @ 0.769
No on Fed rate hike in 2026?
— 1000 @ 0.440
Yes on Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?
— 13397.43 @ 0.750
Yes on Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?
— 9422.41 @ 0.014
No on Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?
— 20 @ 0.768
Yes on Will Google (GOOGL) close above $330 end of June?
— 67.3 @ 0.775
No on Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of June?
— 1407.99 @ 0.997
No on Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?
— 296.54 @ 0.951
No on Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $200 by end of June?
— 868.52 @ 0.998
No on Fed rate hike in 2026?
— 1000 @ 0.460
Yes on Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?
— 20000 @ 0.014
No on Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?
— 1484.06 @ 0.772
No on Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by September 30?
— 1000 @ 0.920
No on Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $5,800 (LOW) in December?
— 230.9 @ 0.790
No on Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $5,200 (LOW) in December?
— 13.47 @ 0.850
No on Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?
— 200.1 @ 0.772
No on Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?
— 3089.15 @ 0.759
No on Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?
— 488 @ 0.757
No on Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?
— 638.34 @ 0.756
Yes on Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?
— 597.34 @ 0.004
Yes on Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?
— 9581.68 @ 0.004
Yes on Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?
— 9133.5 @ 0.014
Yes on Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?
— 8048.33 @ 0.004
No on Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?
— 5558.42 @ 0.754
No on Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $175 by end of June?
— 20000 @ 0.996
Yes on Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?
— 11264.09 @ 0.740
No on Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by June 30?
— 1976.48 @ 0.993
No on Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $175 by end of June?
— 3000 @ 0.996
No on Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?
— 4047.21 @ 0.749
No on Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $130 by end of June?
— 26 @ 0.993
No on Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?
— 192.84 @ 0.735
No on Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?
— 296.1 @ 0.732
No on Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?
— 230 @ 0.730
Yes on Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?
— 6961.84 @ 0.004
Yes on Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?
— 6961.84 @ 0.005
Yes on Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?
— 2990.99 @ 0.720
No on Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?
— 250.36 @ 0.721
No on Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?
— 829.96 @ 0.770
No on Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?
— 322 @ 0.774
Integrity indicators
No anomalies detected for this trader.
Anomaly indicators reflect statistical patterns only. May have innocent explanations.