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mishkapatron

0xfbc2…514cpolymarket ↗last active 24m ago
All-time PnL
$2.52k
Win rate
46.7%
47 of 100
Total trades
100
Avg PnL / trade
$84.03
30d PnL
$2.52k
30d trades
100
30d wins
14
14.0%
30d volume
$8.96k
Category edge
Sports
50.0%
+4.5pp
n=52

vs cohort baseline per category · observed record only · not financial advice

Signal hit rate
60.5% (49 wins / 32 misses)
Cumulative PnL · 7-day series
$2.52k
$0.00
Trading pattern
Sports Specialistbuy-heavysmall-sizecategory-focusedBuy-leaning · Sports 100%
Why Sports Specialisthigh confidence · 100 trades
Category focus: Sports 100% of categorized trades≥60% concentrated in one category → a Sports specialist.
Directional bias: +1.00 (buy-heavy)Mostly buys outcomes — leans into positions rather than fading them.
Entry pricing: avg 0.47Enters around mid-priced outcomes — no strong odds tilt.
Typical position size: median $100Small typical stake (<$500).
Sizing consistency: CV 0.87 (moderate)Stakes vary moderately across trades.

Observed behaviour — descriptive, not predictive. NFA.

Entry price
0–10¢90–100¢
avg 47¢ · 100 trades
Position sizing
<$100$10k+
median $100.00 · p90 $113.00
Activity · UTC
SunMonTueWedThuFriSat
00h12h23h
peak Sat 20:00 · 100 trades

Descriptive analytics of this trader’s observed public activity — not a prediction or recommendation. Not financial advice.

Recent trades

EXPORT
BUY·24m ago·0xfbc2…514cwhy? →
LYON on LoL: LYON vs Cloud9 - Game 1 Winner
186.666667 @ 0.268
BUY·24m ago·0xfbc2…514cwhy? →
LYON on LoL: LYON vs Cloud9 - Game 1 Winner
200.432593 @ 0.249
BUY·25m ago·0xfbc2…514cwhy? →
LYON on LoL: LYON vs Cloud9 - Game 1 Winner
308.762259 @ 0.291
BUY·25m ago·0xfbc2…514cwhy? →
LYON on LoL: LYON vs Cloud9 - Game 1 Winner
145.17 @ 0.290
BUY·25m ago·0xfbc2…514cwhy? →
LYON on LoL: LYON vs Cloud9 - Game 1 Winner
344.827587 @ 0.290
BUY·36m ago·0xfbc2…514cwhy? →
LYON on LoL: LYON vs Cloud9 - Game 1 Winner
207.81875 @ 0.313
BUY·36m ago·0xfbc2…514cwhy? →
LYON on LoL: LYON vs Cloud9 - Game 1 Winner
312.5 @ 0.320
BUY·36m ago·0xfbc2…514cwhy? →
LYON on LoL: LYON vs Cloud9 - Game 1 Winner
312.5 @ 0.320
BUY·36m ago·0xfbc2…514cwhy? →
LYON on LoL: LYON vs Cloud9 - Game 1 Winner
322.580646 @ 0.310
BUY·37m ago·0xfbc2…514cwhy? →
LYON on LoL: LYON vs Cloud9 - Game 1 Winner
303.030304 @ 0.330
BUY·37m ago·0xfbc2…514cwhy? →
LYON on LoL: LYON vs Cloud9 - Game 1 Winner
308.75 @ 0.324
BUY·47m ago·0xfbc2…514cwhy? →
Cloud9 on LoL: LYON vs Cloud9 - Game 1 Winner
50 @ 0.460
BUY·47m ago·0xfbc2…514cwhy? →
Cloud9 on LoL: LYON vs Cloud9 - Game 1 Winner
217.391305 @ 0.460
BUY·48m ago·0xfbc2…514cwhy? →
Cloud9 on LoL: LYON vs Cloud9 - Game 1 Winner
210.957292 @ 0.474
BUY·48m ago·0xfbc2…514cwhy? →
Cloud9 on LoL: LYON vs Cloud9 - Game 1 Winner
208.945 @ 0.479
BUY·50m ago·0xfbc2…514cwhy? →
LYON on LoL: LYON vs Cloud9 - Game 1 Winner
169.491526 @ 0.590
BUY·50m ago·0xfbc2…514cwhy? →
LYON on LoL: LYON vs Cloud9 - Game 1 Winner
169.491526 @ 0.590
BUY·50m ago·0xfbc2…514cwhy? →
LYON on LoL: LYON vs Cloud9 - Game 1 Winner
167.333332 @ 0.598
BUY·50m ago·0xfbc2…514cwhy? →
LYON on LoL: LYON vs Cloud9 - Game 1 Winner
166.199837 @ 0.602
BUY·2h agoageing·0xfbc2…514cwhy? →
Pipsqueak+4 on Dota 2: Aurora vs Pipsqueak+4 (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group Stage
-$8.00 · 800 @ 0.010
BUY·7h agoageing·0xfbc2…514cwhy? →
PlayTime on Dota 2: Conventus Stellarum vs PlayTime (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group Stage
-$38.00 · 165.217392 @ 0.230
BUY·7h agoageing·0xfbc2…514cwhy? →
PlayTime on Dota 2: Conventus Stellarum vs PlayTime (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group Stage
-$100.00 · 434.782609 @ 0.230
BUY·7h agoageing·0xfbc2…514cwhy? →
PlayTime on Dota 2: Conventus Stellarum vs PlayTime (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group Stage
-$100.00 · 434.782609 @ 0.230
BUY·7h agoageing·0xfbc2…514cwhy? →
PlayTime on Dota 2: Conventus Stellarum vs PlayTime - Game 2 Winner
+$4.15 · 69.148933 @ 0.940
BUY·8h agoageing·0xfbc2…514cwhy? →
Conventus Stellarum on Dota 2: Conventus Stellarum vs PlayTime - Game 2 Winner
-$80.00 · 543.664 @ 0.147
BUY·8h agoageing·0xfbc2…514cwhy? →
Conventus Stellarum on Dota 2: Conventus Stellarum vs PlayTime - Game 2 Winner
-$60.00 · 295.569524 @ 0.203
BUY·8h agoageing·0xfbc2…514cwhy? →
Conventus Stellarum on Dota 2: Conventus Stellarum vs PlayTime - Game 2 Winner
-$25.19 · 139.97 @ 0.180
BUY·10h agoageing·0xfbc2…514cwhy? →
Team Nemesis on Dota 2: 1win vs Team Nemesis (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group Stage
+$335.22 · 435.217392 @ 0.230
BUY·10h agoageing·0xfbc2…514cwhy? →
Team Nemesis on Dota 2: 1win vs Team Nemesis (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group Stage
+$334.78 · 434.782609 @ 0.230
BUY·10h agoageing·0xfbc2…514cwhy? →
Team Nemesis on Dota 2: 1win vs Team Nemesis (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group Stage
+$325.22 · 425.21875 @ 0.235
BUY·10h agoageing·0xfbc2…514cwhy? →
Team Nemesis on Dota 2: 1win vs Team Nemesis (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group Stage
+$326.14 · 409.93 @ 0.204
BUY·10h agoageing·0xfbc2…514cwhy? →
Team Nemesis on Dota 2: 1win vs Team Nemesis (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group Stage
+$13.39 · 17.391305 @ 0.230
BUY·10h agoageing·0xfbc2…514cwhy? →
Team Nemesis on Dota 2: 1win vs Team Nemesis (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group Stage
+$130.67 · 186.666667 @ 0.300
BUY·10h agoageing·0xfbc2…514cwhy? →
Team Nemesis on Dota 2: 1win vs Team Nemesis (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group Stage
+$3.65 · 5 @ 0.270
BUY·10h agoageing·0xfbc2…514cwhy? →
Team Nemesis on Dota 2: 1win vs Team Nemesis (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group Stage
+$283.98 · 383.982223 @ 0.260
BUY·10h agoageing·0xfbc2…514cwhy? →
Team Nemesis on Dota 2: 1win vs Team Nemesis (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group Stage
+$284.62 · 384.615385 @ 0.260
BUY·11h agoageing·0xfbc2…514cwhy? →
1win on Dota 2: 1win vs Team Nemesis - Game 2 Winner
-$100.00 · 333.333334 @ 0.300
BUY·11h agoageing·0xfbc2…514cwhy? →
1win on Dota 2: 1win vs Team Nemesis - Game 2 Winner
-$100.00 · 322.580646 @ 0.310
BUY·11h agoageing·0xfbc2…514cwhy? →
1win on Dota 2: 1win vs Team Nemesis - Game 2 Winner
-$100.00 · 324.774194 @ 0.308
BUY·13h agoageing·0xfbc2…514cwhy? →
1win on Dota 2: 1win vs Team Nemesis - Game 1 Winner
+$19.50 · 132.5 @ 0.853
BUY·13h agoageing·0xfbc2…514cwhy? →
1win on Dota 2: 1win vs Team Nemesis - Game 1 Winner
+$13.92 · 48 @ 0.710
BUY·13h agoageing·0xfbc2…514cwhy? →
1win on Dota 2: 1win vs Team Nemesis - Game 1 Winner
+$12.18 · 40.61 @ 0.700
BUY·13h agoageing·0xfbc2…514cwhy? →
1win on Dota 2: 1win vs Team Nemesis - Game 1 Winner
+$43.14 · 143.142856 @ 0.699
BUY·13h agoageing·0xfbc2…514cwhy? →
1win on Dota 2: 1win vs Team Nemesis - Game 1 Winner
+$43.07 · 143.071426 @ 0.699
BUY·1d agostale·0xfbc2…514cwhy? →
Team WE on LoL: Team WE vs JD Gaming - Game 4 Winner
-$175.00 · 296.61017 @ 0.590
BUY·1d agostale·0xfbc2…514cwhy? →
JD Gaming on LoL: Team WE vs JD Gaming - Game 4 Winner
+$381.82 · 681.818182 @ 0.440
BUY·1d agostale·0xfbc2…514cwhy? →
Team WE on LoL: Team WE vs JD Gaming - Game 3 Winner
-$660.00 · 1692.307693 @ 0.390
BUY·1d agostale·0xfbc2…514cwhy? →
JD Gaming on LoL: Team WE vs JD Gaming - Game 1 Winner
-$200.00 · 1078.72579 @ 0.185
BUY·1d agostale·0xfbc2…514cwhy? →
JD Gaming on LoL: Team WE vs JD Gaming - Game 1 Winner
-$29.00 · 62.340426 @ 0.465
BUY·1d agostale·0xfbc2…514cwhy? →
Team WE on LoL: Team WE vs JD Gaming - Game 1 Winner
+$15.19 · 28.13 @ 0.460
Integrity indicators

No anomalies detected for this trader.

Anomaly indicators reflect statistical patterns only. May have innocent explanations.