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SA

SauBloederPanda

0xfa31…fb4dpolymarket ↗last active 34m ago
All-time PnL
$496.48
Win rate
59.3%
59 of 100
Total trades
100
Avg PnL / trade
$9.22
30d PnL
$498.13
30d trades
100
30d wins
32
32.0%
30d volume
$5.16k
Category edge
Sports
47.4%
+7.8pp
n=76

vs cohort baseline per category · observed record only · not financial advice

Signal hit rate
47.4% (36 wins / 40 misses)
⚠ Possible wash trade
opposite positions detected on 25 markets — verify independently
Cumulative PnL · 10-day series
$702.78
-$82.96
Trading pattern
Sports Specialisttwo-sidedsmall-sizecategory-focusedBuy-leaning · Sports 100%
Why Sports Specialisthigh confidence · 100 trades
Category focus: Sports 100% of categorized trades≥60% concentrated in one category → a Sports specialist.
Directional bias: +0.40 (two-sided)Trades both sides fairly evenly — no strong directional lean.
Entry pricing: avg 0.55Enters around mid-priced outcomes — no strong odds tilt.
Typical position size: median $30Small typical stake (<$500).
Sizing consistency: CV 1.40 (varied)Stakes vary widely — opportunistic or conviction-weighted sizing.

Observed behaviour — descriptive, not predictive. NFA.

Entry price
0–10¢90–100¢
avg 55¢ · 100 trades
Position sizing
<$100$10k+
median $30.45 · p90 $100.00
Activity · UTC
SunMonTueWedThuFriSat
00h12h23h
peak Sat 18:00 · 100 trades

Descriptive analytics of this trader’s observed public activity — not a prediction or recommendation. Not financial advice.

Recent trades

EXPORT
BUY·34m ago·0xfa31…fb4dwhy? →
on Sevilla FC vs. FC Barcelona: O/U 3.5 AND Sevilla FC vs. FC Barcelona: Both Teams to Score
1004.239226 @ 0.485
BUY·2h agoageing·0xfa31…fb4dwhy? →
Movistar KOI on LoL: Karmine Corp vs Movistar KOI - Game 2 Winner
125 @ 0.400
BUY·3h agoageing·0xfa31…fb4dwhy? →
Yes on Will FC Internazionale Milano win on 2026-09-19?
-$200.00 · 526.31579 @ 0.380
BUY·7h agoageing·0xfa31…fb4dwhy? →
Jiri Lehecka on Davis Cup: Jiri Lehecka vs. Learner Tien
57.692308 @ 0.520
BUY·7h agoageing·0xfa31…fb4dwhy? →
Zizou Bergs on Davis Cup: Jurij Rodionov vs. Zizou Bergs
29 @ 0.640
BUY·7h agoageing·0xfa31…fb4dwhy? →
Alejandro Tabilo on Davis Cup: Alejandro Tabilo vs. Daniel Merida
48.269231 @ 0.518
BUY·8h agoageing·0xfa31…fb4dwhy? →
Over on Michael McGreevy: Strikeouts O/U 3.5
43.275861 @ 0.578
BUY·8h agoageing·0xfa31…fb4dwhy? →
on Odense BK vs. FC Midtjylland: O/U 2.5 AND Odense BK vs. FC Midtjylland: Both Teams to Score
42.936602 @ 0.570
BUY·18h agoageing·0xfa31…fb4dwhy? →
Over on Sevilla FC vs. FC Barcelona: O/U 3.5
43.103447 @ 0.580
SELL·22h agoageing·0xfa31…fb4dwhy? →
Yes on Will AS Monaco FC win on 2026-09-18?
-$0.04 · 42.55 @ 0.999
SELL·22h agoageing·0xfa31…fb4dwhy? →
Yes on RCD Espanyol de Barcelona vs. Elche CF: Both Teams to Score
-$0.04 · 35.08 @ 0.999
SELL·22h agoageing·0xfa31…fb4dwhy? →
Over on Brentford FC vs. Chelsea FC: O/U 1.5
-$3.92 · 392.15 @ 0.990
BUY·23h agoageing·0xfa31…fb4dwhy? →
Over on Brentford FC vs. Chelsea FC: O/U 1.5
+$192.16 · 392.156863 @ 0.510
SELL·23h agoageing·0xfa31…fb4dwhy? →
Movistar KOI on Game Handicap: MKOI (-1.5) vs Natus Vincere (+1.5)
-$0.08 · 82.64 @ 0.999
BUY·1d agostale·0xfa31…fb4dwhy? →
on Brentford FC vs. Chelsea FC: Both Teams to Score AND Brentford FC vs. Chelsea FC: O/U 2.5
166.907178 @ 0.587
BUY·1d agostale·0xfa31…fb4dwhy? →
Movistar KOI on Game Handicap: MKOI (-1.5) vs Natus Vincere (+1.5)
+$52.65 · 82.646217 @ 0.363
BUY·1d agostale·0xfa31…fb4dwhy? →
MOUZ on Map Handicap: MOUZ (-1.5) vs Natus Vincere (+1.5)
-$25.00 · 67.567568 @ 0.370
BUY·1d agostale·0xfa31…fb4dwhy? →
MOUZ on Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - StarLadder StarSeries Playoffs
+$30.65 · 80.64516 @ 0.620
BUY·1d agostale·0xfa31…fb4dwhy? →
Yes on RCD Espanyol de Barcelona vs. Elche CF: Both Teams to Score
+$15.09 · 35.08772 @ 0.570
BUY·1d agostale·0xfa31…fb4dwhy? →
Yes on Will AS Monaco FC win on 2026-09-18?
+$22.55 · 42.553192 @ 0.470
SELL·1d agostale·0xfa31…fb4dwhy? →
Yes on Amon-Ra St. Brown: Anytime Touchdown
-$0.23 · 22.72 @ 0.990
SELL·1d agostale·0xfa31…fb4dwhy? →
Philadelphia Phillies on Philadelphia Phillies vs. New York Mets
-$0.06 · 63.82 @ 0.999
SELL·1d agostale·0xfa31…fb4dwhy? →
Over on Josh Allen: Passing Touchdowns O/U 1.5
-$0.16 · 15.87 @ 0.990
BUY·1d agostale·0xfa31…fb4dwhy? →
Over on Josh Allen: Passing Yards O/U 249.5
-$10.00 · 18.518519 @ 0.540
BUY·1d agostale·0xfa31…fb4dwhy? →
Yes on Amon-Ra St. Brown: Anytime Touchdown
+$12.73 · 22.727273 @ 0.440
BUY·1d agostale·0xfa31…fb4dwhy? →
Over on DJ Moore: Receptions O/U 4.5
-$10.00 · 20 @ 0.500
BUY·1d agostale·0xfa31…fb4dwhy? →
Over on Josh Allen: Passing Touchdowns O/U 1.5
+$5.87 · 15.873016 @ 0.630
SELL·1d agostale·0xfa31…fb4dwhy? →
Juventus FC on Spread: Juventus FC (-1.5)
-$5.53 · 161.29 @ 0.966
BUY·1d agostale·0xfa31…fb4dwhy? →
Yes on Will Los Angeles Lakers win the 2027 NBA Finals?
1030.5 @ 0.020
SELL·1d agostale·0xfa31…fb4dwhy? →
Over on Juventus FC vs. NEC: Juventus FC O/U 2.5
-$0.09 · 90.9 @ 0.999
BUY·2d agostale·0xfa31…fb4dwhy? →
Philadelphia Phillies on Philadelphia Phillies vs. New York Mets
+$33.83 · 63.829788 @ 0.470
BUY·2d agostale·0xfa31…fb4dwhy? →
on Crystal Palace FC vs. KKS Lech Poznań: Both Teams to Score AND Crystal Palace FC vs. KKS Lech Poznań: O/U 2.5
67.756168 @ 0.504
BUY·2d agostale·0xfa31…fb4dwhy? →
Over on Juventus FC vs. NEC: Juventus FC O/U 2.5
+$40.91 · 90.909091 @ 0.550
BUY·2d agostale·0xfa31…fb4dwhy? →
Juventus FC on Spread: Juventus FC (-1.5)
+$61.29 · 161.290323 @ 0.620
SELL·2d agostale·0xfa31…fb4dwhy? →
Milwaukee Brewers on Milwaukee Brewers vs. Pittsburgh Pirates
-$0.06 · 55.55 @ 0.999
BUY·2d agostale·0xfa31…fb4dwhy? →
Yes on Boston Red Sox winning after 5 innings?
-$30.00 · 72.142858 @ 0.416
BUY·2d agostale·0xfa31…fb4dwhy? →
Boston Red Sox on Boston Red Sox vs. Texas Rangers
-$30.00 · 58.82353 @ 0.510
SELL·2d agostale·0xfa31…fb4dwhy? →
No on Will AC Milan win on 2026-09-16?
-$0.08 · 84.74 @ 0.999
SELL·2d agostale·0xfa31…fb4dwhy? →
No on Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-09-16?
-$0.10 · 104.16 @ 0.999
BUY·2d agostale·0xfa31…fb4dwhy? →
Yes on Philadelphia Phillies winning after 5 innings?
+$24.55 · 54.545455 @ 0.550
BUY·2d agostale·0xfa31…fb4dwhy? →
Milwaukee Brewers on Milwaukee Brewers vs. Pittsburgh Pirates
+$25.56 · 55.555556 @ 0.540
SELL·2d agostale·0xfa31…fb4dwhy? →
Cleveland Guardians on Athletics vs. Cleveland Guardians
-$27.76 · 67.7 @ 0.590
BUY·2d agostale·0xfa31…fb4dwhy? →
Cleveland Guardians on Athletics vs. Cleveland Guardians
+$27.70 · 67.7 @ 0.591
SELL·2d agostale·0xfa31…fb4dwhy? →
Yes on Levante UD vs. Athletic Club: Both Teams to Score
68.96 @ 0.560
BUY·3d agostale·0xfa31…fb4dwhy? →
No on Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-09-16?
+$54.17 · 104.166667 @ 0.480
BUY·3d agostale·0xfa31…fb4dwhy? →
No on Will AC Milan win on 2026-09-16?
+$34.75 · 84.745763 @ 0.590
SELL·3d agostale·0xfa31…fb4dwhy? →
Yes on Jeonbuk FC vs. Kashiwa Reysol: Both Teams to Score
-$0.07 · 72.72 @ 0.999
BUY·3d agostale·0xfa31…fb4dwhy? →
Over on AC Milan vs. Sport Lisboa e Benfica: O/U 2.5
-$40.00 · 71.428572 @ 0.560
BUY·3d agostale·0xfa31…fb4dwhy? →
Over on Club Atlético de Madrid vs. CA Osasuna: O/U 2.5
+$37.72 · 87.719297 @ 0.570
BUY·3d agostale·0xfa31…fb4dwhy? →
Yes on Levante UD vs. Athletic Club: Both Teams to Score
68.965516 @ 0.580
Integrity indicators

No anomalies detected for this trader.

Anomaly indicators reflect statistical patterns only. May have innocent explanations.