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OI

Oilucius

0xf5a8…9643polymarket ↗last active 20m ago
All-time PnL
$2.80k
Win rate
42.0%
42 of 100
Total trades
100
Avg PnL / trade
$28.00
30d PnL
$2.80k
30d trades
100
30d wins
42
42.0%
30d volume
$16.6k
Category edge
Crypto
23.3%
-34.6pp
n=30
Sports
50.0%
-13.4pp
n=70

vs cohort baseline per category · observed record only · not financial advice

Signal hit rate
42.0% (42 wins / 58 misses)
⚠ Possible wash trade
opposite positions detected on 18 markets — verify independently
Cumulative PnL · 7-day series
$3.88k
-$186.35
Trading pattern
Sports Specialisttwo-sidedsmall-sizecategory-focusedBuy-leaning · Sports 70%
Why Sports Specialisthigh confidence · 100 trades
Category focus: Sports 70% of categorized trades≥60% concentrated in one category → a Sports specialist.
Directional bias: +0.34 (two-sided)Trades both sides fairly evenly — no strong directional lean.
Entry pricing: avg 0.40Enters around mid-priced outcomes — no strong odds tilt.
Typical position size: median $100Small typical stake (<$500).
Sizing consistency: CV 1.16 (varied)Stakes vary widely — opportunistic or conviction-weighted sizing.

Observed behaviour — descriptive, not predictive. NFA.

Entry price
0–10¢90–100¢
avg 40¢ · 100 trades
Position sizing
<$100$10k+
median $100.00 · p90 $475.19
Activity · UTC
SunMonTueWedThuFriSat
00h12h23h
peak Wed 02:00 · 100 trades

Descriptive analytics of this trader’s observed public activity — not a prediction or recommendation. Not financial advice.

Recent trades

EXPORT
SELL·20m ago·0xf5a8…9643why? →
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET
-$44.89 · 257.83 @ 0.826
BUY·23m ago·0xf5a8…9643why? →
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET
+$58.24 · 88.235293 @ 0.340
BUY·24m ago·0xf5a8…9643why? →
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET
+$66.77 · 96.774192 @ 0.310
BUY·24m ago·0xf5a8…9643why? →
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET
+$42.82 · 72.820713 @ 0.412
BUY·31m ago·0xf5a8…9643why? →
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET
-$100.00 · 374.983927 @ 0.267
BUY·31m ago·0xf5a8…9643why? →
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET
-$100.00 · 384.315554 @ 0.260
BUY·1h ago·0xf5a8…9643why? →
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET
+$161.15 · 261.147 @ 0.383
BUY·1h ago·0xf5a8…9643why? →
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET
+$72.37 · 172.37288 @ 0.580
SELL·2h agoageing·0xf5a8…9643why? →
Over on Colombia vs. DR Congo: O/U 1.5
+$102.50 · 249.99 @ 0.410
BUY·2h agoageing·0xf5a8…9643why? →
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET
-$30.00 · 230.769229 @ 0.130
BUY·2h agoageing·0xf5a8…9643why? →
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET
-$100.00 · 154.427845 @ 0.648
BUY·2h agoageing·0xf5a8…9643why? →
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET
-$100.00 · 158.730156 @ 0.630
BUY·2h agoageing·0xf5a8…9643why? →
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET
-$200.00 · 285.714283 @ 0.700
BUY·3h agoageing·0xf5a8…9643why? →
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET
-$30.00 · 108.43357 @ 0.277
BUY·3h agoageing·0xf5a8…9643why? →
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET
-$30.00 · 136.363635 @ 0.220
BUY·3h agoageing·0xf5a8…9643why? →
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET
-$100.00 · 404.635768 @ 0.247
BUY·3h agoageing·0xf5a8…9643why? →
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET
-$18.04 · 56.38 @ 0.320
BUY·3h agoageing·0xf5a8…9643why? →
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET
-$30.00 · 112.23793 @ 0.267
BUY·3h agoageing·0xf5a8…9643why? →
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET
-$100.00 · 393.666537 @ 0.254
BUY·3h agoageing·0xf5a8…9643why? →
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET
-$30.00 · 130.434781 @ 0.230
BUY·3h agoageing·0xf5a8…9643why? →
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET
-$30.00 · 93.576665 @ 0.321
BUY·3h agoageing·0xf5a8…9643why? →
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET
-$100.00 · 344.827585 @ 0.290
BUY·4h agoageing·0xf5a8…9643why? →
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET
-$30.00 · 676.414 @ 0.044
BUY·4h agoageing·0xf5a8…9643why? →
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET
-$30.00 · 100 @ 0.300
BUY·4h agoageing·0xf5a8…9643why? →
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET
-$30.00 · 96.774192 @ 0.310
BUY·4h agoageing·0xf5a8…9643why? →
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET
-$100.00 · 188.5 @ 0.531
SELL·5h agoageing·0xf5a8…9643why? →
Yes on Exact Score: Panama 0 - 2 Croatia?
+$47.11 · 200.55 @ 0.235
SELL·5h agoageing·0xf5a8…9643why? →
Over on Panama vs. Croatia: O/U 1.5
+$269.99 · 499.99 @ 0.540
BUY·5h agoageing·0xf5a8…9643why? →
Yes on Exact Score: Panama 0 - 2 Croatia?
-$50.14 · 200.55 @ 0.250
BUY·9h agoageing·0xf5a8…9643why? →
Ghana on Spread: England (-1.5)
+$569.56 · 1017.08 @ 0.440
BUY·1d agostale·0xf5a8…9643why? →
Yes on Will Algeria win on 2026-06-22?
+$0.21 · 5.208325 @ 0.960
SELL·1d agostale·0xf5a8…9643why? →
Yes on Norway vs. Senegal: Both Teams to Score
-$0.70 · 700 @ 0.999
SELL·1d agostale·0xf5a8…9643why? →
Iraq on Spread: France (-3.5)
-$0.50 · 499.97 @ 0.999
SELL·1d agostale·0xf5a8…9643why? →
Over on Norway vs. Senegal: 1st Half O/U 0.5
-$22.98 · 28.73 @ 0.200
BUY·1d agostale·0xf5a8…9643why? →
Over on Norway vs. Senegal: 1st Half O/U 0.5
+$34.96 · 62.43 @ 0.440
BUY·1d agostale·0xf5a8…9643why? →
Iraq on Spread: France (-3.5)
+$53.10 · 90 @ 0.410
BUY·1d agostale·0xf5a8…9643why? →
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET
-$100.00 · 344.827585 @ 0.290
BUY·1d agostale·0xf5a8…9643why? →
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET
+$92.31 · 192.307691 @ 0.520
BUY·1d agostale·0xf5a8…9643why? →
Iraq on Spread: France (-2.5)
-$326.66 · 1020.82 @ 0.320
SELL·1d agostale·0xf5a8…9643why? →
Over on France vs. Iraq: O/U 5.5
+$140.00 · 1000 @ 0.140
BUY·1d agostale·0xf5a8…9643why? →
Over on France vs. Iraq: O/U 5.5
-$190.00 · 1000 @ 0.190
SELL·1d agostale·0xf5a8…9643why? →
Austria on Spread: Argentina (-1.5)
+$0.29 · 0.45 @ 0.650
SELL·1d agostale·0xf5a8…9643why? →
Under on Argentina vs. Austria: O/U 2.5
-$2.18 · 5.07 @ 0.570
BUY·1d agostale·0xf5a8…9643why? →
Under on Argentina vs. Austria: O/U 2.5
+$2.13 · 5.06 @ 0.580
SELL·1d agostale·0xf5a8…9643why? →
Under on Argentina vs. Austria: O/U 2.5
-$223.01 · 506.83 @ 0.560
BUY·1d agostale·0xf5a8…9643why? →
Yes on Will Argentina vs. Austria end in a draw?
-$133.48 · 1026.79 @ 0.130
BUY·1d agostale·0xf5a8…9643why? →
Under on Argentina vs. Austria: O/U 2.5
+$228.08 · 506.84 @ 0.550
BUY·1d agostale·0xf5a8…9643why? →
Austria on Spread: Argentina (-1.5)
-$119.60 · 186.87 @ 0.640
SELL·2d agostale·0xf5a8…9643why? →
Yes on Will New Zealand vs. Egypt end in a draw?
+$11.11 · 714.28 @ 0.016
BUY·2d agostale·0xf5a8…9643why? →
Yes on Will New Zealand vs. Egypt end in a draw?
-$100.00 · 714.285713 @ 0.140
Integrity indicators

No anomalies detected for this trader.

Anomaly indicators reflect statistical patterns only. May have innocent explanations.