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RA

ravenatp

0xf439…9830polymarket ↗last active 14m ago
All-time PnL
$255.17
Win rate
64.3%
64 of 100
Total trades
100
Avg PnL / trade
$6.08
30d PnL
$255.17
30d trades
100
30d wins
27
27.0%
30d volume
$3.79k
Category edge
Crypto
51.5%
-9.2pp
n=99

vs cohort baseline per category · observed record only · not financial advice

Signal hit rate
51.5% (51 wins / 48 misses)
⚠ Possible wash trade
opposite positions detected on 25 markets — verify independently
Cumulative PnL · 3-day series
$255.17
-$4.00
Trading pattern
Crypto Specialisttwo-sidedsmall-sizecategory-focusedBalanced · Crypto 100%
Why Crypto Specialisthigh confidence · 100 trades
Category focus: Crypto 100% of categorized trades≥60% concentrated in one category → a Crypto specialist.
Directional bias: +0.14 (two-sided)Trades both sides fairly evenly — no strong directional lean.
Entry pricing: avg 0.39Enters around mid-priced outcomes — no strong odds tilt.
Typical position size: median $40Small typical stake (<$500).
Sizing consistency: CV 0.63 (moderate)Stakes vary moderately across trades.

Observed behaviour — descriptive, not predictive. NFA.

Entry price
0–10¢90–100¢
avg 39¢ · 100 trades
Position sizing
<$100$10k+
median $40.00 · p90 $70.00
Activity · UTC
SunMonTueWedThuFriSat
00h12h23h
peak Sun 23:00 · 100 trades

Descriptive analytics of this trader’s observed public activity — not a prediction or recommendation. Not financial advice.

Recent trades

EXPORT
BUY·14m ago·0xf439…9830why? →
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - July 26, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET
169.755 @ 0.412
BUY·28m ago·0xf439…9830why? →
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - July 26, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET
-$70.00 · 194.119188 @ 0.361
SELL·33m ago·0xf439…9830why? →
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - July 26, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET
+$4.00 · 133.34 @ 0.030
BUY·35m ago·0xf439…9830why? →
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - July 26, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET
-$20.00 · 133.333332 @ 0.150
SELL·37m ago·0xf439…9830why? →
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - July 26, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET
-$26.49 · 37.84 @ 0.300
BUY·38m ago·0xf439…9830why? →
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - July 26, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET
+$29.14 · 37.84 @ 0.230
SELL·39m ago·0xf439…9830why? →
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - July 26, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET
+$53.04 · 71.2 @ 0.745
BUY·43m ago·0xf439…9830why? →
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - July 26, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET
-$20.00 · 71.206895 @ 0.281
SELL·43m ago·0xf439…9830why? →
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - July 26, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET
-$61.69 · 168.06 @ 0.633
BUY·44m ago·0xf439…9830why? →
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - July 26, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET
+$98.06 · 168.063022 @ 0.417
SELL·48m ago·0xf439…9830why? →
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - July 26, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET
+$0.00 · 0.01 @ 0.350
SELL·49m ago·0xf439…9830why? →
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - July 26, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET
+$5.21 · 11.09 @ 0.470
BUY·49m ago·0xf439…9830why? →
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - July 26, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET
-$70.00 · 180.1665 @ 0.389
BUY·52m ago·0xf439…9830why? →
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - July 26, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET
+$100.85 · 170.853657 @ 0.410
SELL·52m ago·0xf439…9830why? →
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - July 26, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET
-$47.31 · 97.57 @ 0.515
BUY·52m ago·0xf439…9830why? →
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - July 26, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET
+$57.56 · 97.560974 @ 0.410
SELL·53m ago·0xf439…9830why? →
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - July 26, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET
+$79.53 · 193.13 @ 0.412
BUY·53m ago·0xf439…9830why? →
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - July 26, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET
-$70.00 · 193.131577 @ 0.362
SELL·54m ago·0xf439…9830why? →
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - July 26, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET
-$101.96 · 189.18 @ 0.461
BUY·55m ago·0xf439…9830why? →
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - July 26, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET
+$119.19 · 189.189188 @ 0.370
SELL·58m ago·0xf439…9830why? →
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - July 26, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET
+$48.55 · 125 @ 0.388
BUY·59m ago·0xf439…9830why? →
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - July 26, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET
-$40.00 · 125 @ 0.320
BUY·1h ago·0xf439…9830why? →
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - July 26, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET
+$81.21 · 121.21212 @ 0.330
BUY·1h ago·0xf439…9830why? →
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - July 26, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET
+$34.05 · 54.054053 @ 0.370
SELL·1h ago·0xf439…9830why? →
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - July 26, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET
+$10.21 · 190.17 @ 0.054
BUY·1h ago·0xf439…9830why? →
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - July 26, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET
-$70.00 · 190.163782 @ 0.368
SELL·1h ago·0xf439…9830why? →
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - July 26, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET
-$86.68 · 170.54 @ 0.492
BUY·1h ago·0xf439…9830why? →
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - July 26, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET
+$100.55 · 170.547618 @ 0.410
SELL·1h ago·0xf439…9830why? →
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - July 26, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET
+$81.56 · 168.7 @ 0.483
BUY·1h ago·0xf439…9830why? →
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - July 26, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET
-$67.41 · 168.707316 @ 0.400
SELL·1h ago·0xf439…9830why? →
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - July 26, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET
+$6.15 · 102.56 @ 0.060
SELL·1h ago·0xf439…9830why? →
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - July 26, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET
+$40.22 · 95.76 @ 0.420
BUY·1h ago·0xf439…9830why? →
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - July 26, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET
-$40.00 · 102.564101 @ 0.390
SELL·1h ago·0xf439…9830why? →
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - July 26, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET
+$1.76 · 58.82 @ 0.030
BUY·1h ago·0xf439…9830why? →
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - July 26, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET
-$40.00 · 58.823528 @ 0.680
SELL·1h ago·0xf439…9830why? →
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - July 26, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET
+$14.93 · 32.46 @ 0.460
BUY·1h ago·0xf439…9830why? →
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - July 26, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET
-$12.61 · 32.46 @ 0.388
BUY·1h ago·0xf439…9830why? →
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - July 26, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET
+$1.63 · 11.627905 @ 0.860
BUY·1h ago·0xf439…9830why? →
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - July 26, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET
-$40.00 · 95.761903 @ 0.418
SELL·2h agoageing·0xf439…9830why? →
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - July 26, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET
+$24.78 · 50.83 @ 0.487
BUY·2h agoageing·0xf439…9830why? →
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - July 26, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET
-$30.00 · 50.838 @ 0.590
SELL·2h agoageing·0xf439…9830why? →
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - July 26, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET
-$46.50 · 103.33 @ 0.550
BUY·2h agoageing·0xf439…9830why? →
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - July 26, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET
+$63.33 · 103.333075 @ 0.387
SELL·2h agoageing·0xf439…9830why? →
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - July 26, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET
+$2.35 · 117.42 @ 0.020
BUY·2h agoageing·0xf439…9830why? →
Down on Ethereum Up or Down - July 26, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET
+$31.42 · 71.417367 @ 0.560
BUY·2h agoageing·0xf439…9830why? →
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - July 26, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET
-$40.00 · 117.42857 @ 0.341
SELL·2h agoageing·0xf439…9830why? →
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - July 26, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET
+$4.70 · 10 @ 0.470
BUY·2h agoageing·0xf439…9830why? →
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - July 26, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET
-$4.10 · 10 @ 0.410
SELL·2h agoageing·0xf439…9830why? →
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - July 26, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET
+$4.71 · 117.64 @ 0.040
BUY·2h agoageing·0xf439…9830why? →
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - July 26, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET
-$20.00 · 117.647057 @ 0.170
Integrity indicators

No anomalies detected for this trader.

Anomaly indicators reflect statistical patterns only. May have innocent explanations.