No on Will FC Arouca win on 2026-09-19?
— 188.1354 @ 0.960
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SP
SpmR
All-time PnL
-$1.67k
Win rate
80.0%
18 of 22
Total trades
22
Avg PnL / trade
-$83.56
30d PnL
$62.47
30d trades
9
30d wins
7
77.8%
30d volume
$1.20k
Category edge
Weather
88.9%
+42.3pp
n=9
Sports
72.7%
+25.2pp
n=11
vs cohort baseline per category · observed record only · not financial advice
Signal hit rate
80.0% (16 wins / 4 misses)Cumulative PnL · 16-day series
$0.00
-$1.74k
Trading pattern
Sports-Leaningbuy-heavysmall-sizefavorite-backerBuy-leaning · Sports 59%
Why Sports-Leaningmedium confidence · 22 trades
Category focus: Sports 59% of categorized trades — a lean toward Sports without full specialization.
Directional bias: +1.00 (buy-heavy) — Mostly buys outcomes — leans into positions rather than fading them.
Entry pricing: avg 0.85 — Enters at favorite prices (>0.70) — backs likely outcomes.
Typical position size: median $130 — Small typical stake (<$500).
Sizing consistency: CV 1.15 (varied) — Stakes vary widely — opportunistic or conviction-weighted sizing.
⚠ Based on 22 trades — a moderate sample.
Observed behaviour — descriptive, not predictive. NFA.
Entry price
0–10¢90–100¢
avg 85¢ · 22 trades
Position sizing
<$100$10k+
median $129.78 · p90 $891.37
Activity · UTC
00h12h23h
peak Sat 22:00 · 22 trades
Descriptive analytics of this trader’s observed public activity — not a prediction or recommendation. Not financial advice.
Recent trades
EXPORT
HMBLE on LoL: HMBLE vs Colossal Gaming (BO5) - LIT Playoffs
— 180.609128 @ 0.920
Frites Esports Club on LoL: Frites Esports Club vs Senshi Esports Club (BO5) - Road Of Legends Playoffs
— +$15.96 · 166.224066 @ 0.904
Estral Esports on LoL: Estral Esports vs KaBuM! Ilha das Lendas (BO5) - Circuito Desafiante Playoffs
— +$18.03 · 150.261358 @ 0.880
No on Will Gil Vicente FC win on 2026-09-13?
— +$4.89 · 132.232594 @ 0.963
Anubis Gaming on LoL: Anubis Gaming vs Pyramid IV Esports (BO3) - Arabian League Playoffs
— +$10.23 · 127.847825 @ 0.920
No on Will FK Bodø/Glimt win on 2026-09-10?
— +$3.29 · 117.623428 @ 0.972
No on Will Feyenoord Rotterdam win on 2026-09-09?
— +$3.09 · 114.326814 @ 0.973
Frites Esports Club on LoL: Frites Esports Club vs mCon esports (BO5) - Road Of Legends Playoffs
— +$6.97 · 111.244666 @ 0.937
Barça eSports on LoL: FALKE Esports vs Barça eSports (BO3) - LES Regular Season
— +$4.27 · 104.270825 @ 0.959
Yes on Will France win on 2026-07-18?
— -$100.00 · 980.392155 @ 0.102
Yes on Will England win on 2026-07-11?
— -$21.50 · 100 @ 0.215
Yes on Will Norway win on 2026-07-11?
— -$1.50k · 2955.29846 @ 0.508
No on Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 86-87°F on August 22?
— +$18.27 · 913.2959 @ 0.980
No on Will the highest temperature in London be 73°F or higher on August 21?
— +$3.65 · 895.021 @ 0.996
No on Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 89-90°F on July 18?
— +$7.69 · 891.375 @ 0.991
No on Will the highest temperature in New York City be 97°F or higher on July 17?
— +$11.40 · 883.6925 @ 0.987
No on Will the highest temperature in London be between 72-73°F on May 10?
— +$10.20 · 40.2 @ 0.746
No on Will the highest temperature in London be between 67-68°F on May 9?
— +$4.75 · 104.7468 @ 0.955
No on Will the highest temperature in London be between 63-64°F on May 8?
— +$8.17 · 108.172042 @ 0.924
No on Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 77-78°F on May 7?
— +$19.37 · 849.1673 @ 0.977
No on Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 75-76°F on May 7?
— -$200.00 · 229.076985 @ 0.873
Integrity indicators
No anomalies detected for this trader.
Anomaly indicators reflect statistical patterns only. May have innocent explanations.