Yes on NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?
— 596.82 @ 0.280
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LO
LouLouN
All-time PnL
-$2.79
Win rate
33.3%
4 of 13
Total trades
13
Avg PnL / trade
-$0.93
30d PnL
-$2.79
30d trades
13
30d wins
1
7.7%
30d volume
$1.32k
Signal hit rate
n=3 signals — too few to judge⚠ Possible wash trade
opposite positions detected on 3 markets — verify independentlyCumulative PnL · 1-day series
Not enough data to chart yet.
Trading pattern
World Specialisttwo-sidedsmall-sizecategory-focusedSell-leaning · World 77%
Why World Specialistmedium confidence · 13 trades
Category focus: World 77% of categorized trades — ≥60% concentrated in one category → a World specialist.
Directional bias: -0.38 (two-sided) — Trades both sides fairly evenly — no strong directional lean.
Entry pricing: avg 0.54 — Enters around mid-priced outcomes — no strong odds tilt.
Typical position size: median $40 — Small typical stake (<$500).
Sizing consistency: CV 1.04 (varied) — Stakes vary widely — opportunistic or conviction-weighted sizing.
⚠ Based on 13 trades — a moderate sample.
Observed behaviour — descriptive, not predictive. NFA.
Entry price
0–10¢90–100¢
avg 54¢ · 13 trades
Position sizing
<$100$10k+
median $40.39 · p90 $215.20
Activity · UTC
00h12h23h
peak Mon 00:00 · 13 trades
Descriptive analytics of this trader’s observed public activity — not a prediction or recommendation. Not financial advice.
Recent trades
EXPORT
No on Will United Russia win between 325 and 339 seats in the next Russian State Duma election?
— 210.9 @ 0.932
Yes on US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?
— 399.99 @ 0.500
Yes on Will United Russia win between 325 and 339 seats in the next Russian State Duma election?
— 408.1 @ 0.036
No on US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?
— 30 @ 0.500
No on Will United Russia win between 325 and 339 seats in the next Russian State Duma election?
— 10 @ 0.790
No on NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?
— 181.16 @ 0.700
No on US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?
— 413.85 @ 0.520
No on Will United Russia win between 325 and 339 seats in the next Russian State Duma election?
— 591.51 @ 0.560
No on Trump x Greenland deal signed by September 23?
— 168.3 @ 0.240
Up on Ethereum Up or Down - September 12, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET
— -$4.20 · 10.5 @ 0.400
Yes on Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?
— -$0.28 · 1.26 @ 0.780
Yes on Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?
— +$0.27 · 1.265823 @ 0.790
Integrity indicators
No anomalies detected for this trader.
Anomaly indicators reflect statistical patterns only. May have innocent explanations.