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DI

dilbo

0xef58…1976polymarket ↗last active 21m ago
All-time PnL
$486.61
Win rate
22.9%
23 of 100
Total trades
100
Avg PnL / trade
$10.14
30d PnL
$0.00
30d trades
14
30d wins
0
0.0%
30d volume
$1.57k
Category edge
Sports
26.7%
-18.9pp
n=15

vs cohort baseline per category · observed record only · not financial advice

Signal hit rate
29.8% (25 wins / 59 misses)
⚠ Possible wash trade
opposite positions detected on 14 markets — verify independently
Cumulative PnL · 6-day series
$489.93
-$301.89
Trading pattern
Sports Specialistbuy-heavysmall-sizelongshot-huntercategory-focusedBuy-leaning · Sports 80%
Why Sports Specialisthigh confidence · 100 trades
Category focus: Sports 80% of categorized trades≥60% concentrated in one category → a Sports specialist.
Directional bias: +0.58 (buy-heavy)Mostly buys outcomes — leans into positions rather than fading them.
Entry pricing: avg 0.27Enters at long-odds prices (<0.30) — a longshot-hunter pattern.
Typical position size: median $48Small typical stake (<$500).
Sizing consistency: CV 1.55 (varied)Stakes vary widely — opportunistic or conviction-weighted sizing.

Observed behaviour — descriptive, not predictive. NFA.

Entry price
0–10¢90–100¢
avg 27¢ · 100 trades
Position sizing
<$100$10k+
median $48.49 · p90 $200.00
Activity · UTC
SunMonTueWedThuFriSat
00h12h23h
peak Thu 09:00 · 100 trades

Descriptive analytics of this trader’s observed public activity — not a prediction or recommendation. Not financial advice.

Recent trades

EXPORT
BUY·21m ago·0xef58…1976why? →
Under on SMU vs. Louisville: O/U 62.5
371 @ 0.482
BUY·23m ago·0xef58…1976why? →
on NYG vs. LA: O/U 48.5 AND Spread: Rams (-6.5)
425.94349 @ 0.226
BUY·24m ago·0xef58…1976why? →
on NYG vs. LA: O/U 48.5 AND Spread: Rams (-7.5)
377.488804 @ 0.255
BUY·24m ago·0xef58…1976why? →
on Giants vs. Rams AND NYG vs. LA: O/U 48.5
362.396467 @ 0.132
BUY·25m ago·0xef58…1976why? →
Giants on Giants vs. Rams
192.307693 @ 0.260
BUY·27m ago·0xef58…1976why? →
Under on Dolphins vs. 49ers: O/U 43.5
212.765958 @ 0.470
BUY·30m ago·0xef58…1976why? →
on SMU vs. Louisville: O/U 62.5 AND SMU vs. Louisville
235.570262 @ 0.625
BUY·35m ago·0xef58…1976why? →
on Spread: Louisville (-1.5) AND SMU vs. Louisville: O/U 58.5
331.64386 @ 0.591
BUY·36m ago·0xef58…1976why? →
on Spread: Louisville (-1.5) AND SMU vs. Louisville: O/U 58.5
104.215093 @ 0.467
BUY·44m ago·0xef58…1976why? →
on SMU vs. Louisville: O/U 62.5 AND SMU vs. Louisville
675.879565 @ 0.432
BUY·45m ago·0xef58…1976why? →
on SMU vs. Louisville: O/U 58.5 AND SMU vs. Louisville
113.10847 @ 0.430
BUY·45m ago·0xef58…1976why? →
on SMU vs. Louisville: O/U 58.5 AND SMU vs. Louisville
72.474492 @ 0.679
BUY·46m ago·0xef58…1976why? →
on SMU vs. Louisville: O/U 58.5 AND SMU vs. Louisville
32.56655 @ 0.758
BUY·1h ago·0xef58…1976why? →
on LSU vs. Ole Miss AND Florida vs. Auburn
617.757669 @ 0.313
BUY·83d agostale·0xef58…1976why? →
Yes on Will Colombia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
-$20.41 · 850.43 @ 0.024
SELL·83d agostale·0xef58…1976why? →
Yes on Will Canada win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
+$7.50 · 7500 @ 0.001
SELL·83d agostale·0xef58…1976why? →
Yes on Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
+$9.03 · 161.29 @ 0.056
SELL·83d agostale·0xef58…1976why? →
Yes on Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by June 30?
+$1.03 · 258.68 @ 0.004
SELL·83d agostale·0xef58…1976why? →
Yes on Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?
+$3.25 · 25 @ 0.130
BUY·83d agostale·0xef58…1976why? →
Yes on Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
-$11.50 · 500 @ 0.023
BUY·83d agostale·0xef58…1976why? →
Yes on Will Colombia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
-$12.00 · 500 @ 0.024
BUY·83d agostale·0xef58…1976why? →
Yes on Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
+$267.90 · 300 @ 0.107
BUY·83d agostale·0xef58…1976why? →
Yes on Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
-$17.39 · 470 @ 0.037
SELL·83d agostale·0xef58…1976why? →
Yes on Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
-$240.00 · 300 @ 0.200
BUY·90d agostale·0xef58…1976why? →
Yes on Will the fight be won by KO or TKO?
+$56.62 · 106.6176 @ 0.469
BUY·90d agostale·0xef58…1976why? →
Kyoji Horiguchi on UFC Fight Night: Kyoji Horiguchi vs. Manel Kape (Flyweight, Main Card)
-$40.00 · 97.560974 @ 0.410
BUY·90d agostale·0xef58…1976why? →
Ion Cutelaba on UFC Fight Night: Ion Cutelaba vs. Navajo Stirling (Light Heavyweight, Main Card)
-$18.20 · 70 @ 0.260
BUY·90d agostale·0xef58…1976why? →
Andre Fili on UFC Fight Night: Andre Fili vs. Vinicius Oliveira (Featherweight, Main Card)
-$20.00 · 66.666665 @ 0.300
BUY·90d agostale·0xef58…1976why? →
Yes on Will Germany win on 2026-06-20?
+$535.38 · 615.384614 @ 0.130
BUY·90d agostale·0xef58…1976why? →
Yes on Will Germany win on 2026-06-20?
+$307.14 · 357.142856 @ 0.140
BUY·90d agostale·0xef58…1976why? →
Yes on Will Côte d'Ivoire win on 2026-06-20?
-$50.00 · 555.555554 @ 0.090
BUY·90d agostale·0xef58…1976why? →
Yes on Will Germany win on 2026-06-20?
+$683.33 · 833.333332 @ 0.180
SELL·90d agostale·0xef58…1976why? →
Yes on Germany vs. Côte d'Ivoire: Both Teams to Score
-$0.35 · 350.87 @ 0.999
BUY·90d agostale·0xef58…1976why? →
Yes on Will Côte d'Ivoire win on 2026-06-20?
-$50.00 · 399.034614 @ 0.125
SELL·90d agostale·0xef58…1976why? →
Yes on Will Germany vs. Côte d'Ivoire end in a draw?
+$142.86 · 476.19 @ 0.300
BUY·90d agostale·0xef58…1976why? →
Yes on Will Côte d'Ivoire win on 2026-06-20?
-$300.00 · 612.244896 @ 0.490
SELL·90d agostale·0xef58…1976why? →
Over on Germany vs. Côte d'Ivoire: Germany O/U 1.5
-$98.48 · 151.51 @ 0.350
SELL·90d agostale·0xef58…1976why? →
Yes on Will Germany win on 2026-06-20?
-$346.15 · 461.53 @ 0.250
BUY·91d agostale·0xef58…1976why? →
Yes on Will Côte d'Ivoire win on 2026-06-20?
-$100.00 · 285.714284 @ 0.350
BUY·91d agostale·0xef58…1976why? →
No on Will Trump agree to withdraw troops from the Iranian region by June 30?
-$100.00 · 100000 @ 0.001
BUY·91d agostale·0xef58…1976why? →
No on Will Trump agree to withdraw troops from the Iranian region by June 30?
-$30.00 · 30000 @ 0.001
BUY·91d agostale·0xef58…1976why? →
Over on Germany vs. Côte d'Ivoire: Germany O/U 1.5
+$51.52 · 151.51515 @ 0.660
BUY·91d agostale·0xef58…1976why? →
Under on Germany vs. Côte d'Ivoire: Côte d'Ivoire O/U 0.5
-$100.00 · 256.410255 @ 0.390
BUY·91d agostale·0xef58…1976why? →
Yes on Germany vs. Côte d'Ivoire: Both Teams to Score
+$150.88 · 350.87719 @ 0.570
BUY·91d agostale·0xef58…1976why? →
Yes on Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
-$20.00 · 158.730157 @ 0.126
BUY·91d agostale·0xef58…1976why? →
Yes on Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
-$10.00 · 161.290321 @ 0.062
BUY·91d agostale·0xef58…1976why? →
No on Will Trump agree to withdraw troops from the Iranian region by June 30?
-$20.00 · 20000 @ 0.001
BUY·91d agostale·0xef58…1976why? →
Under on Chicago White Sox vs. Detroit Tigers: O/U 8.5
+$118.61 · 318.607459 @ 0.628
BUY·91d agostale·0xef58…1976why? →
Chicago White Sox on Chicago White Sox vs. Detroit Tigers
-$100.00 · 238.095237 @ 0.420
SELL·91d agostale·0xef58…1976why? →
Yes on Will Andy Beshear win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
43137.6 @ 0.024
Integrity indicators

No anomalies detected for this trader.

Anomaly indicators reflect statistical patterns only. May have innocent explanations.