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top123

0xef53…9ef1polymarket ↗last active 27m ago
All-time PnL
-$3.58k
Win rate
53.8%
54 of 100
Total trades
100
Avg PnL / trade
-$99.28
30d PnL
-$3.87k
30d trades
100
30d wins
21
21.0%
30d volume
$14.7k
Category edge
Sports
20.0%
-26.1pp
n=10
Crypto
60.7%
-16.6pp
n=84

vs cohort baseline per category · observed record only · not financial advice

Signal hit rate
56.4% (53 wins / 41 misses)
⚠ Possible wash trade
opposite positions detected on 20 markets — verify independently
Cumulative PnL · 9-day series
$0.00
-$4.23k
Trading pattern
Crypto Specialistbuy-heavysmall-sizecategory-focusedBuy-leaning · Crypto 84%
Why Crypto Specialisthigh confidence · 100 trades
Category focus: Crypto 84% of categorized trades≥60% concentrated in one category → a Crypto specialist.
Directional bias: +0.60 (buy-heavy)Mostly buys outcomes — leans into positions rather than fading them.
Entry pricing: avg 0.61Enters around mid-priced outcomes — no strong odds tilt.
Typical position size: median $41Small typical stake (<$500).
Sizing consistency: CV 2.29 (varied)Stakes vary widely — opportunistic or conviction-weighted sizing.

Observed behaviour — descriptive, not predictive. NFA.

Entry price
0–10¢90–100¢
avg 61¢ · 100 trades
Position sizing
<$100$10k+
median $41.00 · p90 $328.41
Activity · UTC
SunMonTueWedThuFriSat
00h12h23h
peak Sun 16:00 · 100 trades

Descriptive analytics of this trader’s observed public activity — not a prediction or recommendation. Not financial advice.

Recent trades

EXPORT
BUY·27m ago·0xef53…9ef1why? →
paiN Gaming on LoL: paiN Gaming vs RED Canids (BO5) - CBLOL Playoffs
2034.68 @ 0.250
BUY·32m ago·0xef53…9ef1why? →
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 20, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET
-$100.00 · 182.335273 @ 0.548
SELL·33m ago·0xef53…9ef1why? →
RED Canids on LoL: paiN Gaming vs RED Canids - Game 3 Winner
635.12 @ 0.999
BUY·1h ago·0xef53…9ef1why? →
RED Canids on LoL: paiN Gaming vs RED Canids - Game 3 Winner
635.127273 @ 0.536
SELL·1h ago·0xef53…9ef1why? →
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 20, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET
-$0.35 · 349.06 @ 0.999
BUY·1h ago·0xef53…9ef1why? →
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 20, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET
+$136.99 · 239.624091 @ 0.428
BUY·1h ago·0xef53…9ef1why? →
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 20, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET
+$57.83 · 109.44 @ 0.472
SELL·1h ago·0xef53…9ef1why? →
Aurora Gaming on Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Vitality - Map 4 Winner
500.97 @ 0.330
BUY·1h ago·0xef53…9ef1why? →
Aurora Gaming on Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Vitality - Map 4 Winner
500.970589 @ 0.338
BUY·1h ago·0xef53…9ef1why? →
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 20, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET
-$100.00 · 172.413792 @ 0.580
SELL·1h ago·0xef53…9ef1why? →
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 20, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET
-$8.64 · 287.87 @ 0.970
BUY·1h ago·0xef53…9ef1why? →
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 20, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET
+$97.88 · 287.878788 @ 0.660
SELL·1h ago·0xef53…9ef1why? →
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 20, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET
-$0.20 · 20.25 @ 0.990
BUY·1h ago·0xef53…9ef1why? →
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 20, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET
+$6.88 · 20.25 @ 0.660
BUY·1h ago·0xef53…9ef1why? →
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 20, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET
+$93.21 · 188.068628 @ 0.504
BUY·2h agoageing·0xef53…9ef1why? →
Movistar KOI on LoL: G2 Esports vs Movistar KOI - Game 2 Winner
1260.388889 @ 0.360
SELL·2h agoageing·0xef53…9ef1why? →
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 20, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET
+$7.69 · 192.26 @ 0.040
BUY·2h agoageing·0xef53…9ef1why? →
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 20, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET
-$25.00 · 53.19149 @ 0.470
BUY·2h agoageing·0xef53…9ef1why? →
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 20, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET
-$25.00 · 47 @ 0.532
BUY·2h agoageing·0xef53…9ef1why? →
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 20, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET
-$25.00 · 44.642856 @ 0.560
BUY·2h agoageing·0xef53…9ef1why? →
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 20, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET
-$25.00 · 47.433963 @ 0.527
BUY·2h agoageing·0xef53…9ef1why? →
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 20, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET
+$16.67 · 41.666667 @ 0.600
SELL·2h agoageing·0xef53…9ef1why? →
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 20, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET
+$103.76 · 185.29 @ 0.560
BUY·2h agoageing·0xef53…9ef1why? →
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 20, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET
+$21.56 · 46.555556 @ 0.537
BUY·2h agoageing·0xef53…9ef1why? →
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 20, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET
+$24.31 · 49.313726 @ 0.507
BUY·2h agoageing·0xef53…9ef1why? →
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 20, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET
+$25.78 · 50.78 @ 0.492
BUY·2h agoageing·0xef53…9ef1why? →
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 20, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET
-$25.00 · 45.454546 @ 0.550
BUY·2h agoageing·0xef53…9ef1why? →
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 20, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET
-$25.00 · 46.296297 @ 0.540
BUY·2h agoageing·0xef53…9ef1why? →
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 20, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET
-$25.00 · 47.169812 @ 0.530
BUY·2h agoageing·0xef53…9ef1why? →
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 20, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET
-$25.00 · 46.371297 @ 0.539
BUY·3h agoageing·0xef53…9ef1why? →
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 20, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET
+$15.98 · 40.983607 @ 0.610
BUY·3h agoageing·0xef53…9ef1why? →
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 20, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET
+$25.00 · 50 @ 0.500
BUY·3h agoageing·0xef53…9ef1why? →
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 20, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET
+$27.08 · 52.083334 @ 0.480
BUY·3h agoageing·0xef53…9ef1why? →
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 20, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET
+$21.30 · 46.296297 @ 0.540
BUY·3h agoageing·0xef53…9ef1why? →
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 20, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET
+$12.88 · 37.878788 @ 0.660
BUY·3h agoageing·0xef53…9ef1why? →
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 20, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET
+$13.46 · 38.461537 @ 0.650
BUY·3h agoageing·0xef53…9ef1why? →
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 20, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET
+$56.10 · 156.104308 @ 0.641
BUY·2d agostale·0xef53…9ef1why? →
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 17, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET
-$23.00 · 46 @ 0.500
SELL·2d agostale·0xef53…9ef1why? →
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 17, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET
+$24.98 · 192.16 @ 0.130
BUY·2d agostale·0xef53…9ef1why? →
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 17, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET
-$92.24 · 192.166667 @ 0.480
SELL·2d agostale·0xef53…9ef1why? →
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 17, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET
-$0.96 · 96.47 @ 0.990
BUY·2d agostale·0xef53…9ef1why? →
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 17, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET
+$14.47 · 96.470589 @ 0.850
BUY·4d agostale·0xef53…9ef1why? →
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 15, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET
-$155.74 · 254.129031 @ 0.613
BUY·5d agostale·0xef53…9ef1why? →
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 15, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET
-$19.43 · 36.62963 @ 0.530
BUY·5d agostale·0xef53…9ef1why? →
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 15, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET
-$25.00 · 47.792453 @ 0.523
BUY·5d agostale·0xef53…9ef1why? →
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 15, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET
-$25.00 · 48.076922 @ 0.520
BUY·13d agostale·0xef53…9ef1why? →
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 6, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET
-$2.09 · 4.098038 @ 0.510
BUY·13d agostale·0xef53…9ef1why? →
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 6, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET
-$80.91 · 160.484614 @ 0.504
BUY·14d agostale·0xef53…9ef1why? →
MOUZ on Counter-Strike: Spirit vs MOUZ - Map 4 Winner
-$437.09 · 892.020407 @ 0.490
SELL·14d agostale·0xef53…9ef1why? →
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 6, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET
-$1.94 · 194.48 @ 0.990
Integrity indicators

No anomalies detected for this trader.

Anomaly indicators reflect statistical patterns only. May have innocent explanations.