Yes on Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by September 30?
— 237 @ 0.400
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WA
WarriorH
All-time PnL
-$2.39
Win rate
0.0%
0 of 100
Total trades
100
Avg PnL / trade
-$2.31
30d PnL
-$2.31
30d trades
100
30d wins
0
0.0%
30d volume
$6.09k
⚠ Possible wash trade
opposite positions detected on 5 markets — verify independentlyTrading pattern
Diversifiedtwo-sidedsmall-sizeBuy-leaning · World 34%
Why Diversifiedhigh confidence · 100 trades
Category focus: World 34% of categorized trades — spread across many categories (<35% in any one) → diversified.
Directional bias: +0.22 (two-sided) — Trades both sides fairly evenly — no strong directional lean.
Entry pricing: avg 0.41 — Enters around mid-priced outcomes — no strong odds tilt.
Typical position size: median $19 — Small typical stake (<$500).
Sizing consistency: CV 2.21 (varied) — Stakes vary widely — opportunistic or conviction-weighted sizing.
Observed behaviour — descriptive, not predictive. NFA.
Entry price
0–10¢90–100¢
avg 41¢ · 100 trades
Position sizing
<$100$10k+
median $19.25 · p90 $127.58
Activity · UTC
00h12h23h
peak Fri 23:00 · 100 trades
Descriptive analytics of this trader’s observed public activity — not a prediction or recommendation. Not financial advice.
Recent trades
EXPORT
No on Will United Russia win between 325 and 339 seats in the next Russian State Duma election?
— 7.68 @ 0.610
Yes on US strike on Cuba by December 31?
— 280 @ 0.160
Yes on Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by December 31?
— 301 @ 0.150
No on Will Trump meet with Kim Jong Un in 2026?
— 61 @ 0.710
No on Will the Democrats win the Kansas Senate race in 2026?
— 1172 @ 0.740
No on Will Cash Cat be the first to hit a $1B FDV?
— 159 @ 0.960
No on Will none of these coins hit a $1B FDV?
— 159 @ 0.150
No on Will the Democrats win the Texas governor race in 2026?
— 45.02 @ 0.790
No on Houthis seize an oil tanker by September 30, 2026?
— 57 @ 0.958
No on Will over 60 Senators vote for the Clarity Act?
— 24.4 @ 0.920
No on Will Xi Jinping visit US by September 24?
— 175.03 @ 0.074
Yes on Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
— 145 @ 0.955
Yes on Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?
— 93 @ 0.740
No on Will New People (NL) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
— 644.42 @ 0.769
No on Will Nene Royal win AGT Season 21?
— 20 @ 0.230
Yes on Bank of England increases interest rates by 50+ bps after November 2026 meeting?
— 5 @ 0.003
Yes on Will Dragan Đilas be the next Prime Minister of Serbia?
— 2.12 @ 0.002
Yes on Will AI solve 3 more Millennium Prize Problems in 2026?
— 58 @ 0.070
No on Will AI solve 3 more Millennium Prize Problems in 2026?
— 58 @ 0.939
No on Will AI solve 2 more Millennium Prize Problems in 2026?
— 58 @ 0.830
No on Will AI solve 1 more Millennium Prize Problem in 2026?
— 58 @ 0.640
Yes on Will a team from LCS (North America) win LoL Worlds 2026?
— 384 @ 0.010
No on Will Xi Jinping visit US by September 23?
— 25 @ 0.118
No on Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
— 42 @ 0.260
No on No one announced as next James Bond?
— 132.04 @ 0.794
No on Will CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by December 31, 2028?
— 100 @ 0.690
No on Will CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by December 31, 2028?
— 10 @ 0.700
Yes on Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by December 31, 2026?
— 583 @ 0.070
Yes on Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
— 314 @ 0.760
No on Will Xi Jinping visit US by September 24?
— 132 @ 0.069
No on Will AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections?
— 54.5 @ 0.510
Yes on Cuban regime falls in 2026?
— 534.44 @ 0.126
Yes on Will the Republican Party win the NY-23 House seat?
— 20 @ 0.954
No on Will the Republican Party win the NJ-01 House seat?
— 69 @ 0.960
Yes on Will the Democratic Party win the NJ-12 House seat?
— 120 @ 0.960
Yes on Will Russia capture Mala Tokmachka by December 31, 2026?
— 30 @ 0.440
Yes on Will Darian Mensah win the 2026 Heisman Trophy?
— 28 @ 0.210
No on Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
— 934 @ 0.240
No on Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
— 36.09 @ 0.210
Yes on Will Kerry-Lynne Findlay win the next Abbotsford-Mission by-election?
— 251 @ 0.490
Yes on Will Anthropic IPO by December 31, 2026?
— 85.5 @ 0.780
No on Will AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections?
— 14.4 @ 0.500
Yes on Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by September 30, 2026?
— 145 @ 0.140
Yes on Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 TX-03 House election?
— 1.2 @ 0.060
Yes on Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 TX-03 House election by 0%-5%?
— 14 @ 0.166
Yes on Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 TX-03 House election by 30%-35%?
— 0.54 @ 0.026
Yes on Will the Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF) win the third-most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
— 63 @ 0.050
No on Will the Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF) win the third-most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
— 63 @ 0.960
No on Will Elif Eralp be the next Governing Mayor of Berlin?
— 58.21 @ 0.480
Integrity indicators
No anomalies detected for this trader.
Anomaly indicators reflect statistical patterns only. May have innocent explanations.