Yes on Will Xi Jinping visit US by September 23?
— 120 @ 0.898
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CH
Chims
All-time PnL
$103.98
Win rate
71.4%
71 of 100
Total trades
100
Avg PnL / trade
-$10.01
30d PnL
-$70.04
30d trades
100
30d wins
5
5.0%
30d volume
$15.4k
Category edge
Economy
100.0%
+45.8pp
n=6
vs cohort baseline per category · observed record only · not financial advice
Signal hit rate
75.0% (9 wins / 3 misses)⚠ Possible wash trade
opposite positions detected on 6 markets — verify independentlyCumulative PnL · 6-day series
$0.00
-$180.25
Trading pattern
World Specialisttwo-sidedsmall-sizefavorite-backercategory-focusedBuy-leaning · World 63%
Why World Specialisthigh confidence · 100 trades
Category focus: World 63% of categorized trades — ≥60% concentrated in one category → a World specialist.
Directional bias: +0.46 (two-sided) — Trades both sides fairly evenly — no strong directional lean.
Entry pricing: avg 0.80 — Enters at favorite prices (>0.70) — backs likely outcomes.
Typical position size: median $59 — Small typical stake (<$500).
Sizing consistency: CV 1.92 (varied) — Stakes vary widely — opportunistic or conviction-weighted sizing.
Observed behaviour — descriptive, not predictive. NFA.
Entry price
0–10¢90–100¢
avg 80¢ · 100 trades
Position sizing
<$100$10k+
median $59.42 · p90 $369.27
Activity · UTC
00h12h23h
peak Sun 11:00 · 100 trades
Descriptive analytics of this trader’s observed public activity — not a prediction or recommendation. Not financial advice.
Recent trades
EXPORT
Yes on Will Avengers: Doomsday be the top grossing movie of 2026?
— 785.02 @ 0.041
No on US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 21, 2026?
— 333 @ 0.987
No on Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?
— 555 @ 0.975
Yes on Will Trump and Putin meet next in China?
— 33.61 @ 0.610
No on Ren Zhengfei confirmed outside China by December 31?
— 170.76 @ 0.860
Yes on Will Xi Jinping visit US by September 23?
— 120 @ 0.909
Yes on Will Xi Jinping visit US by September 23?
— 149.9 @ 0.899
Yes on US x China tariff agreement by December 31?
— 229.5 @ 0.905
No on Will the Greenland agreement text be released by September 19, 2026? (copy)
— 40.4 @ 0.910
Yes on Will Xi Jinping visit US by September 23?
— 234.02 @ 0.903
No on Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in September?
— 36.19 @ 0.580
No on Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in September?
— 114.44 @ 0.570
No on Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in September?
— 111.96 @ 0.877
No on Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in September?
— 103.02 @ 0.580
Yes on Will Xi Jinping visit US by September 23?
— 40 @ 0.923
Yes on Will Xi Jinping visit US by September 23?
— 142.94 @ 0.919
Yes on Trump meets with Putin by December 31?
— 104.19 @ 0.660
No on Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in September?
— 55 @ 0.800
No on China x Philippines military clash before 2027?
— 999.33 @ 0.705
No on Cuban regime falls in 2026?
— 6.13 @ 0.870
No on Will China GDP growth in Q3 2026 be between 4.9% and 5.2%?
— 3.77 @ 0.987
Yes on Will Trump meet with Delcy Rodríguez by December 31, 2026?
— 50.35 @ 0.790
Yes on Will Xi Jinping visit US by September 24?
— 777.21 @ 0.960
Yes on Will Xi Jinping visit US by September 23?
— 15.85 @ 0.950
No on Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in September?
— 333 @ 0.860
Yes on Will Trump and Putin meet next in China?
— 20 @ 0.580
Yes on Will Xi Jinping visit US by September 30?
— 252 @ 0.957
No on Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $125 in September?
— 1333.09 @ 0.969
Yes on Trump meets with Putin by December 31?
— 5 @ 0.650
No on Ren Zhengfei public appearance by October 31?
— 14.04 @ 0.410
Yes on Will Xi Jinping visit US by September 24?
— 55 @ 0.950
Yes on Will Xi Jinping visit US by September 30?
— 432.72 @ 0.950
Yes on Will Xi Jinping visit US by September 24?
— 600 @ 0.950
Yes on No change in Bank of England’s interest rates after September 2026 meeting?
— +$0.42 · 28 @ 0.985
Yes on No change in Bank of England’s interest rates after September 2026 meeting?
— +$0.48 · 29.9 @ 0.984
Yes on No change in Bank of England’s interest rates after September 2026 meeting?
— +$1.93 · 95.63 @ 0.980
Yes on No change in Bank of England’s interest rates after September 2026 meeting?
— +$1.76 · 79.99 @ 0.978
No on Will ByteDance's valuation hit (HIGH) $650B by December 31?
— 20.27 @ 0.560
No on U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "India" before 2027?
— 74.1 @ 0.860
Yes on Will Xi Jinping visit US by September 24?
— 166.37 @ 0.920
Yes on Will Xi Jinping visit US by September 30?
— 185.29 @ 0.931
Yes on Will Xi Jinping visit US by September 24?
— 98.24 @ 0.910
Yes on Will Xi Jinping visit US by September 23?
— 2628.94 @ 0.900
Yes on Will Xi Jinping visit US by September 24?
— 22 @ 0.923
No on Ren Zhengfei confirmed outside China by December 31?
— 40 @ 0.880
No on Ren Zhengfei public appearance by December 31?
— 20 @ 0.350
No on Ren Zhengfei confirmed outside China by December 31?
— 222 @ 0.789
No on Ren Zhengfei confirmed outside China by October 31?
— 420.56 @ 0.854
Yes on Will Donald Trump visit Germany in 2026?
— 205.26 @ 0.170
Integrity indicators
No anomalies detected for this trader.
Anomaly indicators reflect statistical patterns only. May have innocent explanations.