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KO

Kotov.exl

0xeced…656cpolymarket ↗last active 14m ago
All-time PnL
-$171.41
Win rate
70.6%
47 of 66
Total trades
66
Avg PnL / trade
-$5.04
30d PnL
$122.81
30d trades
52
30d wins
19
36.5%
30d volume
$11.6k
Category edge
Crypto
54.9%
-19.3pp
n=51
Sports
57.1%
+8.8pp
n=14

vs cohort baseline per category · observed record only · not financial advice

Signal hit rate
55.4% (36 wins / 29 misses)
⚠ Possible wash trade
opposite positions detected on 17 markets — verify independently
Cumulative PnL · 7-day series
$2.16k
-$294.23
Trading pattern
Crypto Specialisttwo-sidedsmall-sizecategory-focusedBuy-leaning · Crypto 79%
Why Crypto Specialisthigh confidence · 66 trades
Category focus: Crypto 79% of categorized trades≥60% concentrated in one category → a Crypto specialist.
Directional bias: +0.42 (two-sided)Trades both sides fairly evenly — no strong directional lean.
Entry pricing: avg 0.62Enters around mid-priced outcomes — no strong odds tilt.
Typical position size: median $232Small typical stake (<$500).
Sizing consistency: CV 1.14 (varied)Stakes vary widely — opportunistic or conviction-weighted sizing.

Observed behaviour — descriptive, not predictive. NFA.

Entry price
0–10¢90–100¢
avg 62¢ · 66 trades
Position sizing
<$100$10k+
median $231.58 · p90 $871.88
Activity · UTC
SunMonTueWedThuFriSat
00h12h23h
peak Sun 15:00 · 66 trades

Descriptive analytics of this trader’s observed public activity — not a prediction or recommendation. Not financial advice.

Recent trades

EXPORT
BUY·14m ago·0xeced…656cwhy? →
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 20, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET
588.452332 @ 0.595
SELL·15m ago·0xeced…656cwhy? →
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 20, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET
-$27.99 · 489.99 @ 0.943
BUY·19m ago·0xeced…656cwhy? →
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 20, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET
+$28.66 · 41.9 @ 0.316
SELL·22m ago·0xeced…656cwhy? →
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 20, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET
-$17.17 · 260.66 @ 0.934
BUY·24m ago·0xeced…656cwhy? →
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 20, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET
+$110.66 · 260.662414 @ 0.575
BUY·26m ago·0xeced…656cwhy? →
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 20, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET
-$419.60 · 937.77 @ 0.447
BUY·26m ago·0xeced…656cwhy? →
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 20, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET
-$404.36 · 851.16 @ 0.475
BUY·26m ago·0xeced…656cwhy? →
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 20, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET
-$76.04 · 155.183674 @ 0.490
SELL·29m ago·0xeced…656cwhy? →
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 20, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET
+$321.18 · 991.2 @ 0.324
SELL·29m ago·0xeced…656cwhy? →
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 20, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET
+$194.76 · 636.7 @ 0.306
BUY·29m ago·0xeced…656cwhy? →
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 20, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET
-$250.05 · 674.352106 @ 0.371
BUY·29m ago·0xeced…656cwhy? →
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 20, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET
-$449.95 · 1267.72 @ 0.355
SELL·30m ago·0xeced…656cwhy? →
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 20, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET
-$56.29 · 684.62 @ 0.918
SELL·34m ago·0xeced…656cwhy? →
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 20, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET
-$226.02 · 347.72 @ 0.350
BUY·34m ago·0xeced…656cwhy? →
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 20, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET
+$332.35 · 1032.347825 @ 0.678
SELL·39m ago·0xeced…656cwhy? →
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 20, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET
-$91.90 · 958.2 @ 0.904
BUY·39m ago·0xeced…656cwhy? →
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 20, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET
+$408.20 · 958.202204 @ 0.574
SELL·43m ago·0xeced…656cwhy? →
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 20, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET
-$50.45 · 744.79 @ 0.932
BUY·44m ago·0xeced…656cwhy? →
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 20, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET
+$394.79 · 744.791667 @ 0.470
SELL·53m ago·0xeced…656cwhy? →
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 20, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET
-$78.24 · 491.66 @ 0.841
BUY·54m ago·0xeced…656cwhy? →
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 20, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET
+$191.67 · 491.666452 @ 0.610
SELL·56m ago·0xeced…656cwhy? →
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 20, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET
-$79.02 · 677.6 @ 0.883
BUY·57m ago·0xeced…656cwhy? →
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 20, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET
+$453.22 · 677.602059 @ 0.331
SELL·1h ago·0xeced…656cwhy? →
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 20, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET
-$67.35 · 306.12 @ 0.780
BUY·1h ago·0xeced…656cwhy? →
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 20, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET
+$156.12 · 306.122449 @ 0.490
SELL·1h ago·0xeced…656cwhy? →
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 20, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET
+$5.12 · 397.2 @ 0.013
BUY·1h ago·0xeced…656cwhy? →
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 20, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET
-$200.00 · 397.203334 @ 0.504
SELL·1h ago·0xeced…656cwhy? →
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 20, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET
-$19.72 · 328.68 @ 0.940
BUY·1h ago·0xeced…656cwhy? →
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 20, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET
+$128.69 · 328.688525 @ 0.608
BUY·1h ago·0xeced…656cwhy? →
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 20, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET
+$6.19 · 206.185566 @ 0.970
BUY·1h ago·0xeced…656cwhy? →
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 20, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET
-$101.84 · 10183.56 @ 0.010
BUY·1h ago·0xeced…656cwhy? →
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 20, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET
-$48.16 · 4816.44 @ 0.010
BUY·1h ago·0xeced…656cwhy? →
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 20, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET
+$41.70 · 191.6962 @ 0.782
BUY·1h ago·0xeced…656cwhy? →
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 20, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET
+$5.35 · 155.346366 @ 0.966
BUY·1h ago·0xeced…656cwhy? →
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 20, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET
+$71.68 · 171.677965 @ 0.582
BUY·1h ago·0xeced…656cwhy? →
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 20, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET
+$4.20 · 10 @ 0.580
BUY·1h ago·0xeced…656cwhy? →
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 20, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET
+$69.49 · 169.491526 @ 0.590
BUY·1h ago·0xeced…656cwhy? →
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 20, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET
+$90.57 · 190.566038 @ 0.525
BUY·1h ago·0xeced…656cwhy? →
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 20, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET
-$100.00 · 117.647059 @ 0.850
BUY·1h ago·0xeced…656cwhy? →
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 20, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET
+$9.23 · 109.225 @ 0.916
BUY·1h ago·0xeced…656cwhy? →
Down on XRP Up or Down - September 20, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET
+$2.04 · 102.0408 @ 0.980
BUY·1h ago·0xeced…656cwhy? →
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 20, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET
+$2.04 · 102.0408 @ 0.980
BUY·1h ago·0xeced…656cwhy? →
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 20, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET
-$100.00 · 178.438597 @ 0.560
BUY·2h agoageing·0xeced…656cwhy? →
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 20, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET
-$100.00 · 303.030304 @ 0.330
SELL·2h agoageing·0xeced…656cwhy? →
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 20, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET
-$66.12 · 129.52 @ 0.489
BUY·2h agoageing·0xeced…656cwhy? →
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 20, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET
+$83.70 · 108.695653 @ 0.230
BUY·2h agoageing·0xeced…656cwhy? →
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 20, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET
+$15.83 · 20.833334 @ 0.240
BUY·18d agostale·0xeced…656cwhy? →
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 2, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET
+$0.05 · 5.0505 @ 0.990
BUY·18d agostale·0xeced…656cwhy? →
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 2, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET
+$0.05 · 5.0505 @ 0.990
BUY·18d agostale·0xeced…656cwhy? →
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 2, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET
+$0.05 · 5.0505 @ 0.990
Integrity indicators

No anomalies detected for this trader.

Anomaly indicators reflect statistical patterns only. May have innocent explanations.