No on Will the Labour Party candidate win 40-45% of the vote in the Holborn and St Pancras by-election?
— 110.82 @ 0.720
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FI
Fihdrzgdd
All-time PnL
$0.00
Win rate
0.0%
0 of 100
Total trades
100
Avg PnL / trade
$0.00
30d PnL
$0.00
30d trades
100
30d wins
0
0.0%
30d volume
$3.73k
Signal hit rate
n=1 signal — too few to judgeCumulative PnL · 1-day series
Not enough data to chart yet.
Trading pattern
Diversifiedsell-heavysmall-sizefavorite-backerSell-leaning · Politics 30%
Why Diversifiedhigh confidence · 100 trades
Category focus: Politics 30% of categorized trades — spread across many categories (<35% in any one) → diversified.
Directional bias: -1.00 (sell-heavy) — Mostly sells outcomes — tends to fade/short rather than back them.
Entry pricing: avg 0.76 — Enters at favorite prices (>0.70) — backs likely outcomes.
Typical position size: median $29 — Small typical stake (<$500).
Sizing consistency: CV 0.82 (moderate) — Stakes vary moderately across trades.
Observed behaviour — descriptive, not predictive. NFA.
Entry price
0–10¢90–100¢
avg 76¢ · 100 trades
Position sizing
<$100$10k+
median $29.22 · p90 $82.94
Activity · UTC
00h12h23h
peak Fri 12:00 · 100 trades
Descriptive analytics of this trader’s observed public activity — not a prediction or recommendation. Not financial advice.
Recent trades
EXPORT
No on Will Mexico GDP growth in Q3 2026 be between 1.5% and 2.0%?
— 20.01 @ 0.760
No on Will Yabloko win at least one seat in the next Russian State Duma election?
— 89.72 @ 0.820
No on Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $740 in September?
— 15.38 @ 0.870
Yes on Will there be ≤6 earthquakes of 5.5 or above magnitude worldwide?
— 30 @ 0.530
No on Will MrBeast's next video get between 35 and 40 million views on day 1?
— 66.59 @ 0.840
No on Will Anthropic's IPO valuation be between $2.00T and $2.25T?
— 50 @ 0.672
No on Will SPD win 30-33 seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections?
— 88 @ 0.741
No on US Government removes public access to another Anthropic AI model in 2026?
— 2.18 @ 0.870
No on Will Brazil's Q3 2026 GDP growth rate (QoQ) be between 0.0% and 0.2%?
— 80 @ 0.680
No on Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 NH-02 House election by 10%-15%?
— 40 @ 0.740
No on Will there be no next Claude Opus model release by September 30, 2026?
— 131.99 @ 0.740
Yes on Will the Ornn B200 Index be at least $7.00 on December 31, 2026?
— 6.02 @ 0.600
Yes on Will the 30-year Treasury yield hit 5.40% before 2027?
— 125 @ 0.850
No on Will Amazon.com, Inc. (AMZN) hit (LOW) $240 in September?
— 28.26 @ 0.750
No on Will Alphabet Inc. (GOOGL) hit (LOW) $320 in September?
— 19.6 @ 0.931
No on Will Meta be the #3 AI Lab at the end of November 2026 (Style Control On)?
— 40 @ 0.750
No on Will Kathy Hochul win Nassau County in the New York governor race in 2026?
— 60 @ 0.630
No on Will the next governing coalition of Sweden include S + MP + C + V?
— 65 @ 0.770
No on Will Euphoria be the #1 searched TV show on Google this year?
— 90 @ 0.595
No on Will MrBeast's next video get between 35 and 40 million views on day 1?
— 10 @ 0.830
No on Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 ND-AL House election by 25%-30%?
— 52 @ 0.760
Yes on Will the Green Party (MP) be in the next Swedish government?
— 16.21 @ 0.700
No on Will Mexico GDP growth in Q3 2026 be between 1.5% and 2.0%?
— 102.4 @ 0.810
No on Will Rocket Lab USA, Inc. (RKLB) hit (LOW) $56 in September?
— 21.95 @ 0.790
No on Will Anthropic's market cap be between $1.75T and $2.0T at market close on IPO day?
— 118.27 @ 0.800
No on Will Mexico GDP growth in Q3 2026 be between 1.5% and 2.0%?
— 66.62 @ 0.830
Yes on Will the 30-year Treasury yield hit 5.45% before 2027?
— 44 @ 0.730
No on Will Anthropic's IPO valuation be between $2.00T and $2.25T?
— 5.99 @ 0.661
No on Will AfD win between 14% and 17% of all valid second votes?
— 81.33 @ 0.700
No on Will Coinbase Global, Inc. (COIN) hit (LOW) $160 in September?
— 75 @ 0.910
No on Will LOUD Win CBLOL 2026 Split 2
— 22 @ 0.674
No on Will CDU win the third-most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?
— 43.89 @ 0.810
No on Will OpenAI launch a new consumer hardware product by October 31, 2026?
— 125 @ 0.730
No on Will the Labour Party candidate win 40-45% of the vote in the Holborn and St Pancras by-election?
— 14.18 @ 0.750
No on Will AfD win the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern state election by a margin of 0-2%?
— 55.37 @ 0.750
Yes on Will Nene Royal win AGT Season 21?
— 48.74 @ 0.780
No on Will Morgan Stanley or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in OpenAI's initial public offering?Will Morgan Stanley or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in OpenAI's initial public offering?
— 49 @ 0.840
No on Will Meta be the #3 AI Lab at the end of November 2026 (Style Control On)?
— 10 @ 0.760
No on Will Google be the third-best AI lab at the end of November 2026?
— 125 @ 0.760
No on Will Amazon.com, Inc. (AMZN) hit (LOW) $240 in September?
— 11.74 @ 0.760
No on Will CDU win the 2026 Berlin state election by a margin of 0-2%?
— 125 @ 0.800
No on Will SPD win the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern state election by a margin of 0-2%?
— 35.54 @ 0.680
No on Will Grüne win less than 14% of all valid second votes?
— 13.63 @ 0.740
No on Will there be exactly 1 ChatGPT outage in September 2026?
— 16.6 @ 0.949
No on Will Eric Jones win the CA-04 House seat?
— 16 @ 0.710
No on Will Robinhood Markets, Inc. (HOOD) hit (LOW) $95 in September?
— 20.46 @ 0.920
No on Will AI solve 2 more Millennium Prize Problems in 2026?
— 2 @ 0.830
No on Will the Russian Party of Pensioners for Social Justice win at least one seat in the next Russian State Duma election?
— 32.84 @ 0.878
No on Will Palantir Technologies Inc. (PLTR) hit (LOW) $156 in September?
— 58 @ 0.870
Integrity indicators
No anomalies detected for this trader.
Anomaly indicators reflect statistical patterns only. May have innocent explanations.