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SU

sugar-super

0xe6bf…16b9polymarket ↗last active 26m ago
All-time PnL
$2.15k
Win rate
65.4%
65 of 100
Total trades
100
Avg PnL / trade
$26.64
30d PnL
$2.16k
30d trades
100
30d wins
53
53.0%
30d volume
$53.5k
Category edge
Sports
68.9%
+13.6pp
n=90

vs cohort baseline per category · observed record only · not financial advice

Signal hit rate
68.9% (62 wins / 28 misses)
⚠ Possible wash trade
opposite positions detected on 7 markets — verify independently
Cumulative PnL · 12-day series
$3.04k
$0.00
Trading pattern
Sports Specialistbuy-heavysmall-sizecategory-focusedBuy-leaning · Sports 100%
Why Sports Specialisthigh confidence · 100 trades
Category focus: Sports 100% of categorized trades≥60% concentrated in one category → a Sports specialist.
Directional bias: +0.82 (buy-heavy)Mostly buys outcomes — leans into positions rather than fading them.
Entry pricing: avg 0.63Enters around mid-priced outcomes — no strong odds tilt.
Typical position size: median $500Small typical stake (<$500).
Sizing consistency: CV 1.17 (varied)Stakes vary widely — opportunistic or conviction-weighted sizing.

Observed behaviour — descriptive, not predictive. NFA.

Entry price
0–10¢90–100¢
avg 63¢ · 100 trades
Position sizing
<$100$10k+
median $500.00 · p90 $1000.00
Activity · UTC
SunMonTueWedThuFriSat
00h12h23h
peak Sat 08:00 · 100 trades

Descriptive analytics of this trader’s observed public activity — not a prediction or recommendation. Not financial advice.

Recent trades

EXPORT
BUY·26m ago·0xe6bf…16b9why? →
Under on AC Milan vs. US Lecce: O/U 3.5
3174.603175 @ 0.630
BUY·5h agoageing·0xe6bf…16b9why? →
No on Will Levante UD win on 2026-09-20?
588.235293 @ 0.850
BUY·5h agoageing·0xe6bf…16b9why? →
Over on RC Deportivo A Coruña vs. Real Betis Balompié: O/U 1.5
632.91139 @ 0.790
BUY·5h agoageing·0xe6bf…16b9why? →
Over on Juventus FC vs. Atalanta BC: O/U 1.5
657.894737 @ 0.760
BUY·5h agoageing·0xe6bf…16b9why? →
Under on Valencia CF vs. Real Sociedad de Fútbol: O/U 3.5
1352.567565 @ 0.739
BUY·5h agoageing·0xe6bf…16b9why? →
Under on AC Milan vs. US Lecce: O/U 3.5
1587.301586 @ 0.630
SELL·22h agoageing·0xe6bf…16b9why? →
Over on VfB Stuttgart vs. BV Borussia 09 Dortmund: O/U 1.5
+$2.06k · 2777.78 @ 0.743
SELL·22h agoageing·0xe6bf…16b9why? →
Over on VfB Stuttgart vs. BV Borussia 09 Dortmund: O/U 1.5
+$1.81k · 2777.77 @ 0.653
SELL·22h agoageing·0xe6bf…16b9why? →
No on Will AFC Bournemouth win on 2026-09-20?
714.28 @ 0.690
SELL·22h agoageing·0xe6bf…16b9why? →
No on Will Paris FC win on 2026-09-19?
+$32.40 · 638.29 @ 0.051
BUY·23h agoageing·0xe6bf…16b9why? →
No on Will Odense BK win on 2026-09-19?
+$125.16 · 625.162375 @ 0.800
BUY·23h agoageing·0xe6bf…16b9why? →
No on Will Polokwane City win on 2026-09-19?
+$106.12 · 406.12 @ 0.739
BUY·23h agoageing·0xe6bf…16b9why? →
No on Will Orgryte IS win on 2026-09-19?
+$74.71 · 574.712638 @ 0.870
BUY·1d agostale·0xe6bf…16b9why? →
No on Will FC Bunyodkor win on 2026-09-19?
-$300.00 · 428.571426 @ 0.700
BUY·1d agostale·0xe6bf…16b9why? →
No on Will Paris FC win on 2026-09-19?
-$300.00 · 638.297873 @ 0.470
BUY·1d agostale·0xe6bf…16b9why? →
Over on VfB Stuttgart vs. BV Borussia 09 Dortmund: O/U 1.5
-$5.00k · 5555.55555 @ 0.900
BUY·1d agostale·0xe6bf…16b9why? →
Over on SV Werder Bremen vs. FC Augsburg: O/U 1.5
+$81.40 · 581.395342 @ 0.860
BUY·1d agostale·0xe6bf…16b9why? →
Over on Eintracht Frankfurt vs. SC Freiburg: O/U 1.5
+$88.24 · 588.235293 @ 0.850
BUY·1d agostale·0xe6bf…16b9why? →
Over on Korona Kielce vs. RKS Rakow Czestochowa: O/U 1.5
+$81.01 · 381.012657 @ 0.787
SELL·1d agostale·0xe6bf…16b9why? →
No on Will Kyōto Sanga FC win on 2026-09-19?
+$3.60 · 72 @ 0.050
SELL·1d agostale·0xe6bf…16b9why? →
No on Will Kyōto Sanga FC win on 2026-09-19?
+$17.82 · 431.81 @ 0.041
BUY·1d agostale·0xe6bf…16b9why? →
Over on Fagiano Okayama vs. Kyōto Sanga FC: O/U 1.5
+$175.68 · 675.675676 @ 0.740
BUY·1d agostale·0xe6bf…16b9why? →
No on Will Kyōto Sanga FC win on 2026-09-19?
-$500.00 · 609.756094 @ 0.820
BUY·1d agostale·0xe6bf…16b9why? →
No on Will Nagoya Grampus win on 2026-09-19?
+$88.24 · 588.235293 @ 0.850
BUY·1d agostale·0xe6bf…16b9why? →
Over on ACF Fiorentina vs. SSC Napoli: SSC Napoli O/U 1.5
-$500.00 · 1086.956522 @ 0.460
BUY·1d agostale·0xe6bf…16b9why? →
Yes on ACF Fiorentina vs. SSC Napoli: Both Teams to Score
+$368.83 · 868.827585 @ 0.575
BUY·1d agostale·0xe6bf…16b9why? →
Over on Manchester City FC vs. Sunderland AFC: O/U 1.5
602.409635 @ 0.830
BUY·1d agostale·0xe6bf…16b9why? →
Yes on Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-09-20?
657.894737 @ 0.760
BUY·1d agostale·0xe6bf…16b9why? →
No on Will Ipswich Town FC win on 2026-09-19?
+$79.75 · 379.746833 @ 0.790
BUY·1d agostale·0xe6bf…16b9why? →
No on Will AFC Bournemouth win on 2026-09-20?
714.285713 @ 0.700
BUY·1d agostale·0xe6bf…16b9why? →
Over on VfB Stuttgart vs. BV Borussia 09 Dortmund: O/U 2.5
-$500.00 · 704.225351 @ 0.710
BUY·1d agostale·0xe6bf…16b9why? →
Yes on Newcastle United FC vs. Hull City AFC: Both Teams to Score
+$377.19 · 877.192983 @ 0.570
BUY·1d agostale·0xe6bf…16b9why? →
Over on Newcastle United FC vs. Hull City AFC: Newcastle United FC O/U 1.5
+$639.34 · 1639.344261 @ 0.610
SELL·1d agostale·0xe6bf…16b9why? →
Over on Brentford FC vs. Chelsea FC: O/U 1.5
-$471.26 · 1149.42 @ 0.590
SELL·1d agostale·0xe6bf…16b9why? →
Over on Kasımpaşa SK vs. Konyaspor: O/U 1.5
+$212.57 · 708.57 @ 0.300
BUY·1d agostale·0xe6bf…16b9why? →
Over on Kasımpaşa SK vs. Konyaspor: O/U 1.5
-$500.00 · 708.577465 @ 0.706
BUY·1d agostale·0xe6bf…16b9why? →
Over on VfL Wolfsburg vs. SV Darmstadt 98: O/U 1.5
+$149.43 · 1149.425284 @ 0.870
BUY·2d agostale·0xe6bf…16b9why? →
No on Will FF Jaro win on 2026-09-18?
+$102.41 · 602.409635 @ 0.830
SELL·2d agostale·0xe6bf…16b9why? →
Over on Bandirmaspor vs. Umraniyespor: O/U 1.5
+$188.51 · 656.14 @ 0.287
BUY·2d agostale·0xe6bf…16b9why? →
Under on FC Kyzylzhar SK vs. Kaisar Kyzylorda: O/U 4.5
+$106.34 · 1106.3367 @ 0.904
BUY·2d agostale·0xe6bf…16b9why? →
Over on Bandirmaspor vs. Umraniyespor: O/U 1.5
-$500.00 · 656.140778 @ 0.762
BUY·2d agostale·0xe6bf…16b9why? →
Yes on Exact Score: Hapoel Tel Aviv FC 1 - 1 Hapoel Petah Tikva FC?
-$50.00 · 555.555556 @ 0.090
BUY·2d agostale·0xe6bf…16b9why? →
Yes on Will Hapoel Tel Aviv FC win on 2026-09-18?
+$175.68 · 675.675676 @ 0.740
BUY·2d agostale·0xe6bf…16b9why? →
No on Will Zhetysu Taldykorgan win on 2026-09-18?
+$319.67 · 819.672132 @ 0.610
BUY·2d agostale·0xe6bf…16b9why? →
Over on Ayutthaya United FC vs. Uthai Thani FC: O/U 1.5
+$141.03 · 641.02564 @ 0.780
BUY·2d agostale·0xe6bf…16b9why? →
Under on FC Altai Oskemen vs. FC Irtysh Pavlodar: O/U 4.5
+$88.24 · 588.235293 @ 0.850
BUY·2d agostale·0xe6bf…16b9why? →
No on Will FC Zhenis win on 2026-09-18?
+$204.23 · 704.225351 @ 0.710
BUY·2d agostale·0xe6bf…16b9why? →
Under on FK Chornomorets Odesa vs. FK Obolon Kyiv: O/U 4.5
+$26.32 · 526.31578 @ 0.950
BUY·2d agostale·0xe6bf…16b9why? →
Over on AS Monaco FC vs. Racing Club de Lens: O/U 1.5
+$204.82 · 1204.819276 @ 0.830
BUY·2d agostale·0xe6bf…16b9why? →
Over on Bristol City FC vs. Watford FC: O/U 1.5
-$500.00 · 632.91139 @ 0.790
Integrity indicators

No anomalies detected for this trader.

Anomaly indicators reflect statistical patterns only. May have innocent explanations.