No on Will there be Houthi military action against Israel by September 30, 2026?
— 250 @ 0.903
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0X
0x16EF
All-time PnL
$0.00
Win rate
0.0%
0 of 100
Total trades
100
Avg PnL / trade
$0.00
30d PnL
$0.00
30d trades
100
30d wins
0
0.0%
30d volume
$2.75k
Trading pattern
Politics-Leaningsell-heavysmall-sizeSell-leaning · Politics 41%
Why Politics-Leaninghigh confidence · 100 trades
Category focus: Politics 41% of categorized trades — a lean toward Politics without full specialization.
Directional bias: -1.00 (sell-heavy) — Mostly sells outcomes — tends to fade/short rather than back them.
Entry pricing: avg 0.49 — Enters around mid-priced outcomes — no strong odds tilt.
Typical position size: median $5 — Small typical stake (<$500).
Sizing consistency: CV 1.79 (varied) — Stakes vary widely — opportunistic or conviction-weighted sizing.
Observed behaviour — descriptive, not predictive. NFA.
Entry price
0–10¢90–100¢
avg 49¢ · 100 trades
Position sizing
<$100$10k+
median $5.22 · p90 $53.18
Activity · UTC
00h12h23h
peak Fri 02:00 · 100 trades
Descriptive analytics of this trader’s observed public activity — not a prediction or recommendation. Not financial advice.
Recent trades
EXPORT
No on Will there be Houthi military action against Israel by September 30, 2026?
— 50 @ 0.915
No on Houthis enter Aden by September 30, 2026?
— 300 @ 0.890
Yes on Will a team from LEC (Europe / EMEA) win LoL Worlds 2026?
— 50 @ 0.045
No on Israeli airspace closed by September 30, 2026?
— 44.53 @ 0.941
No on Israeli airspace closed by September 30, 2026?
— 5.47 @ 0.970
No on Will the Democratic Party win the GA-12 House seat?
— 45 @ 0.890
No on Will the Democratic Party win the GA-12 House seat?
— 5 @ 0.900
Yes on Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30?
— 76.23 @ 0.920
Yes on NATO troops fighting in Yemen before 2027?
— 50 @ 0.010
Yes on Will US unemployment reach at least 5.0% in 2026?
— 20 @ 0.060
Yes on Will US unemployment reach at least 5.0% in 2026?
— 10 @ 0.076
Yes on Will Don Lemon announce a presidential run before 2027?
— 20 @ 0.072
Yes on Will Don Lemon announce a presidential run before 2027?
— 30 @ 0.077
Yes on Will Chow Hang-tung win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
— 50 @ 0.062
No on Will Mohammed bin Salman cease to be the de facto leader of Saudi Arabia by December 31, 2026?
— 100 @ 0.950
Yes on Will Andy Eads win the 2026 Denton County Judge election?
— 50 @ 0.880
No on Will Sébastien Lecornu be the next leader out before 2027?
— 32 @ 0.886
No on Will Sébastien Lecornu be the next leader out before 2027?
— 6 @ 0.889
No on Will Sébastien Lecornu be the next leader out before 2027?
— 6 @ 0.890
No on Will Sébastien Lecornu be the next leader out before 2027?
— 6 @ 0.890
Yes on Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 10–15%?
— 26 @ 0.035
Yes on Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 10–15%?
— 34 @ 0.034
Yes on Will the 30-year Treasury yield hit 5.40% before 2027?
— 42 @ 0.910
No on Will Junior Caminero win the 2026 American League MVP Award?
— 50 @ 0.924
Yes on Le Pen endorses non-Bardella PM by December 31, 2026?
— 5.37 @ 0.080
No on Will Trump launch a coin by December 31?
— 24.28 @ 0.870
No on Will Trump launch a coin by December 31?
— 5.72 @ 0.900
No on Will Besiktas finish first in UEL league phase?
— 30 @ 0.860
No on Will Besiktas finish first in UEL league phase?
— 20 @ 0.910
Over on Mecklenburg-Vorpommern Parliamentary Election: SPD Over/Under 28%?
— 50 @ 0.922
Yes on Trump x Greenland deal signed by December 31?
— 50 @ 0.920
No on Will Sudan's Emergency Response Rooms win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
— 50 @ 0.830
Yes on Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 3.6% before 2027?
— 30 @ 0.020
Yes on Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 3.8% before 2027?
— 300 @ 0.031
No on Will the Democratic Party win the CA-13 House seat?
— 50 @ 0.050
Yes on Fetterman out by December 31, 2026?
— 21.72 @ 0.024
Yes on Fetterman out by December 31, 2026?
— 15 @ 0.026
Yes on Will the Arizona Diamondbacks clinch a spot in the 2026 MLB Postseason?
— 12 @ 0.070
Yes on Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff?
— 4.18 @ 0.956
No on Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by December 31, 2026?
— 300 @ 0.920
No on Will the Democratic Party win the NJ-12 House seat?
— 50 @ 0.040
No on Will Anthropic's initial public offering occur in December 2026 (ET)?
— 50 @ 0.822
Yes on Will the Republican Party win the FL-12 House seat?
— 50 @ 0.880
No on Will Anthropic IPO by October 31, 2026?
— 57.18 @ 0.930
No on Will John R. "Buster" Brown win the 2026 Collin County Judge election?
— 50 @ 0.730
No on Will the Democratic Party win the MD-01 House seat?
— 16 @ 0.920
No on Will Maria Bartiromo be the next White House Press Secretary?
— 20 @ 0.910
Yes on Will the Democratic Party win the KY-05 House seat?
— 50 @ 0.040
No on Will Islam Makhachev be the UFC Welterweight Champion on December 31, 2026?
— 20 @ 0.052
Integrity indicators
No anomalies detected for this trader.
Anomaly indicators reflect statistical patterns only. May have innocent explanations.