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0xe1B4740617d7d2C8d237059DA0a167eFDb6B64D7-1782156290249

0xe1b4…64d7polymarket ↗last active 1h ago
All-time PnL
-$132.76
Win rate
50.0%
9 of 18
Total trades
18
Avg PnL / trade
-$16.59
30d PnL
$0.00
30d trades
1
30d wins
0
0.0%
30d volume
$226.15
Category edge
Sports
50.0%
+10.4pp
n=8
Crypto
40.0%
-3.0pp
n=5

vs cohort baseline per category · observed record only · not financial advice

Signal hit rate
46.2% (6 wins / 7 misses)
⚠ Possible wash trade
opposite positions detected on 6 markets — verify independently
Cumulative PnL · 5-day series
$100.22
-$216.45
Trading pattern
Sports Specialisttwo-sidedsmall-sizecategory-focusedBuy-leaning · Sports 62%
Why Sports Specialistmedium confidence · 18 trades
Category focus: Sports 62% of categorized trades≥60% concentrated in one category → a Sports specialist.
Directional bias: +0.33 (two-sided)Trades both sides fairly evenly — no strong directional lean.
Entry pricing: avg 0.50Enters around mid-priced outcomes — no strong odds tilt.
Typical position size: median $109Small typical stake (<$500).
Sizing consistency: CV 0.84 (moderate)Stakes vary moderately across trades.

Based on 18 trades — a moderate sample.

Observed behaviour — descriptive, not predictive. NFA.

Entry price
0–10¢90–100¢
avg 50¢ · 18 trades
Position sizing
<$100$10k+
median $109.08 · p90 $349.74
Activity · UTC
SunMonTueWedThuFriSat
00h12h23h
peak Tue 06:00 · 18 trades

Descriptive analytics of this trader’s observed public activity — not a prediction or recommendation. Not financial advice.

Recent trades

EXPORT
BUY·1h ago·0xe1b4…64d7why? →
on Detroit Tigers vs. Chicago White Sox AND Raphinha: Anytime Goalscorer
573.725249 @ 0.394
SELL·53d agostale·0xe1b4…64d7why? →
Cincinnati Reds on Cleveland Guardians vs. Cincinnati Reds
+$60.89 · 582.9 @ 0.104
BUY·53d agostale·0xe1b4…64d7why? →
Cincinnati Reds on Cleveland Guardians vs. Cincinnati Reds
-$349.74 · 582.9 @ 0.600
SELL·53d agostale·0xe1b4…64d7why? →
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - July 28, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET
+$10.45 · 140 @ 0.075
BUY·53d agostale·0xe1b4…64d7why? →
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - July 28, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET
-$25.00 · 140 @ 0.179
SELL·53d agostale·0xe1b4…64d7why? →
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - July 28, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET
+$6.68 · 66.85 @ 0.100
BUY·53d agostale·0xe1b4…64d7why? →
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - July 28, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET
-$9.96 · 32.14 @ 0.310
BUY·53d agostale·0xe1b4…64d7why? →
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - July 28, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET
-$10.00 · 34.711033 @ 0.288
BUY·54d agostale·0xe1b4…64d7why? →
on Seattle Mariners vs. Texas Rangers AND Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Pittsburgh Pirates
246.296307 @ 0.302
SELL·54d agostale·0xe1b4…64d7why? →
Atlanta Braves on Atlanta Braves vs. Baltimore Orioles
-$50.10 · 417.48 @ 0.880
BUY·55d agostale·0xe1b4…64d7why? →
Atlanta Braves on Atlanta Braves vs. Baltimore Orioles
+$175.34 · 417.482757 @ 0.580
BUY·71d agostale·0xe1b4…64d7why? →
Over 3.5 on Jannik Sinner vs. Novak Djokovic: Total Sets O/U 3.5
-$108.85 · 184.491524 @ 0.590
BUY·74d agostale·0xe1b4…64d7why? →
on Switzerland vs. Colombia: Team to Advance AND Switzerland vs. Colombia: O/U 0.5
356.196013 @ 0.602
SELL·74d agostale·0xe1b4…64d7why? →
on Argentina vs. Egypt: O/U 1.5 AND Will Argentina win on 2026-07-07?
218.877641 @ 0.992
BUY·74d agostale·0xe1b4…64d7why? →
on Argentina vs. Egypt: O/U 1.5 AND Will Argentina win on 2026-07-07?
218.877641 @ 0.610
BUY·74d agostale·0xe1b4…64d7why? →
Diego Dedura-Palomero on Braunschweig: Diego Dedura-Palomero vs Clement Tabur
+$25.64 · 134.962957 @ 0.810
SELL·74d agostale·0xe1b4…64d7why? →
No on Portugal vs. Spain: Both Teams to Score
-$0.14 · 138.86 @ 0.999
BUY·74d agostale·0xe1b4…64d7why? →
No on Portugal vs. Spain: Both Teams to Score
+$58.32 · 138.862066 @ 0.580
Integrity indicators

No anomalies detected for this trader.

Anomaly indicators reflect statistical patterns only. May have innocent explanations.