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not-epstein

0xe18b…db44polymarket ↗last active 25m ago
All-time PnL
-$41.72
Win rate
96.0%
96 of 100
Total trades
100
Avg PnL / trade
-$0.42
30d PnL
-$41.72
30d trades
100
30d wins
96
96.0%
30d volume
$6.84k
Category edge
Crypto
96.0%
+30.3pp
n=100

vs cohort baseline per category · observed record only · not financial advice

Signal hit rate
96.0% (96 wins / 4 misses)
Cumulative PnL · 2-day series
$5.35
-$41.72
Trading pattern
Crypto Specialistbuy-heavysmall-sizefavorite-backercategory-focusedBuy-leaning · Crypto 100%
Why Crypto Specialisthigh confidence · 100 trades
Category focus: Crypto 100% of categorized trades≥60% concentrated in one category → a Crypto specialist.
Directional bias: +1.00 (buy-heavy)Mostly buys outcomes — leans into positions rather than fading them.
Entry pricing: avg 0.97Enters at favorite prices (>0.70) — backs likely outcomes.
Typical position size: median $80Small typical stake (<$500).
Sizing consistency: CV 0.43 (consistent)Stakes are uniform — systematic, flat-sizing behaviour.

Observed behaviour — descriptive, not predictive. NFA.

Entry price
0–10¢90–100¢
avg 97¢ · 100 trades
Position sizing
<$100$10k+
median $80.43 · p90 $97.00
Activity · UTC
SunMonTueWedThuFriSat
00h12h23h
peak Sun 00:00 · 100 trades

Descriptive analytics of this trader’s observed public activity — not a prediction or recommendation. Not financial advice.

Recent trades

EXPORT
BUY·25m ago·0xe18b…db44why? →
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 20, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET
+$3.84 · 100 @ 0.962
BUY·33m ago·0xe18b…db44why? →
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 20, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET
+$0.90 · 29.93 @ 0.970
BUY·37m ago·0xe18b…db44why? →
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 20, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET
+$0.47 · 15.52 @ 0.970
BUY·41m ago·0xe18b…db44why? →
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 20, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET
+$3.00 · 100 @ 0.970
BUY·46m ago·0xe18b…db44why? →
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 20, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET
+$2.88 · 96.04 @ 0.970
BUY·1h ago·0xe18b…db44why? →
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 20, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET
+$0.16 · 5.45 @ 0.970
BUY·1h ago·0xe18b…db44why? →
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 20, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET
+$2.48 · 82.6 @ 0.970
BUY·1h ago·0xe18b…db44why? →
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 20, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET
+$2.23 · 74.45 @ 0.970
BUY·1h ago·0xe18b…db44why? →
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 20, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET
-$45.59 · 47 @ 0.970
BUY·2h agoageing·0xe18b…db44why? →
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 20, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET
+$2.27 · 75.77 @ 0.970
BUY·2h agoageing·0xe18b…db44why? →
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 20, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET
+$0.30 · 9.84 @ 0.970
BUY·2h agoageing·0xe18b…db44why? →
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 19, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET
+$2.76 · 91.87 @ 0.970
BUY·2h agoageing·0xe18b…db44why? →
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 19, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET
+$3.00 · 100 @ 0.970
BUY·2h agoageing·0xe18b…db44why? →
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 19, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET
+$2.92 · 97.31 @ 0.970
BUY·2h agoageing·0xe18b…db44why? →
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 19, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET
+$0.86 · 28.56 @ 0.970
BUY·2h agoageing·0xe18b…db44why? →
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 19, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET
+$1.86 · 62 @ 0.970
BUY·2h agoageing·0xe18b…db44why? →
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 19, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET
+$3.00 · 100 @ 0.970
BUY·3h agoageing·0xe18b…db44why? →
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 19, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET
+$1.53 · 51.08 @ 0.970
BUY·3h agoageing·0xe18b…db44why? →
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 19, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET
+$1.57 · 52.37 @ 0.970
BUY·3h agoageing·0xe18b…db44why? →
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 19, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET
+$0.45 · 15.06 @ 0.970
BUY·3h agoageing·0xe18b…db44why? →
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 19, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET
+$0.51 · 17 @ 0.970
BUY·3h agoageing·0xe18b…db44why? →
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 19, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET
+$1.21 · 40.17 @ 0.970
BUY·3h agoageing·0xe18b…db44why? →
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 19, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET
+$3.00 · 100 @ 0.970
BUY·3h agoageing·0xe18b…db44why? →
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 19, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET
+$2.85 · 95 @ 0.970
BUY·3h agoageing·0xe18b…db44why? →
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 19, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET
+$0.62 · 20.51 @ 0.970
BUY·4h agoageing·0xe18b…db44why? →
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 19, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET
+$2.87 · 95.72 @ 0.970
BUY·4h agoageing·0xe18b…db44why? →
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 19, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET
+$3.00 · 100 @ 0.970
BUY·4h agoageing·0xe18b…db44why? →
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 19, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET
+$2.50 · 83.27 @ 0.970
BUY·4h agoageing·0xe18b…db44why? →
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 19, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET
-$86.26 · 88.93 @ 0.970
BUY·4h agoageing·0xe18b…db44why? →
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 19, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET
+$3.00 · 100 @ 0.970
BUY·4h agoageing·0xe18b…db44why? →
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 19, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET
+$1.71 · 57 @ 0.970
BUY·4h agoageing·0xe18b…db44why? →
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 19, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET
+$0.96 · 32 @ 0.970
BUY·5h agoageing·0xe18b…db44why? →
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 19, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET
+$1.92 · 63.92 @ 0.970
BUY·5h agoageing·0xe18b…db44why? →
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 19, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET
+$0.74 · 24.67 @ 0.970
BUY·5h agoageing·0xe18b…db44why? →
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 19, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET
+$2.55 · 85 @ 0.970
BUY·5h agoageing·0xe18b…db44why? →
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 19, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET
+$2.01 · 67.01 @ 0.970
BUY·5h agoageing·0xe18b…db44why? →
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 19, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET
+$0.81 · 27 @ 0.970
BUY·5h agoageing·0xe18b…db44why? →
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 19, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET
+$2.91 · 97 @ 0.970
BUY·5h agoageing·0xe18b…db44why? →
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 19, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET
+$3.00 · 100 @ 0.970
BUY·5h agoageing·0xe18b…db44why? →
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 19, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET
+$1.46 · 48.68 @ 0.970
BUY·5h agoageing·0xe18b…db44why? →
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 19, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET
+$2.82 · 93.91 @ 0.970
BUY·5h agoageing·0xe18b…db44why? →
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 19, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET
+$1.44 · 48 @ 0.970
BUY·5h agoageing·0xe18b…db44why? →
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 19, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET
+$2.56 · 85.21 @ 0.970
BUY·5h agoageing·0xe18b…db44why? →
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 19, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET
+$2.86 · 95.33 @ 0.970
BUY·6h agoageing·0xe18b…db44why? →
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 19, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET
+$1.02 · 34 @ 0.970
BUY·6h agoageing·0xe18b…db44why? →
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 19, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET
+$2.50 · 83.24 @ 0.970
BUY·6h agoageing·0xe18b…db44why? →
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 19, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET
+$0.15 · 5 @ 0.970
BUY·6h agoageing·0xe18b…db44why? →
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 19, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET
+$2.76 · 91.92 @ 0.970
BUY·6h agoageing·0xe18b…db44why? →
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 19, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET
+$3.00 · 100 @ 0.970
BUY·7h agoageing·0xe18b…db44why? →
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 19, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET
+$1.03 · 34.23 @ 0.970
Integrity indicators

No anomalies detected for this trader.

Anomaly indicators reflect statistical patterns only. May have innocent explanations.