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SP

SportsRecord

0xdfd1…cef5polymarket ↗last active 32m ago
All-time PnL
-$421.59
Win rate
38.7%
39 of 100
Total trades
100
Avg PnL / trade
-$13.60
30d PnL
-$421.59
30d trades
100
30d wins
12
12.0%
30d volume
$13.8k
Category edge
Sports
44.1%
+4.5pp
n=34

vs cohort baseline per category · observed record only · not financial advice

Signal hit rate
41.7% (15 wins / 21 misses)
Cumulative PnL · 20-day series
$309.38
-$445.19
Trading pattern
Sports Specialistbuy-heavysmall-sizecategory-focusedBuy-leaning · Sports 92%
Why Sports Specialisthigh confidence · 100 trades
Category focus: Sports 92% of categorized trades≥60% concentrated in one category → a Sports specialist.
Directional bias: +0.98 (buy-heavy)Mostly buys outcomes — leans into positions rather than fading them.
Entry pricing: avg 0.38Enters around mid-priced outcomes — no strong odds tilt.
Typical position size: median $145Small typical stake (<$500).
Sizing consistency: CV 0.72 (moderate)Stakes vary moderately across trades.

Observed behaviour — descriptive, not predictive. NFA.

Entry price
0–10¢90–100¢
avg 38¢ · 100 trades
Position sizing
<$100$10k+
median $144.87 · p90 $243.00
Activity · UTC
SunMonTueWedThuFriSat
00h12h23h
peak Mon 23:00 · 100 trades

Descriptive analytics of this trader’s observed public activity — not a prediction or recommendation. Not financial advice.

Recent trades

EXPORT
BUY·32m ago·0xdfd1…cef5why? →
on Tiburon: Michael Zheng vs Darwin Blanch AND Guadalajara Open Akron: Peyton Stearns vs Iva Jovic
406.626961 @ 0.541
BUY·3h agoageing·0xdfd1…cef5why? →
on Arizona State vs. Kansas AND Spread: Texas A&M (-17.5)
519.265429 @ 0.373
BUY·17h agoageing·0xdfd1…cef5why? →
Peyton Stearns on Guadalajara Open Akron: Liudmila Samsonova vs Peyton Stearns
+$100.10 · 130 @ 0.230
BUY·1d agostale·0xdfd1…cef5why? →
on Guadalajara Open Akron: Cristina Bucsa vs Iva Jovic AND Guadalajara Open Akron: Liudmila Samsonova vs Peyton Stearns
441.183674 @ 0.441
BUY·1d agostale·0xdfd1…cef5why? →
Sloane Stephens on Guadalajara Open Akron: Peyton Stearns vs Sloane Stephens
-$13.49 · 58.652174 @ 0.230
BUY·1d agostale·0xdfd1…cef5why? →
on Browns vs. Buccaneers AND Giants vs. Rams AND Lions vs. Bills
471.46052 @ 0.412
BUY·2d agostale·0xdfd1…cef5why? →
on Guadalajara Open Akron: Peyton Stearns vs Sloane Stephens AND Lions vs. Bills
447.294657 @ 0.435
BUY·3d agostale·0xdfd1…cef5why? →
No on Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?
14.925372 @ 0.670
BUY·3d agostale·0xdfd1…cef5why? →
on Guadalajara Open Akron: Zeynep Sonmez vs Iva Jovic AND Guadalajara Open Akron: Marta Kostyuk vs Taylor Townsend
762.621057 @ 0.578
BUY·3d agostale·0xdfd1…cef5why? →
Janice Tjen on Guadalajara Open Akron: Sloane Stephens vs Janice Tjen
-$371.00 · 639.655173 @ 0.580
BUY·3d agostale·0xdfd1…cef5why? →
on Guadalajara Open Akron: Zeynep Sonmez vs Iva Jovic AND Guadalajara Open Akron: Diane Parry vs Peyton Stearns
179.141368 @ 0.407
BUY·3d agostale·0xdfd1…cef5why? →
on Guadalajara Open Akron: Zeynep Sonmez vs Iva Jovic AND Guadalajara Open Akron: Diane Parry vs Peyton Stearns
23.885515 @ 0.407
BUY·4d agostale·0xdfd1…cef5why? →
Yes on Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?
-$20.00 · 2000 @ 0.010
BUY·4d agostale·0xdfd1…cef5why? →
on Tiburon: Igor Ribeiro Marcondes vs Nishesh Basavareddy AND Guadalajara Open Akron: Diane Parry vs Peyton Stearns
315.282579 @ 0.416
BUY·4d agostale·0xdfd1…cef5why? →
Under on Broncos vs. Chiefs: O/U 41.5
+$57.68 · 207.678766 @ 0.722
BUY·4d agostale·0xdfd1…cef5why? →
Under on Broncos vs. Chiefs: O/U 41.5
+$307.14 · 357.142858 @ 0.140
BUY·4d agostale·0xdfd1…cef5why? →
on Broncos vs. Chiefs: O/U 41.5 AND Broncos vs. Chiefs
181.894296 @ 0.319
BUY·4d agostale·0xdfd1…cef5why? →
on Broncos vs. Chiefs: O/U 41.5 AND Broncos vs. Chiefs
154.196844 @ 0.313
BUY·4d agostale·0xdfd1…cef5why? →
on Broncos vs. Chiefs: O/U 41.5 AND Broncos vs. Chiefs
156.258974 @ 0.309
BUY·4d agostale·0xdfd1…cef5why? →
on Broncos vs. Chiefs: O/U 41.5 AND Broncos vs. Chiefs
174.047055 @ 0.305
BUY·5d agostale·0xdfd1…cef5why? →
on Broncos vs. Chiefs: O/U 39.5 AND Cowboys vs. Giants
552.585805 @ 0.404
BUY·5d agostale·0xdfd1…cef5why? →
on Commanders vs. Eagles AND Dolphins vs. Raiders
357.386699 @ 0.435
BUY·5d agostale·0xdfd1…cef5why? →
Texans on Bills vs. Texans
-$89.90 · 310 @ 0.290
BUY·6d agostale·0xdfd1…cef5why? →
on Falcons vs. Steelers AND Cardinals vs. Chargers AND Cowboys vs. Giants
519.894346 @ 0.373
BUY·6d agostale·0xdfd1…cef5why? →
on Browns vs. Jaguars AND Bills vs. Texans
345.991976 @ 0.421
BUY·6d agostale·0xdfd1…cef5why? →
on Bills vs. Texans AND Cardinals vs. Chargers
348.386052 @ 0.433
BUY·6d agostale·0xdfd1…cef5why? →
on Memphis vs. Boise State AND Duke vs. Illinois AND Alabama vs. Kentucky
467.941948 @ 0.415
BUY·6d agostale·0xdfd1…cef5why? →
Over on Oklahoma vs. Michigan: O/U 43.5
-$25.00 · 250 @ 0.100
BUY·7d agostale·0xdfd1…cef5why? →
on Spread: Alabama (-6.5) AND UNLV vs. North Texas: O/U 60.5
425.333939 @ 0.353
BUY·7d agostale·0xdfd1…cef5why? →
on Spread: Oklahoma (-7.5) AND Oklahoma vs. Michigan: O/U 45.5
215.338673 @ 0.452
BUY·7d agostale·0xdfd1…cef5why? →
on Spread: Oklahoma (-7.5) AND Oklahoma vs. Michigan: O/U 45.5
235.786336 @ 0.412
BUY·7d agostale·0xdfd1…cef5why? →
on Rutgers vs. Boston College: O/U 53.5 AND Spread: Boston College (-2.5)
506.048185 @ 0.286
BUY·8d agostale·0xdfd1…cef5why? →
No on Fed Rate Hike by October 2026 Meeting?
-$600.00 · 2068.965518 @ 0.290
BUY·9d agostale·0xdfd1…cef5why? →
on US Open WTA: Aryna Sabalenka vs Jessica Pegula AND 49ers vs. Rams
516.882208 @ 0.423
BUY·10d agostale·0xdfd1…cef5why? →
on US Open WTA: Qinwen Zheng vs Elena Rybakina AND US Open WTA: Aryna Sabalenka vs Jessica Pegula
316.028363 @ 0.478
BUY·10d agostale·0xdfd1…cef5why? →
on Set Handicap: Zverev (-1.5) vs Zandschulp (+1.5) AND US Open ATP: Karen Khachanov vs Alexander Blockx
207.273235 @ 0.470
BUY·10d agostale·0xdfd1…cef5why? →
Ben Shelton on US Open ATP: Ben Shelton vs Carlos Alcaraz
+$66.28 · 116.27907 @ 0.430
BUY·10d agostale·0xdfd1…cef5why? →
Ben Shelton on US Open ATP: Ben Shelton vs Carlos Alcaraz
+$566.67 · 666.666667 @ 0.150
BUY·10d agostale·0xdfd1…cef5why? →
Emma Navarro on US Open WTA: Jessica Pegula vs Emma Navarro
-$20.00 · 471 @ 0.042
BUY·10d agostale·0xdfd1…cef5why? →
on US Open ATP: Ben Shelton vs Carlos Alcaraz AND US Open WTA: Jessica Pegula vs Emma Navarro
481.630656 @ 0.611
BUY·10d agostale·0xdfd1…cef5why? →
Alex Michelsen on US Open ATP: Frances Tiafoe vs Alex Michelsen
-$150.00 · 387.5969 @ 0.387
BUY·11d agostale·0xdfd1…cef5why? →
on US Open ATP: Ben Shelton vs Carlos Alcaraz AND Frances Tiafoe vs. Alex Michelsen: Total Sets O/U 3.5
320.785327 @ 0.533
BUY·11d agostale·0xdfd1…cef5why? →
on US Open ATP: Ben Shelton vs Carlos Alcaraz AND Frances Tiafoe vs. Alex Michelsen: Total Sets O/U 3.5
139.786646 @ 0.524
BUY·11d agostale·0xdfd1…cef5why? →
on US Open ATP: Frances Tiafoe vs Alex Michelsen AND US Open ATP: Ben Shelton vs Carlos Alcaraz
14.748388 @ 0.328
BUY·11d agostale·0xdfd1…cef5why? →
SMU on Spread: SMU (-2.5)
+$215.49 · 458.490565 @ 0.530
BUY·11d agostale·0xdfd1…cef5why? →
Botic van de Zandschulp on US Open ATP: Arthur Gea vs Botic van de Zandschulp
+$8.48 · 10.1 @ 0.160
BUY·11d agostale·0xdfd1…cef5why? →
on US Open ATP: Karen Khachanov vs Learner Tien AND US Open ATP: Francisco Cerundolo vs Alexander Blockx AND US Open ATP: Arthur Gea vs Botic van de Zandschulp
376.016385 @ 0.192
BUY·11d agostale·0xdfd1…cef5why? →
on US Open ATP: Francisco Cerundolo vs Alexander Blockx AND US Open ATP: Arthur Gea vs Botic van de Zandschulp
241.329056 @ 0.300
BUY·12d agostale·0xdfd1…cef5why? →
Arthur Gea on US Open ATP: Arthur Gea vs Botic van de Zandschulp
-$200.00 · 487.804877 @ 0.410
BUY·12d agostale·0xdfd1…cef5why? →
on US Open ATP: Karen Khachanov vs Learner Tien AND US Open WTA: Mirra Andreeva vs Anastasia Potapova
200.134343 @ 0.487
Integrity indicators

No anomalies detected for this trader.

Anomaly indicators reflect statistical patterns only. May have innocent explanations.