No on Houthis enter Aden by December 31, 2026?
— 1610.62768 @ 0.683
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TO
ToTheWindow
All-time PnL
$166.45
Win rate
62.5%
63 of 100
Total trades
100
Avg PnL / trade
$23.81
30d PnL
$190.49
30d trades
100
30d wins
5
5.0%
30d volume
$12.7k
Category edge
World
92.0%
+8.7pp
n=25
vs cohort baseline per category · observed record only · not financial advice
Signal hit rate
92.0% (23 wins / 2 misses)⚠ Possible wash trade
opposite positions detected on 6 markets — verify independentlyCumulative PnL · 2-day series
$207.19
$0.00
Trading pattern
World Specialistbuy-heavysmall-sizecategory-focusedBuy-leaning · World 100%
Why World Specialisthigh confidence · 100 trades
Category focus: World 100% of categorized trades — ≥60% concentrated in one category → a World specialist.
Directional bias: +0.72 (buy-heavy) — Mostly buys outcomes — leans into positions rather than fading them.
Entry pricing: avg 0.60 — Enters around mid-priced outcomes — no strong odds tilt.
Typical position size: median $54 — Small typical stake (<$500).
Sizing consistency: CV 1.53 (varied) — Stakes vary widely — opportunistic or conviction-weighted sizing.
Observed behaviour — descriptive, not predictive. NFA.
Entry price
0–10¢90–100¢
avg 60¢ · 100 trades
Position sizing
<$100$10k+
median $53.81 · p90 $300.00
Activity · UTC
00h12h23h
peak Wed 12:00 · 100 trades
Descriptive analytics of this trader’s observed public activity — not a prediction or recommendation. Not financial advice.
Recent trades
EXPORT
No on Houthis enter Aden by October 31, 2026?
— 12.5 @ 0.800
No on Houthis enter Aden by October 31, 2026?
— 25 @ 0.800
No on Houthis enter Aden by October 31, 2026?
— 500 @ 0.800
No on Houthis enter Aden by October 31, 2026?
— 400 @ 0.790
No on Will Iran target Jordan by September 30, 2026?
— 20 @ 0.620
No on Will Iran target Jordan by September 30, 2026?
— 45 @ 0.610
Yes on Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by September 22?
— 200 @ 0.110
Yes on Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by September 22?
— 136.363637 @ 0.110
Yes on Will the Houthis enter Saudi Arabia by September 20?
— 400 @ 0.012
No on Houthis enter Aden by October 31, 2026?
— 500 @ 0.780
Yes on US x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30?
— 33.783784 @ 0.740
Yes on US x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30?
— 73.529412 @ 0.680
Yes on US x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30?
— 200 @ 0.750
Yes on US x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30?
— 200 @ 0.750
No on Houthis enter Aden by September 30, 2026?
— 337.078645 @ 0.890
No on Houthis enter Aden by September 30, 2026?
— 561.797745 @ 0.890
No on Houthis enter Aden by September 30, 2026?
— 1123.5955 @ 0.890
No on Will Iran target Jordan by September 30, 2026?
— 23.94 @ 0.667
No on Houthis enter Aden by September 30, 2026?
— 112.359545 @ 0.890
Yes on Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by October 31?
— 180 @ 0.860
Yes on Will USD be less than 2.2M Iranian rials on September 30?
— 189.802858 @ 0.132
Yes on Israel x Syria diplomatic meeting by October 31, 2026?
— 9.99 @ 0.110
No on Will Iran target Jordan by September 30, 2026?
— 48.18 @ 0.630
Yes on US x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30?
— 133.333332 @ 0.750
Yes on Will Iran target Jordan by September 30, 2026?
— 60 @ 0.370
Yes on Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by September 30?
— 49.35 @ 0.570
Yes on Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by September 30?
— 148.06 @ 0.580
No on Will Iran target Jordan by September 30, 2026?
— 160 @ 0.627
Yes on Israel x Syria diplomatic meeting by September 30, 2026?
— 9.99 @ 0.011
Yes on Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by September 22?
— 120 @ 0.330
Yes on Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by September 30?
— 157.4 @ 0.620
Yes on Will the Houthis enter Saudi Arabia by September 30?
— 31.8 @ 0.045
No on Houthis enter Aden by September 30, 2026?
— 264.367815 @ 0.870
No on Houthis enter Aden by September 30, 2026?
— 310.344823 @ 0.870
Yes on Will the Houthis enter Saudi Arabia by December 31?
— 263.157895 @ 0.190
Yes on Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by September 22?
— 40 @ 0.370
Yes on Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by October 31?
— 120 @ 0.800
Yes on Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by September 30?
— 100 @ 0.590
Yes on Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by October 31?
— 40 @ 0.710
Yes on Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by September 22?
— 100 @ 0.330
Yes on Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by September 30?
— 173.85 @ 0.583
Yes on Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by September 22?
— 100 @ 0.260
Yes on Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by September 30?
— 393.25 @ 0.640
Yes on Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by September 30?
— 147.058821 @ 0.680
Yes on Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by September 30?
— 147.266321 @ 0.679
Yes on Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by September 30?
— 74.626866 @ 0.670
Yes on Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by September 30?
— 298.507463 @ 0.670
Yes on Will the Houthis enter Saudi Arabia by October 31?
— 30 @ 0.140
No on Will Iran target an Arab country by September 15, 2026?
— 69.6 @ 0.902
Integrity indicators
No anomalies detected for this trader.
Anomaly indicators reflect statistical patterns only. May have innocent explanations.