Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 19, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET
— 265.354341 @ 0.754
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LI
Lilfishman
All-time PnL
-$40.07
Win rate
61.9%
62 of 100
Total trades
100
Avg PnL / trade
-$0.64
30d PnL
$53.91
30d trades
41
30d wins
19
46.3%
30d volume
$14.8k
Category edge
Weather
50.0%
-14.5pp
n=8
Crypto
60.2%
-4.8pp
n=88
vs cohort baseline per category · observed record only · not financial advice
Signal hit rate
59.8% (58 wins / 39 misses)⚠ Possible wash trade
opposite positions detected on 23 markets — verify independentlyCumulative PnL · 11-day series
$46.58
-$93.98
Trading pattern
Crypto Specialisttwo-sidedsmall-sizecategory-focusedBuy-leaning · Crypto 91%
Why Crypto Specialisthigh confidence · 100 trades
Category focus: Crypto 91% of categorized trades — ≥60% concentrated in one category → a Crypto specialist.
Directional bias: +0.48 (two-sided) — Trades both sides fairly evenly — no strong directional lean.
Entry pricing: avg 0.63 — Enters around mid-priced outcomes — no strong odds tilt.
Typical position size: median $12 — Small typical stake (<$500).
Sizing consistency: CV 1.67 (varied) — Stakes vary widely — opportunistic or conviction-weighted sizing.
Observed behaviour — descriptive, not predictive. NFA.
Entry price
0–10¢90–100¢
avg 63¢ · 100 trades
Position sizing
<$100$10k+
median $11.95 · p90 $454.70
Activity · UTC
00h12h23h
peak Sat 12:00 · 100 trades
Descriptive analytics of this trader’s observed public activity — not a prediction or recommendation. Not financial advice.
Recent trades
EXPORT
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 19, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET
— +$24.72 · 224.7191 @ 0.890
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 19, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET
— +$29.45 · 229.446591 @ 0.872
Up on Ethereum Up or Down - September 19, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET
— +$185.79 · 311.21 @ 0.597
Up on Ethereum Up or Down - September 19, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET
— -$200.00 · 311.21212 @ 0.643
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 19, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET
— -$16.12 · 243.9 @ 0.934
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 19, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET
— +$43.90 · 243.902438 @ 0.820
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 19, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET
— +$30.90 · 205 @ 0.151
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 19, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET
— -$45.30 · 64.289575 @ 0.705
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 19, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET
— -$454.70 · 664.29 @ 0.684
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 19, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET
— +$116.81 · 616.808655 @ 0.811
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 19, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET
— -$426.11 · 481.12 @ 0.886
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 19, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET
— +$139.86 · 639.861 @ 0.781
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 19, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET
— +$13.89 · 1389.47 @ 0.010
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 19, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET
— -$1.00k · 1389.472055 @ 0.720
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 19, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET
— -$57.03 · 169.68 @ 0.664
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 19, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET
— -$332.54 · 1140.84 @ 0.709
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 19, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET
— +$256.22 · 1069.81 @ 0.760
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 19, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET
— +$54.31 · 240.718204 @ 0.774
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 19, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET
— +$255.44 · 1255.44 @ 0.797
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 19, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET
— -$451.27 · 787.95 @ 0.427
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 19, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET
— -$420.14 · 761.42 @ 0.448
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 19, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET
— +$106.38 · 358 @ 0.703
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 19, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET
— +$443.20 · 1191.37 @ 0.628
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 19, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET
— +$124.66 · 336.774762 @ 0.630
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 19, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET
— +$509.44 · 1297.32 @ 0.607
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 19, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET
— +$417.76 · 1417.763889 @ 0.705
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 19, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET
— +$153.05 · 1153.047409 @ 0.867
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 19, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET
— +$38.27 · 338.265281 @ 0.887
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 19, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET
— +$40.86 · 340.855731 @ 0.880
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 19, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET
— +$204.28 · 504.2825 @ 0.595
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 19, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET
— +$26.23 · 126.232 @ 0.792
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 19, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET
— -$100.00 · 156.25 @ 0.640
Up on Ethereum Up or Down - September 19, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET
— +$5.00 · 305.0019 @ 0.984
Up on XRP Up or Down - September 19, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET
— -$53.54 · 403.2 @ 0.867
Up on XRP Up or Down - September 19, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET
— +$103.20 · 403.20468 @ 0.744
Down on Solana Up or Down - September 19, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET
— -$9.93 · 155.87 @ 0.936
Down on Solana Up or Down - September 19, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET
— +$55.88 · 155.876922 @ 0.642
Down on XRP Up or Down - September 19, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET
— +$35.86 · 135.858439 @ 0.736
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 19, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET
— +$64.67 · 164.67213 @ 0.607
Yes on Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on September 18?
— +$140.56 · 440.558003 @ 0.681
Yes on Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 36°C on July 25?
— -$5.00 · 9.80392 @ 0.510
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - July 24, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET
— -$3.00 · 6.666665 @ 0.450
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - July 24, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET
— -$0.18 · 4.47 @ 0.960
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - July 24, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET
— +$1.48 · 4.477609 @ 0.670
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - July 17, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET
— -$1.00 · 5.555554 @ 0.180
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - July 17, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET
— -$1.00 · 2.083332 @ 0.480
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - July 17, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET
— -$3.00 · 4.347825 @ 0.690
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - July 17, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET
— +$4.65 · 5.88 @ 0.790
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - July 17, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET
— -$3.00 · 5.882351 @ 0.510
Integrity indicators
No anomalies detected for this trader.
Anomaly indicators reflect statistical patterns only. May have innocent explanations.