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Forecastication2

0xdd5e…9040polymarket ↗last active 22m ago
All-time PnL
-$366.37
Win rate
45.5%
45 of 100
Total trades
100
Avg PnL / trade
-$33.31
30d PnL
-$366.37
30d trades
100
30d wins
5
5.0%
30d volume
$12.1k
Category edge
Sports
45.5%
-13.6pp
n=11

vs cohort baseline per category · observed record only · not financial advice

Signal hit rate
45.5% (5 wins / 6 misses)
Cumulative PnL · 2-day series
$16.17
-$366.37
Trading pattern
Sports Specialistbuy-heavysmall-sizecategory-focusedBuy-leaning · Sports 100%
Why Sports Specialisthigh confidence · 100 trades
Category focus: Sports 100% of categorized trades≥60% concentrated in one category → a Sports specialist.
Directional bias: +1.00 (buy-heavy)Mostly buys outcomes — leans into positions rather than fading them.
Entry pricing: avg 0.49Enters around mid-priced outcomes — no strong odds tilt.
Typical position size: median $10Small typical stake (<$500).
Sizing consistency: CV 2.50 (varied)Stakes vary widely — opportunistic or conviction-weighted sizing.

Observed behaviour — descriptive, not predictive. NFA.

Entry price
0–10¢90–100¢
avg 49¢ · 100 trades
Position sizing
<$100$10k+
median $9.54 · p90 $283.25
Activity · UTC
SunMonTueWedThuFriSat
00h12h23h
peak Fri 23:00 · 100 trades

Descriptive analytics of this trader’s observed public activity — not a prediction or recommendation. Not financial advice.

Recent trades

EXPORT
BUY·22m ago·0xdd5e…9040why? →
No on Fight to Go the Distance?
232 @ 0.690
BUY·24m ago·0xdd5e…9040why? →
Hurricanes on Hurricanes vs. Panthers
8 @ 0.520
BUY·25m ago·0xdd5e…9040why? →
Yes on Exact Score: CF América 0 - 2 CD Guadalajara?
74 @ 0.068
BUY·27m ago·0xdd5e…9040why? →
Over on Newcastle United FC vs. Hull City AFC: O/U 7.5 Total Corners
18 @ 0.840
BUY·39m ago·0xdd5e…9040why? →
Over on FC Anyang vs. Ulsan HD FC: O/U 2.5
42 @ 0.570
BUY·41m ago·0xdd5e…9040why? →
Texas A&M on 1H Spread: Texas A&M (-9.5)
18 @ 0.510
BUY·44m ago·0xdd5e…9040why? →
Wisconsin on 1H Spread: Wisconsin (-13.5)
18 @ 0.520
BUY·48m ago·0xdd5e…9040why? →
Gardner-Webb on Spread: Gardner-Webb (-7.5)
9 @ 0.480
BUY·51m ago·0xdd5e…9040why? →
Michael Aswell on UFC 331: Michael Aswell vs. JooSang Yoo (Featherweight, Prelims)
65 @ 0.350
BUY·52m ago·0xdd5e…9040why? →
Amur Khabarovsk on KHL: Amur Khabarovsk vs. HC Dynamo Moscow
33 @ 0.410
BUY·52m ago·0xdd5e…9040why? →
Sevilla FC on Spread: FC Barcelona (-2.5)
255 @ 0.610
BUY·56m ago·0xdd5e…9040why? →
Stonehill on Spread: UMass (-33.5)
18 @ 0.550
BUY·57m ago·0xdd5e…9040why? →
Over on UTEP vs. Michigan: 1H O/U 27.5
20 @ 0.480
BUY·1h ago·0xdd5e…9040why? →
Yes on Will IF Brommapojkarna win on 2026-09-19?
12 @ 0.330
BUY·1h ago·0xdd5e…9040why? →
Yes on SV Werder Bremen vs. FC Augsburg: Both Teams to Score in First Half
40 @ 0.304
BUY·1h ago·0xdd5e…9040why? →
Yes on BV Borussia 09 Dortmund leading at halftime?
339 @ 0.320
BUY·1h ago·0xdd5e…9040why? →
Texas State on Spread: Texas State (-16.5)
7 @ 0.160
BUY·1h ago·0xdd5e…9040why? →
NC State on 1H Spread: Vanderbilt (-2.5)
535 @ 0.529
BUY·1h ago·0xdd5e…9040why? →
Los Angeles Dodgers on San Francisco Giants vs. Los Angeles Dodgers
26 @ 0.740
BUY·1h ago·0xdd5e…9040why? →
Seattle Mariners on Seattle Mariners vs. Colorado Rockies
8 @ 0.550
BUY·1h ago·0xdd5e…9040why? →
Over on North Carolina vs. Clemson: 1Q O/U 7.5
17 @ 0.510
BUY·1h ago·0xdd5e…9040why? →
Georgia on 1H Spread: Georgia (-13.5)
35 @ 0.600
BUY·1h ago·0xdd5e…9040why? →
Ohio State on 1Q Spread: Ohio State (-13.5)
15 @ 0.620
BUY·1h ago·0xdd5e…9040why? →
Las Vegas Aces on Seattle Storm vs. Las Vegas Aces
51 @ 0.760
BUY·2h agoageing·0xdd5e…9040why? →
Georgia on Spread: Georgia (-9.5)
10 @ 0.850
BUY·2h agoageing·0xdd5e…9040why? →
Yes on Will the fight be won by KO or TKO?
10 @ 0.570
BUY·2h agoageing·0xdd5e…9040why? →
Yes on CF América vs. CD Guadalajara: Neither team to score first?
89 @ 0.062
BUY·2h agoageing·0xdd5e…9040why? →
Admiral Vladivostok on KHL: Admiral Vladivostok vs. Severstal Cherepovets
5 @ 0.500
BUY·2h agoageing·0xdd5e…9040why? →
Over on Sevilla FC vs. FC Barcelona: Sevilla FC O/U 3.5 Corners
210 @ 0.450
BUY·2h agoageing·0xdd5e…9040why? →
Arizona State on Spread: Arizona State (-2.5)
9 @ 0.610
BUY·2h agoageing·0xdd5e…9040why? →
Yes on Exact Score: FC Juárez 2 - 0 Tigres de la UANL?
141 @ 0.031
BUY·2h agoageing·0xdd5e…9040why? →
Tigres de la UANL on Spread: Tigres de la UANL (-1.5)
298 @ 0.290
BUY·2h agoageing·0xdd5e…9040why? →
Las Vegas Aces on Seattle Storm vs. Las Vegas Aces
15 @ 0.760
BUY·2h agoageing·0xdd5e…9040why? →
Yes on Will CF Estrela da Amadora win on 2026-09-20?
5 @ 0.430
BUY·2h agoageing·0xdd5e…9040why? →
Las Vegas Aces on Seattle Storm vs. Las Vegas Aces
8 @ 0.760
BUY·2h agoageing·0xdd5e…9040why? →
Tigres de la UANL on Spread: Tigres de la UANL (-1.5)
15 @ 0.280
BUY·2h agoageing·0xdd5e…9040why? →
No on Will Sparta Rotterdam vs. SC Heerenveen end in a draw?
73 @ 0.750
BUY·2h agoageing·0xdd5e…9040why? →
No on Will Vasteraas SK vs. Malmo FF end in a draw?
126 @ 0.750
BUY·2h agoageing·0xdd5e…9040why? →
Oklahoma on 1Q Spread: Oklahoma (-6.5)
9 @ 0.520
BUY·2h agoageing·0xdd5e…9040why? →
Yes on Exact Score: CF América 2 - 1 CD Guadalajara?
73 @ 0.100
BUY·2h agoageing·0xdd5e…9040why? →
Utah on Utah vs. Avalanche
6 @ 0.430
BUY·2h agoageing·0xdd5e…9040why? →
Utah on 1H Spread: Utah (-16.5)
20 @ 0.510
BUY·3h agoageing·0xdd5e…9040why? →
NYG on Spread: LA (-9.5)
503 @ 0.560
BUY·3h agoageing·0xdd5e…9040why? →
Under on San Francisco Giants vs. Los Angeles Dodgers: O/U 9.5
36.38 @ 0.640
BUY·3h agoageing·0xdd5e…9040why? →
Virginia on 1H Spread: Virginia (-6.5)
22 @ 0.522
BUY·3h agoageing·0xdd5e…9040why? →
Virginia on 1H Spread: Virginia (-6.5)
5 @ 0.520
BUY·3h agoageing·0xdd5e…9040why? →
Virginia on 1H Spread: Virginia (-6.5)
8 @ 0.520
BUY·3h agoageing·0xdd5e…9040why? →
No on CF América vs. CD Guadalajara: Both Teams to Score in First Half
7 @ 0.790
BUY·3h agoageing·0xdd5e…9040why? →
No on CF América vs. CD Guadalajara: Both Teams to Score in First Half
12 @ 0.790
BUY·3h agoageing·0xdd5e…9040why? →
Over on VfB Stuttgart vs. BV Borussia 09 Dortmund: O/U 4.5
62 @ 0.300
Integrity indicators

No anomalies detected for this trader.

Anomaly indicators reflect statistical patterns only. May have innocent explanations.