No on Ostium FDV above $300M one day after launch?
— 1365 @ 0.946
← leaderboard
TW
twe2nty
All-time PnL
-$672.28
Win rate
40.0%
40 of 100
Total trades
100
Avg PnL / trade
-$27.27
30d PnL
-$458.13
30d trades
37
30d wins
0
0.0%
30d volume
$13.1k
Category edge
World
66.7%
-4.8pp
n=6
vs cohort baseline per category · observed record only · not financial advice
Signal hit rate
66.7% (8 wins / 4 misses)⚠ Possible wash trade
opposite positions detected on 5 markets — verify independentlyCumulative PnL · 4-day series
$225.77
-$206.40
Trading pattern
Crypto Specialistbuy-heavysmall-sizecategory-focusedBuy-leaning · Crypto 84%
Why Crypto Specialisthigh confidence · 100 trades
Category focus: Crypto 84% of categorized trades — ≥60% concentrated in one category → a Crypto specialist.
Directional bias: +0.72 (buy-heavy) — Mostly buys outcomes — leans into positions rather than fading them.
Entry pricing: avg 0.53 — Enters around mid-priced outcomes — no strong odds tilt.
Typical position size: median $123 — Small typical stake (<$500).
Sizing consistency: CV 1.93 (varied) — Stakes vary widely — opportunistic or conviction-weighted sizing.
Observed behaviour — descriptive, not predictive. NFA.
Entry price
0–10¢90–100¢
avg 53¢ · 100 trades
Position sizing
<$100$10k+
median $122.75 · p90 $1.29k
Activity · UTC
00h12h23h
peak Sat 07:00 · 100 trades
Descriptive analytics of this trader’s observed public activity — not a prediction or recommendation. Not financial advice.
Recent trades
EXPORT
No on Ostium FDV above $500M one day after launch?
— 2141.81 @ 0.948
No on Ostium FDV above $700M one day after launch?
— 1085.82 @ 0.962
No on Ostium FDV above $1B one day after launch?
— 40 @ 0.970
No on Ostium FDV above $1B one day after launch?
— 195.15 @ 0.967
No on Ostium FDV above $2B one day after launch?
— 737.55 @ 0.985
No on Ostium FDV above $3B one day after launch?
— 709.98 @ 0.985
No on Ostium FDV above $4B one day after launch?
— 650.4 @ 0.983
No on Ostium FDV above $1B one day after launch?
— 72.37 @ 0.951
No on Ostium FDV above $3B one day after launch?
— 59.99 @ 0.966
No on Ostium FDV above $2B one day after launch?
— 821.16 @ 0.963
No on Ostium FDV above $3B one day after launch?
— 371.64 @ 0.960
Yes on Will United Russia (ER) win the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
— 192.04 @ 0.995
No on Will Concrete launch a token by December 31, 2026?
— 800.91 @ 0.011
No on Will Concrete launch a token by December 31, 2026?
— 108.75 @ 0.077
No on Will Concrete launch a token by June 30, 2027?
— 267.83 @ 0.029
No on Will Concrete launch a token by June 30, 2027?
— 161.12 @ 0.099
No on Will Papertrade launch a token by December 31, 2026?
— 430 @ 0.230
No on Will Papertrade launch a token by June 30, 2027?
— 805.62 @ 0.125
No on Will Ostium launch a token by December 31, 2026?
— 2924.45 @ 0.821
No on Will Hibachi launch a token by December 31, 2027?
— 428 @ 0.113
No on Will Concrete launch a token by December 31, 2026?
— 185.15 @ 0.290
No on Will Concrete launch a token by December 31, 2026?
— 85.44 @ 0.160
No on Will Predict.fun launch a token by March 31, 2027?
— 90.8 @ 0.370
No on Ostium FDV above $50M one day after launch?
— 1089.81 @ 0.870
No on Will Extended launch a token by December 31 2026?
— 264.23 @ 0.530
No on Variational FDV above $100M one day after launch?
— 5308.18 @ 0.038
No on Will Concrete launch a token by December 31, 2026?
— 105 @ 0.147
No on Will Abstract launch a token by December 31, 2026
— 75.52 @ 0.760
No on Will 3jane launch a token by June 30, 2027?
— 1701.7 @ 0.113
No on Will Papertrade launch a token by December 31, 2026?
— 443.07 @ 0.217
No on Will Saturn launch a token by June 30, 2027?
— 151.47 @ 0.420
Yes on US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026?
— 451.84 @ 0.260
Yes on US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 31, 2026?
— +$21.06 · 612.24 @ 0.034
No on Saturn FDV above $50M one day after launch
— 515.9 @ 0.150
No on Will Variational launch a token by December 31, 2026?
— 1059.46 @ 0.275
Yes on US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 22, 2026?
— +$9.04 · 5000 @ 0.002
No on Predict.fun FDV above $50M one day after launch?
— 238.87 @ 0.124
No on Variational FDV above $800M one day after launch?
— 634.4 @ 0.580
No on Will Concrete launch a token by December 31, 2026?
— 2530.17 @ 0.419
Yes on US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026?
— 451.84 @ 0.410
Yes on US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 22, 2026?
— -$300.00 · 5000 @ 0.060
Yes on US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 31, 2026?
— -$91.84 · 612.24 @ 0.150
No on Will Saturn launch a token by June 30, 2027?
— 100 @ 0.410
No on Will Concrete launch a token by June 30, 2027?
— 29.79 @ 0.324
No on Will Concrete launch a token by December 31, 2026?
— 100 @ 0.520
No on Variational FDV above $500M one day after launch?
— 703.18 @ 0.330
No on Variational FDV above $1B one day after launch?
— 2466.6 @ 0.680
No on Variational FDV above $800M one day after launch?
— 478 @ 0.580
No on Will Variational launch a token by December 31, 2026?
— 9244.52 @ 0.400
Integrity indicators
No anomalies detected for this trader.
Anomaly indicators reflect statistical patterns only. May have innocent explanations.