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0xdcfe…cb09polymarket ↗last active 10m ago
All-time PnL
$133.11
Win rate
56.3%
48 of 85
Total trades
85
Avg PnL / trade
$2.08
30d PnL
$133.11
30d trades
85
30d wins
36
42.4%
30d volume
$9.10k
Category edge
Crypto
54.9%
-5.8pp
n=82

vs cohort baseline per category · observed record only · not financial advice

Signal hit rate
54.9% (45 wins / 37 misses)
⚠ Possible wash trade
opposite positions detected on 4 markets — verify independently
Cumulative PnL · 2-day series
$133.11
$0.00
Trading pattern
Crypto Specialistbuy-heavysmall-sizecategory-focusedBuy-leaning · Crypto 100%
Why Crypto Specialisthigh confidence · 85 trades
Category focus: Crypto 100% of categorized trades≥60% concentrated in one category → a Crypto specialist.
Directional bias: +0.88 (buy-heavy)Mostly buys outcomes — leans into positions rather than fading them.
Entry pricing: avg 0.55Enters around mid-priced outcomes — no strong odds tilt.
Typical position size: median $100Small typical stake (<$500).
Sizing consistency: CV 0.47 (consistent)Stakes are uniform — systematic, flat-sizing behaviour.

Observed behaviour — descriptive, not predictive. NFA.

Entry price
0–10¢90–100¢
avg 55¢ · 85 trades
Position sizing
<$100$10k+
median $100.00 · p90 $150.00
Activity · UTC
SunMonTueWedThuFriSat
00h12h23h
peak Sun 09:00 · 85 trades

Descriptive analytics of this trader’s observed public activity — not a prediction or recommendation. Not financial advice.

Recent trades

EXPORT
BUY·10m ago·0xdcfe…cb09why? →
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - July 26, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET
158.730156 @ 0.630
BUY·11m ago·0xdcfe…cb09why? →
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - July 26, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET
195.826922 @ 0.511
BUY·12m ago·0xdcfe…cb09why? →
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - July 26, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET
192.07547 @ 0.521
BUY·27m ago·0xdcfe…cb09why? →
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - July 26, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET
+$104.08 · 204.081631 @ 0.490
BUY·27m ago·0xdcfe…cb09why? →
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - July 26, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET
+$75.44 · 175.438595 @ 0.570
BUY·27m ago·0xdcfe…cb09why? →
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - July 26, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET
+$100.00 · 200 @ 0.500
BUY·30m ago·0xdcfe…cb09why? →
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - July 26, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET
-$50.00 · 102.040815 @ 0.490
BUY·31m ago·0xdcfe…cb09why? →
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - July 26, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET
-$100.00 · 165.945571 @ 0.603
BUY·42m ago·0xdcfe…cb09why? →
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - July 26, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET
+$75.44 · 175.438595 @ 0.570
BUY·43m ago·0xdcfe…cb09why? →
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - July 26, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET
-$100.00 · 201.7 @ 0.496
BUY·1h ago·0xdcfe…cb09why? →
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - July 26, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET
+$63.64 · 113.636362 @ 0.440
BUY·1h ago·0xdcfe…cb09why? →
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - July 26, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET
+$47.88 · 97.883845 @ 0.511
BUY·1h ago·0xdcfe…cb09why? →
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - July 26, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET
+$22.54 · 68.99 @ 0.673
BUY·1h ago·0xdcfe…cb09why? →
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - July 26, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET
+$69.49 · 169.491524 @ 0.590
BUY·1h ago·0xdcfe…cb09why? →
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - July 26, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET
+$74.72 · 174.723447 @ 0.572
BUY·1h ago·0xdcfe…cb09why? →
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - July 26, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET
-$19.47 · 34.16 @ 0.570
BUY·2h agoageing·0xdcfe…cb09why? →
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - July 26, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET
-$200.00 · 453.400221 @ 0.441
BUY·2h agoageing·0xdcfe…cb09why? →
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - July 26, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET
-$300.00 · 616.6516 @ 0.486
BUY·2h agoageing·0xdcfe…cb09why? →
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - July 26, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET
-$200.00 · 370.370369 @ 0.540
BUY·2h agoageing·0xdcfe…cb09why? →
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - July 26, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET
-$116.00 · 369.533029 @ 0.314
BUY·2h agoageing·0xdcfe…cb09why? →
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - July 26, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET
+$150.88 · 350.87719 @ 0.570
BUY·2h agoageing·0xdcfe…cb09why? →
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - July 26, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET
-$100.00 · 181.81818 @ 0.550
BUY·2h agoageing·0xdcfe…cb09why? →
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - July 26, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET
+$81.82 · 181.81818 @ 0.550
SELL·2h agoageing·0xdcfe…cb09why? →
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - July 26, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET
-$43.32 · 157.98 @ 0.726
BUY·2h agoageing·0xdcfe…cb09why? →
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - July 26, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET
+$57.98 · 157.984375 @ 0.633
BUY·3h agoageing·0xdcfe…cb09why? →
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - July 26, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET
+$83.11 · 183.108034 @ 0.546
BUY·3h agoageing·0xdcfe…cb09why? →
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - July 26, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET
+$29.93 · 63.68 @ 0.530
BUY·4h agoageing·0xdcfe…cb09why? →
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - July 26, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET
-$100.00 · 172.413792 @ 0.580
BUY·4h agoageing·0xdcfe…cb09why? →
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - July 26, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET
+$81.82 · 181.81818 @ 0.550
BUY·4h agoageing·0xdcfe…cb09why? →
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - July 26, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET
-$100.00 · 208.831427 @ 0.479
BUY·4h agoageing·0xdcfe…cb09why? →
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - July 26, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET
-$100.00 · 128.205127 @ 0.780
BUY·4h agoageing·0xdcfe…cb09why? →
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - July 26, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET
+$66.67 · 166.666665 @ 0.600
BUY·4h agoageing·0xdcfe…cb09why? →
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - July 26, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET
+$92.31 · 192.307691 @ 0.520
BUY·5h agoageing·0xdcfe…cb09why? →
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - July 26, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET
+$80.81 · 180.813213 @ 0.553
BUY·5h agoageing·0xdcfe…cb09why? →
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - July 26, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET
+$81.82 · 181.81818 @ 0.550
BUY·5h agoageing·0xdcfe…cb09why? →
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - July 26, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET
+$47.77 · 147.77235 @ 0.677
BUY·5h agoageing·0xdcfe…cb09why? →
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - July 26, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET
+$82.21 · 182.205635 @ 0.549
BUY·5h agoageing·0xdcfe…cb09why? →
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - July 26, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET
+$81.82 · 181.81818 @ 0.550
BUY·5h agoageing·0xdcfe…cb09why? →
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - July 26, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET
+$146.59 · 396.586716 @ 0.630
BUY·5h agoageing·0xdcfe…cb09why? →
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - July 26, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET
-$100.00 · 204.081631 @ 0.490
BUY·6h agoageing·0xdcfe…cb09why? →
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - July 26, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET
+$85.19 · 185.185184 @ 0.540
BUY·6h agoageing·0xdcfe…cb09why? →
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - July 26, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET
+$89.37 · 189.370184 @ 0.528
BUY·6h agoageing·0xdcfe…cb09why? →
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - July 26, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET
-$100.00 · 178.02649 @ 0.562
BUY·6h agoageing·0xdcfe…cb09why? →
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - July 26, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET
-$100.00 · 148.157646 @ 0.675
BUY·6h agoageing·0xdcfe…cb09why? →
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - July 26, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET
-$40.00 · 85.106381 @ 0.470
BUY·6h agoageing·0xdcfe…cb09why? →
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - July 26, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET
+$100.14 · 200.14 @ 0.500
BUY·6h agoageing·0xdcfe…cb09why? →
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - July 26, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET
+$61.19 · 161.187618 @ 0.620
BUY·7h agoageing·0xdcfe…cb09why? →
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - July 26, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET
+$104.08 · 204.081631 @ 0.490
BUY·7h agoageing·0xdcfe…cb09why? →
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - July 26, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET
+$178.31 · 428.313726 @ 0.584
BUY·7h agoageing·0xdcfe…cb09why? →
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - July 26, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET
-$100.00 · 185.185184 @ 0.540
Integrity indicators

No anomalies detected for this trader.

Anomaly indicators reflect statistical patterns only. May have innocent explanations.