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AL

Alpha2313-3

0xdcd2…dae3polymarket ↗last active 3m ago
All-time PnL
$72.77
Win rate
86.9%
87 of 100
Total trades
100
Avg PnL / trade
$0.74
30d PnL
$72.77
30d trades
100
30d wins
86
86.0%
30d volume
$4.21k
Category edge
Crypto
86.9%
+28.8pp
n=99

vs cohort baseline per category · observed record only · not financial advice

Signal hit rate
86.9% (86 wins / 13 misses)
Cumulative PnL · 1-day series
Not enough data to chart yet.
Trading pattern
Crypto Specialistbuy-heavysmall-sizefavorite-backercategory-focusedBuy-leaning · Crypto 100%
Why Crypto Specialisthigh confidence · 100 trades
Category focus: Crypto 100% of categorized trades≥60% concentrated in one category → a Crypto specialist.
Directional bias: +1.00 (buy-heavy)Mostly buys outcomes — leans into positions rather than fading them.
Entry pricing: avg 0.86Enters at favorite prices (>0.70) — backs likely outcomes.
Typical position size: median $49Small typical stake (<$500).
Sizing consistency: CV 0.32 (consistent)Stakes are uniform — systematic, flat-sizing behaviour.

Observed behaviour — descriptive, not predictive. NFA.

Entry price
0–10¢90–100¢
avg 86¢ · 100 trades
Position sizing
<$100$10k+
median $48.50 · p90 $49.50
Activity · UTC
SunMonTueWedThuFriSat
00h12h23h
peak Tue 21:00 · 100 trades

Descriptive analytics of this trader’s observed public activity — not a prediction or recommendation. Not financial advice.

Recent trades

EXPORT
BUY·3m ago·0xdcd2…dae3why? →
Up on Ethereum Up or Down - July 28, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET
50 @ 0.985
BUY·6m ago·0xdcd2…dae3why? →
Up on Ethereum Up or Down - July 28, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET
+$0.50 · 50 @ 0.990
BUY·6m ago·0xdcd2…dae3why? →
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - July 28, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET
+$1.50 · 50 @ 0.970
BUY·10m ago·0xdcd2…dae3why? →
Down on Ethereum Up or Down - July 28, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET
+$0.54 · 50 @ 0.989
BUY·11m ago·0xdcd2…dae3why? →
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - July 28, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET
+$0.50 · 50 @ 0.990
BUY·15m ago·0xdcd2…dae3why? →
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - July 28, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET
+$13.00 · 50 @ 0.740
BUY·16m ago·0xdcd2…dae3why? →
Down on Ethereum Up or Down - July 28, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET
+$1.50 · 50 @ 0.970
BUY·22m ago·0xdcd2…dae3why? →
Up on Ethereum Up or Down - July 28, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET
+$0.50 · 50 @ 0.990
BUY·32m ago·0xdcd2…dae3why? →
Down on Ethereum Up or Down - July 28, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET
+$0.50 · 50 @ 0.990
BUY·35m ago·0xdcd2…dae3why? →
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - July 28, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET
+$2.50 · 50 @ 0.950
BUY·36m ago·0xdcd2…dae3why? →
Down on Ethereum Up or Down - July 28, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET
-$1.50 · 50 @ 0.030
BUY·37m ago·0xdcd2…dae3why? →
Up on Ethereum Up or Down - July 28, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET
+$0.50 · 50 @ 0.990
BUY·41m ago·0xdcd2…dae3why? →
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - July 28, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET
+$0.50 · 50 @ 0.990
BUY·51m ago·0xdcd2…dae3why? →
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - July 28, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET
-$17.00 · 50 @ 0.340
BUY·51m ago·0xdcd2…dae3why? →
Down on Ethereum Up or Down - July 28, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET
-$11.11 · 50 @ 0.222
BUY·51m ago·0xdcd2…dae3why? →
Up on Ethereum Up or Down - July 28, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET
+$1.62 · 50 @ 0.968
BUY·51m ago·0xdcd2…dae3why? →
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - July 28, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET
+$4.50 · 50 @ 0.910
BUY·55m ago·0xdcd2…dae3why? →
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - July 28, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET
+$17.73 · 50 @ 0.645
BUY·55m ago·0xdcd2…dae3why? →
Down on Ethereum Up or Down - July 28, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET
+$1.50 · 50 @ 0.970
BUY·1h ago·0xdcd2…dae3why? →
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - July 28, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET
+$0.50 · 50 @ 0.990
BUY·1h ago·0xdcd2…dae3why? →
Down on Ethereum Up or Down - July 28, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET
+$0.50 · 50 @ 0.990
BUY·1h ago·0xdcd2…dae3why? →
Down on Ethereum Up or Down - July 28, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET
+$1.19 · 50 @ 0.976
BUY·1h ago·0xdcd2…dae3why? →
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - July 28, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET
+$1.00 · 50 @ 0.980
BUY·1h ago·0xdcd2…dae3why? →
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - July 28, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET
+$0.50 · 50 @ 0.990
BUY·1h ago·0xdcd2…dae3why? →
Down on Ethereum Up or Down - July 28, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET
+$1.50 · 50 @ 0.970
BUY·1h ago·0xdcd2…dae3why? →
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - July 28, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET
+$5.50 · 50 @ 0.890
BUY·1h ago·0xdcd2…dae3why? →
Down on Ethereum Up or Down - July 28, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET
+$0.33 · 33.08 @ 0.990
BUY·1h ago·0xdcd2…dae3why? →
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - July 28, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET
+$1.50 · 50 @ 0.970
BUY·1h ago·0xdcd2…dae3why? →
Down on Ethereum Up or Down - July 28, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET
+$1.00 · 50 @ 0.980
BUY·1h ago·0xdcd2…dae3why? →
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - July 28, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET
+$6.00 · 50 @ 0.880
BUY·1h ago·0xdcd2…dae3why? →
Down on Ethereum Up or Down - July 28, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET
+$2.62 · 50 @ 0.948
BUY·1h ago·0xdcd2…dae3why? →
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - July 28, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET
+$0.80 · 50 @ 0.984
BUY·1h ago·0xdcd2…dae3why? →
Up on Ethereum Up or Down - July 28, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET
+$1.80 · 50 @ 0.964
BUY·1h ago·0xdcd2…dae3why? →
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - July 28, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET
+$3.00 · 50 @ 0.940
BUY·1h ago·0xdcd2…dae3why? →
Down on Ethereum Up or Down - July 28, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET
+$42.00 · 50 @ 0.160
BUY·1h ago·0xdcd2…dae3why? →
Up on Ethereum Up or Down - July 28, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET
-$45.75 · 50 @ 0.915
BUY·1h ago·0xdcd2…dae3why? →
Up on Ethereum Up or Down - July 28, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET
-$11.00 · 50 @ 0.220
BUY·1h ago·0xdcd2…dae3why? →
Down on Ethereum Up or Down - July 28, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET
+$1.05 · 50 @ 0.979
BUY·1h ago·0xdcd2…dae3why? →
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - July 28, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET
+$8.00 · 50 @ 0.840
BUY·1h ago·0xdcd2…dae3why? →
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - July 28, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET
+$4.11 · 50 @ 0.918
BUY·1h ago·0xdcd2…dae3why? →
Up on Ethereum Up or Down - July 28, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET
+$1.00 · 50 @ 0.980
BUY·1h ago·0xdcd2…dae3why? →
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - July 28, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET
+$1.00 · 50 @ 0.980
BUY·1h ago·0xdcd2…dae3why? →
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - July 28, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET
+$0.50 · 50 @ 0.990
BUY·1h ago·0xdcd2…dae3why? →
Up on Ethereum Up or Down - July 28, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET
+$1.07 · 50 @ 0.979
BUY·2h agoageing·0xdcd2…dae3why? →
Up on Ethereum Up or Down - July 28, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET
-$4.93 · 50 @ 0.099
BUY·2h agoageing·0xdcd2…dae3why? →
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - July 28, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET
+$24.03 · 50 @ 0.519
BUY·2h agoageing·0xdcd2…dae3why? →
Down on Ethereum Up or Down - July 28, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET
+$3.50 · 50 @ 0.930
BUY·2h agoageing·0xdcd2…dae3why? →
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - July 28, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET
-$34.00 · 50 @ 0.680
BUY·2h agoageing·0xdcd2…dae3why? →
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - July 28, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET
+$5.50 · 50 @ 0.890
BUY·2h agoageing·0xdcd2…dae3why? →
Down on Ethereum Up or Down - July 28, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET
+$4.42 · 50 @ 0.912
Integrity indicators

No anomalies detected for this trader.

Anomaly indicators reflect statistical patterns only. May have innocent explanations.