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SQ

squirLy

0xdc83…4edfpolymarket ↗last active 16m ago
All-time PnL
-$907.21
Win rate
34.9%
35 of 100
Total trades
100
Avg PnL / trade
-$14.40
30d PnL
-$603.75
30d trades
78
30d wins
18
23.1%
30d volume
$11.1k
Category edge
Crypto
29.3%
-25.0pp
n=99

vs cohort baseline per category · observed record only · not financial advice

Signal hit rate
29.3% (29 wins / 70 misses)
⚠ Possible wash trade
opposite positions detected on 25 markets — verify independently
Cumulative PnL · 3-day series
$0.00
-$907.96
Trading pattern
Crypto Specialisttwo-sidedsmall-sizecategory-focusedBuy-leaning · Crypto 100%
Why Crypto Specialisthigh confidence · 100 trades
Category focus: Crypto 100% of categorized trades≥60% concentrated in one category → a Crypto specialist.
Directional bias: +0.40 (two-sided)Trades both sides fairly evenly — no strong directional lean.
Entry pricing: avg 0.38Enters around mid-priced outcomes — no strong odds tilt.
Typical position size: median $100Small typical stake (<$500).
Sizing consistency: CV 1.13 (varied)Stakes vary widely — opportunistic or conviction-weighted sizing.

Observed behaviour — descriptive, not predictive. NFA.

Entry price
0–10¢90–100¢
avg 38¢ · 100 trades
Position sizing
<$100$10k+
median $100.00 · p90 $243.17
Activity · UTC
SunMonTueWedThuFriSat
00h12h23h
peak Sat 08:00 · 100 trades

Descriptive analytics of this trader’s observed public activity — not a prediction or recommendation. Not financial advice.

Recent trades

EXPORT
BUY·16m ago·0xdc83…4edfwhy? →
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 19, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET
487.131471 @ 0.334
SELL·18m ago·0xdc83…4edfwhy? →
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 19, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET
-$14.81 · 185.18 @ 0.920
BUY·22m ago·0xdc83…4edfwhy? →
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 19, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET
+$135.19 · 185.185186 @ 0.270
BUY·33m ago·0xdc83…4edfwhy? →
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 19, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET
-$149.00 · 1025.05 @ 0.145
BUY·33m ago·0xdc83…4edfwhy? →
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 19, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET
-$51.67 · 255.909524 @ 0.202
BUY·33m ago·0xdc83…4edfwhy? →
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 19, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET
-$99.33 · 558.61 @ 0.178
BUY·41m ago·0xdc83…4edfwhy? →
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 19, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET
-$50.00 · 419.999167 @ 0.119
BUY·41m ago·0xdc83…4edfwhy? →
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 19, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET
-$2.66 · 14 @ 0.190
SELL·45m ago·0xdc83…4edfwhy? →
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 19, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET
-$150.71 · 512.24 @ 0.706
BUY·47m ago·0xdc83…4edfwhy? →
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 19, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET
+$312.24 · 512.243 @ 0.390
BUY·50m ago·0xdc83…4edfwhy? →
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 19, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET
-$100.00 · 230.062 @ 0.435
BUY·56m ago·0xdc83…4edfwhy? →
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 19, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET
-$50.00 · 217.391305 @ 0.230
BUY·1h ago·0xdc83…4edfwhy? →
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 19, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET
-$50.00 · 208.333334 @ 0.240
BUY·1h ago·0xdc83…4edfwhy? →
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 19, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET
-$5.00 · 5000 @ 0.001
BUY·27d agostale·0xdc83…4edfwhy? →
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - August 22, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET
-$403.39 · 1743.209165 @ 0.231
SELL·27d agostale·0xdc83…4edfwhy? →
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - August 22, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET
+$442.77 · 1010.76 @ 0.438
BUY·27d agostale·0xdc83…4edfwhy? →
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - August 22, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET
-$231.51 · 1010.76 @ 0.229
BUY·27d agostale·0xdc83…4edfwhy? →
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - August 22, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET
-$200.00 · 590.375832 @ 0.339
SELL·27d agostale·0xdc83…4edfwhy? →
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - August 22, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET
-$2.52 · 251.84 @ 0.990
BUY·27d agostale·0xdc83…4edfwhy? →
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - August 22, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET
+$51.84 · 251.841461 @ 0.794
BUY·27d agostale·0xdc83…4edfwhy? →
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - August 22, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET
-$200.00 · 745.333102 @ 0.268
SELL·27d agostale·0xdc83…4edfwhy? →
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - August 22, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET
+$406.96 · 1475.72 @ 0.276
SELL·27d agostale·0xdc83…4edfwhy? →
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - August 22, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET
+$124.07 · 524.1 @ 0.237
BUY·27d agostale·0xdc83…4edfwhy? →
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - August 22, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET
-$100.00 · 1234.563 @ 0.081
BUY·27d agostale·0xdc83…4edfwhy? →
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - August 22, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET
-$200.00 · 828.191537 @ 0.241
BUY·27d agostale·0xdc83…4edfwhy? →
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - August 22, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET
-$100.00 · 941.753332 @ 0.106
SELL·27d agostale·0xdc83…4edfwhy? →
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - August 22, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET
-$303.22 · 472.13 @ 0.358
BUY·27d agostale·0xdc83…4edfwhy? →
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - August 22, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET
+$372.13 · 472.131817 @ 0.212
BUY·27d agostale·0xdc83…4edfwhy? →
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - August 22, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET
-$300.00 · 2033.755 @ 0.148
BUY·27d agostale·0xdc83…4edfwhy? →
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - August 22, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET
-$3.00 · 13.636362 @ 0.220
BUY·27d agostale·0xdc83…4edfwhy? →
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - August 22, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET
-$216.46 · 1596.82 @ 0.136
BUY·27d agostale·0xdc83…4edfwhy? →
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - August 22, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET
-$61.64 · 359.721665 @ 0.171
SELL·27d agostale·0xdc83…4edfwhy? →
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - August 22, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET
-$3.21 · 321.25 @ 0.990
SELL·27d agostale·0xdc83…4edfwhy? →
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - August 22, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET
-$79.92 · 1064.28 @ 0.925
BUY·27d agostale·0xdc83…4edfwhy? →
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - August 22, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET
+$959.63 · 1385.539695 @ 0.307
BUY·27d agostale·0xdc83…4edfwhy? →
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - August 22, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET
-$60.10 · 226.888887 @ 0.265
BUY·27d agostale·0xdc83…4edfwhy? →
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - August 22, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET
-$100.00 · 345.009332 @ 0.290
BUY·27d agostale·0xdc83…4edfwhy? →
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - August 22, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET
-$200.00 · 206.185566 @ 0.970
SELL·27d agostale·0xdc83…4edfwhy? →
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - August 22, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET
-$117.80 · 136.98 @ 0.140
BUY·27d agostale·0xdc83…4edfwhy? →
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - August 22, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET
+$52.93 · 152.933332 @ 0.654
SELL·27d agostale·0xdc83…4edfwhy? →
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - August 22, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET
-$38.22 · 152.88 @ 0.750
BUY·27d agostale·0xdc83…4edfwhy? →
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - August 22, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET
+$52.89 · 152.885605 @ 0.654
SELL·27d agostale·0xdc83…4edfwhy? →
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - August 22, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET
-$11.54 · 181.81 @ 0.937
BUY·27d agostale·0xdc83…4edfwhy? →
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - August 22, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET
+$81.82 · 181.81818 @ 0.550
SELL·27d agostale·0xdc83…4edfwhy? →
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - August 22, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET
-$4.67 · 136.98 @ 0.966
BUY·27d agostale·0xdc83…4edfwhy? →
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - August 22, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET
+$49.90 · 149.895521 @ 0.667
BUY·27d agostale·0xdc83…4edfwhy? →
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - August 22, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET
-$25.00 · 100.296922 @ 0.249
BUY·27d agostale·0xdc83…4edfwhy? →
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - August 22, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET
-$100.00 · 377.296295 @ 0.265
BUY·27d agostale·0xdc83…4edfwhy? →
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - August 22, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET
-$25.00 · 89.285713 @ 0.280
SELL·27d agostale·0xdc83…4edfwhy? →
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - August 22, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET
-$45.57 · 160.36 @ 0.716
Integrity indicators

No anomalies detected for this trader.

Anomaly indicators reflect statistical patterns only. May have innocent explanations.