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Donation22

0xdc2a…d0a4polymarket ↗last active 14m ago
All-time PnL
$760.63
Win rate
41.7%
42 of 100
Total trades
100
Avg PnL / trade
$31.69
30d PnL
$1.43k
30d trades
88
30d wins
8
9.1%
30d volume
$11.7k
Category edge
Other
50.0%
-38.9pp
n=10
Sports
23.1%
-32.9pp
n=13
Crypto
50.0%
-25.1pp
n=70

vs cohort baseline per category · observed record only · not financial advice

Signal hit rate
46.2% (43 wins / 50 misses)
⚠ Possible wash trade
opposite positions detected on 4 markets — verify independently
Cumulative PnL · 4-day series
$838.32
-$669.73
Trading pattern
Crypto Specialistbuy-heavysmall-sizecategory-focusedBuy-leaning · Crypto 74%
Why Crypto Specialisthigh confidence · 100 trades
Category focus: Crypto 74% of categorized trades≥60% concentrated in one category → a Crypto specialist.
Directional bias: +0.80 (buy-heavy)Mostly buys outcomes — leans into positions rather than fading them.
Entry pricing: avg 0.52Enters around mid-priced outcomes — no strong odds tilt.
Typical position size: median $100Small typical stake (<$500).
Sizing consistency: CV 1.22 (varied)Stakes vary widely — opportunistic or conviction-weighted sizing.

Observed behaviour — descriptive, not predictive. NFA.

Entry price
0–10¢90–100¢
avg 52¢ · 100 trades
Position sizing
<$100$10k+
median $100.00 · p90 $400.00
Activity · UTC
SunMonTueWedThuFriSat
00h12h23h
peak Wed 21:00 · 100 trades

Descriptive analytics of this trader’s observed public activity — not a prediction or recommendation. Not financial advice.

Recent trades

EXPORT
BUY·14m ago·0xdc2a…d0a4why? →
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - July 22, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET
231.69 @ 0.432
BUY·14m ago·0xdc2a…d0a4why? →
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - July 22, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET
232.558138 @ 0.430
BUY·14m ago·0xdc2a…d0a4why? →
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - July 22, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET
232.018408 @ 0.431
BUY·14m ago·0xdc2a…d0a4why? →
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - July 22, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET
232.558138 @ 0.430
BUY·23m ago·0xdc2a…d0a4why? →
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - July 22, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET
+$5.20 · 10.20408 @ 0.490
BUY·23m ago·0xdc2a…d0a4why? →
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - July 22, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET
+$27.08 · 52.083332 @ 0.480
BUY·23m ago·0xdc2a…d0a4why? →
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - July 22, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET
+$30.56 · 55.555554 @ 0.450
BUY·23m ago·0xdc2a…d0a4why? →
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - July 22, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET
+$127.27 · 227.272726 @ 0.440
BUY·23m ago·0xdc2a…d0a4why? →
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - July 22, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET
+$122.22 · 222.222221 @ 0.450
BUY·23m ago·0xdc2a…d0a4why? →
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - July 22, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET
+$171.40 · 271.403156 @ 0.368
BUY·25m ago·0xdc2a…d0a4why? →
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - July 22, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET
+$92.31 · 192.307691 @ 0.520
BUY·25m ago·0xdc2a…d0a4why? →
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - July 22, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET
+$92.89 · 192.886729 @ 0.518
BUY·25m ago·0xdc2a…d0a4why? →
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - July 22, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET
+$95.54 · 195.542306 @ 0.511
BUY·25m ago·0xdc2a…d0a4why? →
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - July 22, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET
+$96.08 · 196.07843 @ 0.510
BUY·25m ago·0xdc2a…d0a4why? →
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - July 22, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET
+$96.08 · 196.07843 @ 0.510
BUY·30m ago·0xdc2a…d0a4why? →
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - July 22, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET
-$100.00 · 392.520369 @ 0.255
BUY·32m ago·0xdc2a…d0a4why? →
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - July 22, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET
-$25.00 · 51.020407 @ 0.490
BUY·32m ago·0xdc2a…d0a4why? →
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - July 22, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET
-$25.00 · 51.624896 @ 0.484
BUY·32m ago·0xdc2a…d0a4why? →
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - July 22, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET
-$25.00 · 53.191488 @ 0.470
BUY·32m ago·0xdc2a…d0a4why? →
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - July 22, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET
-$25.00 · 53.191488 @ 0.470
BUY·34m ago·0xdc2a…d0a4why? →
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - July 22, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET
-$100.00 · 173.72793 @ 0.576
BUY·34m ago·0xdc2a…d0a4why? →
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - July 22, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET
-$100.00 · 174.198273 @ 0.574
BUY·34m ago·0xdc2a…d0a4why? →
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - July 22, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET
-$100.00 · 169.491524 @ 0.590
BUY·37m ago·0xdc2a…d0a4why? →
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - July 22, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET
+$42.13 · 142.133237 @ 0.704
BUY·37m ago·0xdc2a…d0a4why? →
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - July 22, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET
+$47.06 · 147.058821 @ 0.680
BUY·38m ago·0xdc2a…d0a4why? →
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - July 22, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET
+$42.86 · 142.85714 @ 0.700
BUY·38m ago·0xdc2a…d0a4why? →
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - July 22, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET
+$33.33 · 133.333332 @ 0.750
BUY·38m ago·0xdc2a…d0a4why? →
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - July 22, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET
+$22.94 · 122.939022 @ 0.813
BUY·56m ago·0xdc2a…d0a4why? →
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - July 22, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET
+$166.95 · 266.947367 @ 0.375
BUY·59m ago·0xdc2a…d0a4why? →
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - July 22, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET
+$85.19 · 185.185184 @ 0.540
BUY·59m ago·0xdc2a…d0a4why? →
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - July 22, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET
+$85.19 · 185.185184 @ 0.540
BUY·59m ago·0xdc2a…d0a4why? →
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - July 22, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET
+$85.19 · 185.185184 @ 0.540
BUY·59m ago·0xdc2a…d0a4why? →
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - July 22, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET
+$85.19 · 185.185184 @ 0.540
BUY·1h ago·0xdc2a…d0a4why? →
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - July 22, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET
-$100.00 · 250.609 @ 0.399
BUY·1h ago·0xdc2a…d0a4why? →
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - July 22, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET
-$100.00 · 252.529755 @ 0.396
BUY·1h ago·0xdc2a…d0a4why? →
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - July 22, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET
-$40.76 · 101 @ 0.404
BUY·1h ago·0xdc2a…d0a4why? →
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - July 22, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET
+$7.20 · 12.19512 @ 0.410
BUY·1h ago·0xdc2a…d0a4why? →
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - July 22, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET
+$35.98 · 60.975608 @ 0.410
BUY·1h ago·0xdc2a…d0a4why? →
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - July 22, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET
+$33.14 · 58.139533 @ 0.430
BUY·1h ago·0xdc2a…d0a4why? →
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - July 22, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET
+$203.03 · 303.030302 @ 0.330
BUY·1h ago·0xdc2a…d0a4why? →
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - July 22, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET
+$196.32 · 296.318822 @ 0.337
BUY·1h ago·0xdc2a…d0a4why? →
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - July 22, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET
-$100.00 · 182.694726 @ 0.547
BUY·1h ago·0xdc2a…d0a4why? →
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - July 22, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET
-$100.00 · 181.81818 @ 0.550
BUY·1h ago·0xdc2a…d0a4why? →
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - July 22, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET
-$100.00 · 182.578362 @ 0.548
BUY·1h ago·0xdc2a…d0a4why? →
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - July 22, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET
-$100.00 · 187.037036 @ 0.535
BUY·1h ago·0xdc2a…d0a4why? →
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - July 22, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET
-$100.00 · 182.895088 @ 0.547
BUY·1h ago·0xdc2a…d0a4why? →
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - July 22, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET
-$100.00 · 184.496544 @ 0.542
BUY·1h ago·0xdc2a…d0a4why? →
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - July 22, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET
-$100.00 · 185.185184 @ 0.540
BUY·1h ago·0xdc2a…d0a4why? →
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - July 22, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET
-$100.00 · 196.07843 @ 0.510
BUY·1h ago·0xdc2a…d0a4why? →
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - July 22, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET
-$100.00 · 185.185184 @ 0.540
Integrity indicators

No anomalies detected for this trader.

Anomaly indicators reflect statistical patterns only. May have innocent explanations.