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BU

buttonmasher

0xdbcf…4009polymarket ↗last active 20m ago
All-time PnL
-$269.41
Win rate
66.7%
67 of 100
Total trades
100
Avg PnL / trade
-$12.83
30d PnL
-$269.41
30d trades
100
30d wins
14
14.0%
30d volume
$1.63k
Category edge
Crypto
69.0%
-14.2pp
n=100

vs cohort baseline per category · observed record only · not financial advice

Signal hit rate
69.0% (69 wins / 31 misses)
Cumulative PnL · 1-day series
Not enough data to chart yet.
Trading pattern
Crypto Specialistbuy-heavysmall-sizefavorite-backercategory-focusedBuy-leaning · Crypto 100%
Why Crypto Specialisthigh confidence · 100 trades
Category focus: Crypto 100% of categorized trades≥60% concentrated in one category → a Crypto specialist.
Directional bias: +1.00 (buy-heavy)Mostly buys outcomes — leans into positions rather than fading them.
Entry pricing: avg 0.83Enters at favorite prices (>0.70) — backs likely outcomes.
Typical position size: median $17Small typical stake (<$500).
Sizing consistency: CV 0.18 (consistent)Stakes are uniform — systematic, flat-sizing behaviour.

Observed behaviour — descriptive, not predictive. NFA.

Entry price
0–10¢90–100¢
avg 83¢ · 100 trades
Position sizing
<$100$10k+
median $17.10 · p90 $18.60
Activity · UTC
SunMonTueWedThuFriSat
00h12h23h
peak Sun 07:00 · 100 trades

Descriptive analytics of this trader’s observed public activity — not a prediction or recommendation. Not financial advice.

Recent trades

EXPORT
BUY·20m ago·0xdbcf…4009why? →
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 20, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET
+$1.60 · 20 @ 0.920
BUY·20m ago·0xdbcf…4009why? →
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 20, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET
+$1.40 · 20 @ 0.930
BUY·20m ago·0xdbcf…4009why? →
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 20, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET
+$2.00 · 20 @ 0.900
BUY·20m ago·0xdbcf…4009why? →
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 20, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET
+$1.58 · 19.7826 @ 0.920
BUY·20m ago·0xdbcf…4009why? →
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 20, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET
+$1.60 · 20 @ 0.920
BUY·20m ago·0xdbcf…4009why? →
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 20, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET
+$2.60 · 20 @ 0.870
BUY·20m ago·0xdbcf…4009why? →
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 20, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET
+$0.85 · 9.41 @ 0.910
BUY·35m ago·0xdbcf…4009why? →
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 20, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET
+$4.80 · 20 @ 0.760
BUY·35m ago·0xdbcf…4009why? →
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 20, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET
+$4.96 · 19.964737 @ 0.751
BUY·35m ago·0xdbcf…4009why? →
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 20, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET
+$4.80 · 20 @ 0.760
BUY·35m ago·0xdbcf…4009why? →
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 20, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET
+$4.80 · 20 @ 0.760
BUY·35m ago·0xdbcf…4009why? →
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 20, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET
+$5.00 · 20 @ 0.750
BUY·35m ago·0xdbcf…4009why? →
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 20, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET
+$5.00 · 20 @ 0.750
BUY·35m ago·0xdbcf…4009why? →
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 20, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET
+$4.63 · 19.228025 @ 0.759
BUY·1h ago·0xdbcf…4009why? →
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 20, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET
+$0.80 · 20 @ 0.960
BUY·1h ago·0xdbcf…4009why? →
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 20, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET
+$0.80 · 20 @ 0.960
BUY·1h ago·0xdbcf…4009why? →
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 20, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET
+$2.40 · 20 @ 0.880
BUY·1h ago·0xdbcf…4009why? →
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 20, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET
+$2.00 · 20 @ 0.900
BUY·1h ago·0xdbcf…4009why? →
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 20, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET
+$3.80 · 20 @ 0.810
BUY·1h ago·0xdbcf…4009why? →
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 20, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET
+$3.80 · 20 @ 0.810
BUY·1h ago·0xdbcf…4009why? →
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 20, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET
+$3.16 · 19.7619 @ 0.840
BUY·1h ago·0xdbcf…4009why? →
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 20, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET
+$3.85 · 20.24691 @ 0.810
BUY·1h ago·0xdbcf…4009why? →
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 20, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET
+$1.80 · 20 @ 0.910
BUY·1h ago·0xdbcf…4009why? →
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 20, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET
+$1.80 · 20 @ 0.910
BUY·1h ago·0xdbcf…4009why? →
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 20, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET
+$1.60 · 20 @ 0.920
BUY·1h ago·0xdbcf…4009why? →
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 20, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET
+$1.40 · 20 @ 0.930
BUY·1h ago·0xdbcf…4009why? →
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 20, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET
+$2.40 · 20 @ 0.880
BUY·1h ago·0xdbcf…4009why? →
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 20, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET
+$2.18 · 19.775281 @ 0.890
BUY·1h ago·0xdbcf…4009why? →
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 20, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET
+$1.65 · 18.34 @ 0.910
BUY·1h ago·0xdbcf…4009why? →
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 20, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET
+$2.60 · 20 @ 0.870
BUY·1h ago·0xdbcf…4009why? →
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 20, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET
+$2.60 · 20 @ 0.870
BUY·2h agoageing·0xdbcf…4009why? →
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 20, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET
+$1.60 · 20 @ 0.920
BUY·2h agoageing·0xdbcf…4009why? →
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 20, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET
+$1.42 · 20.215042 @ 0.930
BUY·2h agoageing·0xdbcf…4009why? →
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 20, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET
+$1.42 · 20.215042 @ 0.930
BUY·2h agoageing·0xdbcf…4009why? →
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 20, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET
+$1.40 · 20 @ 0.930
BUY·2h agoageing·0xdbcf…4009why? →
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 20, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET
+$2.20 · 20 @ 0.890
BUY·2h agoageing·0xdbcf…4009why? →
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 20, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET
+$2.80 · 20 @ 0.860
BUY·2h agoageing·0xdbcf…4009why? →
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 20, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET
+$3.00 · 20 @ 0.850
BUY·2h agoageing·0xdbcf…4009why? →
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 20, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET
+$3.60 · 20 @ 0.820
BUY·2h agoageing·0xdbcf…4009why? →
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 20, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET
-$12.80 · 22.068966 @ 0.580
BUY·2h agoageing·0xdbcf…4009why? →
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 20, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET
-$15.00 · 21.126758 @ 0.710
BUY·2h agoageing·0xdbcf…4009why? →
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 20, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET
-$15.00 · 20 @ 0.750
BUY·2h agoageing·0xdbcf…4009why? →
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 20, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET
-$15.00 · 20 @ 0.750
BUY·2h agoageing·0xdbcf…4009why? →
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 20, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET
-$15.00 · 20 @ 0.750
BUY·2h agoageing·0xdbcf…4009why? →
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 20, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET
-$17.20 · 20 @ 0.860
BUY·2h agoageing·0xdbcf…4009why? →
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 20, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET
-$17.40 · 20.232557 @ 0.860
BUY·2h agoageing·0xdbcf…4009why? →
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 20, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET
-$17.60 · 20.229884 @ 0.870
BUY·2h agoageing·0xdbcf…4009why? →
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 20, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET
-$15.98 · 18.367815 @ 0.870
BUY·2h agoageing·0xdbcf…4009why? →
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 20, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET
-$15.60 · 20 @ 0.780
BUY·2h agoageing·0xdbcf…4009why? →
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 20, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET
-$16.00 · 21.621619 @ 0.740
Integrity indicators

No anomalies detected for this trader.

Anomaly indicators reflect statistical patterns only. May have innocent explanations.