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insidiousidiot

0xd88a…a7e4polymarket ↗last active 21m ago
All-time PnL
$15.6k
Win rate
66.7%
67 of 100
Total trades
100
Avg PnL / trade
$346.83
30d PnL
$15.6k
30d trades
100
30d wins
30
30.0%
30d volume
$264.6k
Category edge
Sports
68.9%
+12.0pp
n=90

vs cohort baseline per category · observed record only · not financial advice

Signal hit rate
68.5% (63 wins / 29 misses)
⚠ Possible wash trade
opposite positions detected on 14 markets — verify independently
Cumulative PnL · 6-day series
$23.6k
$0.00
Trading pattern
Sports Specialistbuy-heavymid-sizecategory-focusedBuy-leaning · Sports 98%
Why Sports Specialisthigh confidence · 100 trades
Category focus: Sports 98% of categorized trades — ≥60% concentrated in one category → a Sports specialist.
Directional bias: +0.52 (buy-heavy) — Mostly buys outcomes — leans into positions rather than fading them.
Entry pricing: avg 0.61 — Enters around mid-priced outcomes — no strong odds tilt.
Typical position size: median $1,891 — Mid-sized typical stake.
Sizing consistency: CV 1.14 (varied) — Stakes vary widely — opportunistic or conviction-weighted sizing.

Observed behaviour — descriptive, not predictive. NFA.

Entry price
0–10¢90–100¢
avg 61¢ · 100 trades
Position sizing
<$100$10k+
median $1.89k · p90 $6.48k
Activity · UTC
SunMonTueWedThuFriSat
00h12h23h
peak Sat 14:00 · 100 trades

Descriptive analytics of this trader’s observed public activity — not a prediction or recommendation. Not financial advice.

Recent trades

EXPORT
↑BUY·21m ago·0xd88a…a7e4why? →
San Diego Padres on Miami Marlins vs. San Diego Padres
— 1639.344261 @ 0.610
↑BUY·47m ago·0xd88a…a7e4why? →
Joshua Van on UFC 331: Alexandre Pantoja vs. Joshua Van (Flyweight, Main Card)
— 6244.075309 @ 0.801
↑BUY·1h ago·0xd88a…a7e4why? →
Ole Miss on LSU vs. Ole Miss
— +$3.69k · 7692.307693 @ 0.520
↑BUY·3h agoageing·0xd88a…a7e4why? →
Ole Miss on LSU vs. Ole Miss
— +$2.14k · 7142.857143 @ 0.700
↓SELL·3h agoageing·0xd88a…a7e4why? →
LSU on LSU vs. Ole Miss
— +$1.29k · 4310.34 @ 0.300
↑BUY·5h agoageing·0xd88a…a7e4why? →
LSU on LSU vs. Ole Miss
— -$2.50k · 4310.344828 @ 0.580
↑BUY·5h agoageing·0xd88a…a7e4why? →
Virginia on West Virginia vs. Virginia
— -$5.00k · 6329.113923 @ 0.790
↓SELL·6h agoageing·0xd88a…a7e4why? →
Texas A&M on Kentucky vs. Texas A&M
— +$7.69 · 85.44 @ 0.090
↑BUY·6h agoageing·0xd88a…a7e4why? →
Alabama on Florida State vs. Alabama
— +$1.74k · 4137.931035 @ 0.580
↓SELL·6h agoageing·0xd88a…a7e4why? →
Texas A&M on Kentucky vs. Texas A&M
— +$476.82 · 1486.5 @ 0.321
↑BUY·6h agoageing·0xd88a…a7e4why? →
Kentucky on Kentucky vs. Texas A&M
— +$5.15k · 15151.515152 @ 0.660
↓SELL·6h agoageing·0xd88a…a7e4why? →
Texas A&M on Kentucky vs. Texas A&M
— +$1.88k · 5007 @ 0.375
↑BUY·7h agoageing·0xd88a…a7e4why? →
Texas A&M on Kentucky vs. Texas A&M
— -$5.00k · 6578.947366 @ 0.760
↑BUY·8h agoageing·0xd88a…a7e4why? →
Duke on Stanford vs. Duke
— +$1.07k · 6070.07894 @ 0.824
↑BUY·11h agoageing·0xd88a…a7e4why? →
FURIA on Counter-Strike: MIBR vs FURIA (BO3) - StarLadder StarSeries Playoffs
— +$2.78k · 9260 @ 0.700
↓SELL·12h agoageing·0xd88a…a7e4why? →
Vitality on Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Vitality (BO3) - StarLadder StarSeries Playoffs
— +$1.12k · 3560.71 @ 0.315
↓SELL·12h agoageing·0xd88a…a7e4why? →
Vitality on Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Vitality (BO3) - StarLadder StarSeries Playoffs
— +$1.91k · 6082.03 @ 0.313
↓SELL·12h agoageing·0xd88a…a7e4why? →
Clemson on North Carolina vs. Clemson
— -$5.21k · 8333.33 @ 0.375
↑BUY·12h agoageing·0xd88a…a7e4why? →
Clemson on North Carolina vs. Clemson
— +$3.33k · 8333.333332 @ 0.600
↑BUY·13h agoageing·0xd88a…a7e4why? →
Vitality on Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Vitality (BO3) - StarLadder StarSeries Playoffs
— -$7.50k · 9642.744613 @ 0.778
↓SELL·13h agoageing·0xd88a…a7e4why? →
FURIA on Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs FURIA (BO3) - StarLadder StarSeries Playoffs
— -$7.62 · 7619.4 @ 0.999
↓SELL·13h agoageing·0xd88a…a7e4why? →
MOUZ on Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs FURIA (BO3) - StarLadder StarSeries Playoffs
— +$14.31 · 143.1 @ 0.100
↓SELL·13h agoageing·0xd88a…a7e4why? →
MOUZ on Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs FURIA (BO3) - StarLadder StarSeries Playoffs
— +$381.49 · 2007.85 @ 0.190
↓SELL·13h agoageing·0xd88a…a7e4why? →
MOUZ on Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs FURIA (BO3) - StarLadder StarSeries Playoffs
— +$995.06 · 5719.42 @ 0.174
↑BUY·14h agoageing·0xd88a…a7e4why? →
MOUZ on Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs FURIA (BO3) - StarLadder StarSeries Playoffs
— -$4.25k · 7870.370371 @ 0.540
↓SELL·14h agoageing·0xd88a…a7e4why? →
FURIA on Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs FURIA (BO3) - StarLadder StarSeries Playoffs
— -$9.65k · 16643.77 @ 0.420
↑BUY·15h agoageing·0xd88a…a7e4why? →
FURIA on Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs FURIA (BO3) - StarLadder StarSeries Playoffs
— +$1.64k · 16643.7759 @ 0.901
↓SELL·15h agoageing·0xd88a…a7e4why? →
MOUZ on Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs FURIA (BO3) - StarLadder StarSeries Playoffs
— +$729.36 · 5209.69 @ 0.140
↑BUY·16h agoageing·0xd88a…a7e4why? →
MOUZ on Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs FURIA (BO3) - StarLadder StarSeries Playoffs
— -$1.10k · 1700.926462 @ 0.647
↑BUY·17h agoageing·0xd88a…a7e4why? →
MOUZ on Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs FURIA (BO3) - StarLadder StarSeries Playoffs
— -$2.00k · 3508.77193 @ 0.570
↓SELL·17h agoageing·0xd88a…a7e4why? →
MIBR on Counter-Strike: MIBR vs NRG (BO3) - StarLadder StarSeries Playoffs
— -$3.23 · 3225.8 @ 0.999
↑BUY·1d agostale·0xd88a…a7e4why? →
MIBR on Counter-Strike: MIBR vs NRG (BO3) - StarLadder StarSeries Playoffs
— +$1.23k · 3225.806452 @ 0.620
↑BUY·1d agostale·0xd88a…a7e4why? →
Texas Tech on Houston vs. Texas Tech
— +$2.61k · 4431.707318 @ 0.410
↑BUY·1d agostale·0xd88a…a7e4why? →
Iva Jovic on Guadalajara Open Akron: Cristina Bucsa vs Iva Jovic
— +$840.00 · 4000 @ 0.790
↑BUY·1d agostale·0xd88a…a7e4why? →
Texas Tech on Houston vs. Texas Tech
— +$323.33 · 1293.333332 @ 0.750
↑BUY·1d agostale·0xd88a…a7e4why? →
Texas Tech on Houston vs. Texas Tech
— +$623.33 · 2493.333332 @ 0.750
↑BUY·1d agostale·0xd88a…a7e4why? →
Texas Tech on Houston vs. Texas Tech
— +$666.67 · 2666.666664 @ 0.750
↑BUY·1d agostale·0xd88a…a7e4why? →
Texas Tech on Houston vs. Texas Tech
— +$1.00k · 4000 @ 0.750
↑BUY·1d agostale·0xd88a…a7e4why? →
Vitality on Counter-Strike: Vitality vs FURIA (BO3) - StarLadder StarSeries Playoffs
— +$604.29 · 2604.285713 @ 0.768
↑BUY·1d agostale·0xd88a…a7e4why? →
Vitality on Counter-Strike: Vitality vs FURIA (BO3) - StarLadder StarSeries Playoffs
— +$898.55 · 2898.550725 @ 0.690
↑BUY·1d agostale·0xd88a…a7e4why? →
Aurora Gaming on Counter-Strike: NRG vs Aurora Gaming (BO3) - StarLadder StarSeries Playoffs
— +$175.50 · 3175.49683 @ 0.945
↓SELL·1d agostale·0xd88a…a7e4why? →
NRG on Counter-Strike: NRG vs Aurora Gaming (BO3) - StarLadder StarSeries Playoffs
— +$123.31 · 1207.93 @ 0.102
↑BUY·1d agostale·0xd88a…a7e4why? →
NRG on Counter-Strike: NRG vs Aurora Gaming (BO3) - StarLadder StarSeries Playoffs
— -$263.00 · 1207.93027 @ 0.218
↑BUY·1d agostale·0xd88a…a7e4why? →
on Counter-Strike: NRG vs Aurora Gaming (BO3) - StarLadder StarSeries Playoffs AND Counter-Strike: Vitality vs FURIA (BO3) - StarLadder StarSeries Playoffs
— 2265.131698 @ 0.539
↑BUY·1d agostale·0xd88a…a7e4why? →
MIBR on Counter-Strike: magic vs MIBR (BO3) - StarLadder StarSeries Playoffs
— +$840.85 · 1840.845356 @ 0.543
↑BUY·1d agostale·0xd88a…a7e4why? →
MIBR on Counter-Strike: magic vs MIBR (BO3) - StarLadder StarSeries Playoffs
— +$985.07 · 2985.074627 @ 0.670
↑BUY·1d agostale·0xd88a…a7e4why? →
MIBR on Counter-Strike: magic vs MIBR (BO3) - StarLadder StarSeries Playoffs
— +$816.90 · 2816.901406 @ 0.710
↑BUY·1d agostale·0xd88a…a7e4why? →
MOUZ on Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - StarLadder StarSeries Playoffs
— +$20.80 · 1039.97 @ 0.980
↑BUY·2d agostale·0xd88a…a7e4why? →
MOUZ on Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - StarLadder StarSeries Playoffs
— +$1.90k · 5000 @ 0.620
↑BUY·2d agostale·0xd88a…a7e4why? →
Liudmila Samsonova on Guadalajara Open Akron: Marta Kostyuk vs Liudmila Samsonova
— +$1.13k · 5128.205127 @ 0.780
Integrity indicators

No anomalies detected for this trader.

Anomaly indicators reflect statistical patterns only. May have innocent explanations.