Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 18, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET
— 100 @ 0.500
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FA
FairValueMachine
All-time PnL
-$146.13
Win rate
56.3%
56 of 100
Total trades
100
Avg PnL / trade
-$4.57
30d PnL
-$146.13
30d trades
100
30d wins
18
18.0%
30d volume
$2.49k
Category edge
Crypto
53.5%
+5.8pp
n=99
vs cohort baseline per category · observed record only · not financial advice
Signal hit rate
53.5% (53 wins / 46 misses)Cumulative PnL · 2-day series
$0.00
-$146.13
Trading pattern
Crypto Specialistbuy-heavysmall-sizecategory-focusedBuy-leaning · Crypto 100%
Why Crypto Specialisthigh confidence · 100 trades
Category focus: Crypto 100% of categorized trades — ≥60% concentrated in one category → a Crypto specialist.
Directional bias: +1.00 (buy-heavy) — Mostly buys outcomes — leans into positions rather than fading them.
Entry pricing: avg 0.52 — Enters around mid-priced outcomes — no strong odds tilt.
Typical position size: median $20 — Small typical stake (<$500).
Sizing consistency: CV 0.83 (moderate) — Stakes vary moderately across trades.
Observed behaviour — descriptive, not predictive. NFA.
Entry price
0–10¢90–100¢
avg 52¢ · 100 trades
Position sizing
<$100$10k+
median $19.54 · p90 $50.56
Activity · UTC
00h12h23h
peak Fri 23:00 · 100 trades
Descriptive analytics of this trader’s observed public activity — not a prediction or recommendation. Not financial advice.
Recent trades
EXPORT
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 18, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET
— -$37.00 · 100 @ 0.370
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 18, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET
— +$15.65 · 26.09 @ 0.400
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 18, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET
— -$19.58 · 30.6 @ 0.640
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 18, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET
— +$29.00 · 50 @ 0.420
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 18, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET
— +$31.00 · 50 @ 0.380
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 18, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET
— -$31.00 · 100 @ 0.310
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 18, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET
— +$35.00 · 100 @ 0.650
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 18, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET
— +$20.51 · 45.58 @ 0.550
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 18, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET
— -$84.00 · 100 @ 0.840
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 18, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET
— -$2.16 · 3.43 @ 0.631
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 18, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET
— +$17.00 · 50 @ 0.660
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 18, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET
— +$5.70 · 15 @ 0.620
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 18, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET
— -$16.50 · 50 @ 0.330
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 18, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET
— -$19.50 · 50 @ 0.390
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 18, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET
— -$36.00 · 100 @ 0.360
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 18, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET
— -$12.50 · 50 @ 0.250
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 18, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET
— -$11.96 · 46 @ 0.260
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 18, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET
— +$4.50 · 10 @ 0.550
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 18, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET
— -$8.50 · 50 @ 0.170
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 18, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET
— -$1.08 · 6 @ 0.180
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 18, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET
— +$9.80 · 30 @ 0.673
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 18, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET
— +$0.80 · 8.9 @ 0.910
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 18, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET
— -$1.00 · 5 @ 0.200
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 18, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET
— -$4.65 · 15 @ 0.310
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 18, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET
— +$3.00 · 7.31 @ 0.590
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 18, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET
— -$1.75 · 5 @ 0.350
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 18, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET
— -$20.80 · 50 @ 0.416
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 18, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET
— -$40.70 · 55 @ 0.740
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 18, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET
— +$49.70 · 71 @ 0.300
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 18, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET
— -$6.70 · 45 @ 0.149
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 18, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET
— +$7.27 · 39 @ 0.814
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 18, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET
— -$10.99 · 17.72 @ 0.620
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 18, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET
— +$1.67 · 5.77 @ 0.710
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 18, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET
— -$17.00 · 50 @ 0.340
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 18, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET
— -$68.19 · 100 @ 0.682
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 18, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET
— -$38.00 · 50 @ 0.760
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 18, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET
— -$34.50 · 50 @ 0.690
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 18, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET
— +$2.32 · 4 @ 0.420
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 18, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET
— +$42.68 · 74.88 @ 0.430
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 18, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET
— -$27.50 · 50 @ 0.550
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 18, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET
— +$49.44 · 100 @ 0.506
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 18, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET
— -$16.00 · 100 @ 0.160
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 18, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET
— +$2.52 · 14 @ 0.820
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 18, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET
— +$16.15 · 50 @ 0.677
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 18, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET
— +$22.14 · 82 @ 0.730
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 18, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET
— -$6.40 · 40 @ 0.160
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 18, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET
— +$13.20 · 40 @ 0.670
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 18, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET
— -$18.13 · 37 @ 0.490
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 18, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET
— +$3.68 · 8 @ 0.540
Integrity indicators
No anomalies detected for this trader.
Anomaly indicators reflect statistical patterns only. May have innocent explanations.