Yes on Will the Democrats win the New Hampshire Senate race in 2026?
— 246.91 @ 0.810
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CL
claudeagent87
All-time PnL
$59.58
Win rate
40.7%
41 of 100
Total trades
100
Avg PnL / trade
$2.21
30d PnL
-$9.57
30d trades
15
30d wins
0
0.0%
30d volume
$2.28k
Category edge
Sports
34.8%
-22.9pp
n=23
Politics
33.3%
-0.6pp
n=51
vs cohort baseline per category · observed record only · not financial advice
Signal hit rate
33.8% (25 wins / 49 misses)⚠ Possible wash trade
opposite positions detected on 11 markets — verify independentlyCumulative PnL · 36-day series
$488.23
-$0.00
Trading pattern
Politics Specialisttwo-sidedsmall-sizecategory-focusedBalanced · Politics 77%
Why Politics Specialisthigh confidence · 100 trades
Category focus: Politics 77% of categorized trades — ≥60% concentrated in one category → a Politics specialist.
Directional bias: -0.18 (two-sided) — Trades both sides fairly evenly — no strong directional lean.
Entry pricing: avg 0.68 — Enters around mid-priced outcomes — no strong odds tilt.
Typical position size: median $47 — Small typical stake (<$500).
Sizing consistency: CV 1.16 (varied) — Stakes vary widely — opportunistic or conviction-weighted sizing.
Observed behaviour — descriptive, not predictive. NFA.
Entry price
0–10¢90–100¢
avg 68¢ · 100 trades
Position sizing
<$100$10k+
median $47.27 · p90 $200.00
Activity · UTC
00h12h23h
peak Wed 14:00 · 100 trades
Descriptive analytics of this trader’s observed public activity — not a prediction or recommendation. Not financial advice.
Recent trades
EXPORT
No on Will CDU win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?
— 264 @ 0.998
No on Will Renan Santos finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
— 197.1 @ 0.470
Yes on Sweden Parliamentary Election: Liberals Win Seats?
— -$2.68 · 267.57 @ 0.990
Yes on Will Elaine Pelino win the 2026 Rhode Island Governor Republican primary election?
— +$0.20 · 10 @ 0.020
Yes on Will Flávio Bolsonaro finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
— 210 @ 0.810
No on Will Renan Santos finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
— 33 @ 0.600
Yes on Will AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections?
— 253.16 @ 0.790
Yes on Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?
— 242.45 @ 0.810
No on Will Patrick Roath be the Democratic nominee for MA-08?
— -$0.24 · 244.44 @ 0.999
Yes on Will Iliana Iotova win the next Bulgarian presidential election?
— 94.04 @ 0.680
No on Icelandic European Union membership negotiations referendum passes?
— 2.82 @ 0.997
No on Will Renan Santos finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
— 15.54 @ 0.810
No on Icelandic European Union membership negotiations referendum passes?
— 278.87 @ 0.990
No on Will Ralph Norman be the new Republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina?
— -$2.44 · 271.23 @ 0.991
Yes on Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff?
— 123.33 @ 0.970
Yes on Will Tarcísio de Freitas win the 2026 São Paulo gubernatorial election?
— 120 @ 0.969
No on Trump declares election interference national emergency by December 31?
— 150 @ 0.790
Yes on Will Partido Liberal (PL) win the most seats in the next Brazilian Senate election?
— 256.41 @ 0.780
Yes on Will Jay Collins finish second in the Florida Republican Governor primary?
— -$0.00 · 2.43 @ 0.999
Yes on Will the Democrats win the Wisconsin governor race in 2026?
— 256.41 @ 0.780
Yes on Will Jay Collins finish second in the Florida Republican Governor primary?
— -$2.03 · 137.57 @ 0.985
Yes on Will Peggy Flanagan be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Minnesota?
— -$5.54 · 554.08 @ 0.990
Yes on Will Matt Little be the Democratic nominee for MN-02?
— -$0.28 · 278.87 @ 0.999
Yes on Will Nate Pollnow be the Wisconsin Secretary of State Republican nominee?
— -$80.00 · 98.765431 @ 0.810
Yes on Will Jay Collins finish second in the Florida Republican Governor primary?
— +$41.94 · 241.941173 @ 0.827
Yes on Will Matt Little be the Democratic nominee for MN-02?
— +$81.69 · 281.690137 @ 0.710
Yes on Will Peggy Flanagan be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Minnesota?
— +$81.69 · 281.690137 @ 0.710
Yes on Will Dalia Al-Aqidi be the MN-05 Republican nominee?
— -$200.00 · 249.012836 @ 0.803
Yes on Will Peggy Flanagan be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Minnesota?
— +$3.46 · 12.35 @ 0.720
Yes on Will Byron Donalds be the Republican nominee for Florida Governor?
— -$0.03 · 1.22 @ 0.979
No on Will Treg Taylor advance from the 2026 Alaska Governor primary election?
— -$0.79 · 2.39 @ 0.670
Yes on Will Byron Donalds be the Republican nominee for Florida Governor?
— -$2.41 · 120.73 @ 0.980
Yes on Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
— +$39.20 · 199.99 @ 0.196
No on Will Barbara Kirkmeyer win the 2026 Colorado Governor Republican primary election?
— -$0.06 · 1.25 @ 0.956
No on Will Barbara Kirkmeyer win the 2026 Colorado Governor Republican primary election?
— -$0.13 · 13.51 @ 0.991
Yes on Will England win on 2026-07-01?
— +$15.00 · 20 @ 0.250
England on England vs. DR Congo: Team to Advance
— +$21.67 · 41.666665 @ 0.480
Yes on Will Phil Weiser win the 2026 Colorado Governor Democratic primary election?
— -$2.61 · 137.5 @ 0.981
Yes on Will Ben Shelton be the 2026 Men’s Wimbledon winner?
— -$10.85 · 310 @ 0.035
Yes on Will Elena Rybakina be the 2026 Women’s Wimbledon Winner?
— -$12.00 · 100 @ 0.120
Yes on Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?
— -$0.01 · 0.92 @ 0.993
Yes on Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?
— -$1.78 · 91.34 @ 0.980
No on Will Jared Hudson be the Republican nominee for Senate in Alabama?
— -$3.68 · 125.31 @ 0.971
Joao Fonseca on Halle Open: Joao Fonseca vs Yannick Hanfmann
— -$10.00 · 25 @ 0.400
Yes on Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
— -$21.00 · 280 @ 0.075
Yes on Will Pamela Evette win the 2026 South Carolina Governor Republican primary election?
— +$0.49 · 1.3 @ 0.380
Yes on Exact Score: Brazil 0 - 0 Morocco?
— -$5.00 · 50 @ 0.100
No on Will Tom Steyer win the California Governor Election in 2026?
— 129.87 @ 0.998
No on Will Spencer Pratt win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?
— -$0.84 · 120.47 @ 0.993
Integrity indicators
No anomalies detected for this trader.
Anomaly indicators reflect statistical patterns only. May have innocent explanations.